Baylor at Iowa State
Saturday, 9 am PT - FS-1
CRIS Opener: Baylor -16.5 O/U 59
CRIS Current: Baylor -17 O/U 60.5
It's not too often you see Baylor involved in a game with a total in the low 60's. In fact, Saturday will mark the lowest total for the Bears since midseason 2014. Even last year's trip to Manhattan to face slow paced and ultra-conservative Kansas State State closed 67. Also interesting is the fact that last year's meeting against Iowa State closed 74.5; it landed just short with Baylor winning in Ames, 45-27.
ISU has shown no ability to stop the high octane offenses in the Big XII. Last season, against Texas Tech, TCU, Baylor, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State, the Cyclones allowed 48.6 ppg. And thanks to playing from behind in a majority of those contests, ISU proved capable of putting the ball in the end zone with scores of 31, 21, 27, 16, and 31. In the end, all five of those contests topped 61 points (73.8 average). Against TCU earlier this season, Iowa State coughed up 41 in just over three quarters as the Horned Frogs were content to sit on the ball late.
Baylor's offense has looked a bit rusty at times this season; 6 points in the first half against SMU and held scoreless in the first quarter against Rice. But last week looked vintage Bears as the offense rolled up 387 passing yards and a whopping 8.05 ypp in their win over Oklahoma State. Had Baylor hung their normal 50+ against SMU and Rice, this total would be in the high 60’s. The fact that they are still moving the ball suggests their failures to cash in at a high clip are correctable. Play it over.