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College Basketball Free Play: Duquesne Dukes at George Mason Patriots

12.21.2011     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Duquesne at George Mason -6 O/U 139 
Recommendation: Over

Despite being the epitome of all "offense, no defense" Duquesne games continue to totaled in a respectable range. The Dukes obviously want to run, so much so that when they play games with 73 or more possessions, they've only lost once the last two years whereas when games register 72 or fewer possessions, they are nine games under .500. But the most telling stat is when Duquesne averages a point per possession or more, nearly all over their games the last two years saw 140+ points. On the flip side, when they fail to top 1.0 ppp, nearly all over their games end up in the 120's. So the question is can they top the 1.0 ppp tonight against George Mason? A close look at GM’s schedules suggests yes. For the last month, Mason has been playing a combination of slow paced, unathletic, offensively challenged teams. As a result, their defensive numbers look good. But go back to earlier this year when they faced teams somewhat comparable to that of Duquesne – Florida Atlantic, Florida International, and Rhode Island. All three of those games had a decent pace and all three teams scored 1.0 ppp or better. And all three are not as proficient on offense as Duquesne. Note also that the Patriots expect to return guard Andre Cornelius tonight after a suspension. Cornellius knocked down 39% of his threes last year and will provide a struggling backcourt an immediate boost. 

Tags: College Basketball Duquesne Dukes George Mason Patriots Andrew Lange

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