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College Basketball Handicapping: Schedule toughens for top teams

02.08.2012     07:04 AM         Printer Friendly
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SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For those that follow college basketball scheduling and like to note strength of schedule, RPI and more, here is an update on top team Kentucky’s schedule along with others of note. 
Between Kentucky and Louisville, their combined 15 remaining regular season games include nine against the top 35 teams in the RPI.

Kentucky is No. 3 in RPI and passed its test Tuesday with a big home win over Florida. The Wildcats have four of their remaining six home games against teams currently ranked in AP Top 25. Kentucky’s strength of schedule ranked 83rd in the RPI prior to playing Florida, and is projected by Statsheet.com to be No. 50 nationally at the end of the regular season.

Ohio State held off Purdue yesterday and the Buckeyes are projected to go from No. 34 to No. 12 in SOS by season’s end and join Kentucky and Syracuse as projected No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State is No. 4 in RPI currently.

North Carolina plays Duke tonight in a key ACC showdown with first place at stake, and the Tar Heels are projected to go from No. 42 to No. 12 by seasons end while Duke is currently No. 2 in SOS and projected to finish No. 3. 

Baylor is No. 2 in RPI and battles Kansas tonight in another top-25 match-up and key contest in the Big Xll. The Bears try to get their redemption following their first loss of the season at Kansas back on January 16. Baylor has a SOS rank of No. 29 and should move to No. 17 by season’s end while Kansas goes from No. 4 to No. 8 in strength of schedule.

Louisville plays Syracuse, the current RPI No. 1 and AP No. 2, twice, and two other games against RPI top 25 teams. The Cardinals schedule is projected to jump from No. 47 to No. 22. 
The nation’s only unbeaten team, Murray State, has played a soft schedule that ranks No. 302 and will move up to 224th by the end of February. Murray State has failed to cover its last seven games, and its toughest challenge will be a non-conference Bracket Buster game vs. St. Mary’s on February 18.

Review schedules, stats, situations and motivation moving forward, and if you don’t have the time, energy or ability to consistently beat the bookmaker, then join me as we bang the boards the rest of the season and continue our pursuit of profit.

Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. He’s having another winning and profitable CBB season in 2011-12 highlighted by 16-units of profit in December alone (1 and 2 unit scale) and over 6-units of profit already in February. Fairway Jay’s current top-play Big Drive run since the end of November is a bankroll-building 38-16 (70%) including 16-6 on his top-rated 20* Big Drive plays. That includes a 7-1 top-play CBB run in February, and Fairway Jay has won 65% of his top-rated Big Drive selections this college basketball season. Fairway Jay is a proven pro and performer in the college basketball game with a 5-year stretch of consecutive winning seasons and profits that placed him on the leaderboard among the nation’s top college basketball handicappers. With documented success and experience to battle with the best and beat the bookmaker, join Fairway Jay on the college basketball court and profit from his experience and well-rounded game. Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

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