California at Arizona State
Saturday, 7 pm PT - ESPN2
Arizona State -3 O/U 81
Arizona State -3.5 O/U 82.5
The Arizona State Sun Devils host the California Golden Bears Saturday night in Tempe. This is a key cross division PAC-12 showdown that projects to be an offensive spectacle. Each of these teams have relied on their superior offensive units to outscore their opponent’s thus far. On the flip side, stopping the opposition has proven to be a difficult task.
Cal quarterback Davis Webb threw for 396 yards in last week’s win over Texas;
his lowest output this year. He will be facing a Sun Devil defense that is notoriously susceptible to the pass. Last season, opposing quarterbacks posted a 145.0 QB rating which ranked 21st nationally. This season, that number has jumped to 163.6. Even FCS Northern Arizona was able to move the ball at will through the air with 369 yards and 11.2 yards per attempt. Yes, NAU was playing from behind, but it’s a clear sign the ASU secondary will be up against it vs. Webb.
The Golden Bears have far better numbers against the pass (112.8 opposing QB rating) but don’t let that fool you; this defense is ultra-porous. Their first three opponents relied more on the run and did so with great success, racking up nearly 900 yards at well over 6 yards per clip. ASU has has playmakers all over the field and an athletic quarterback in Manny Wilkins. They are very similar to that of Texas who last week posted a very balanced 307 rushing yards and 261 yards through the air. Note that Cal-Texas featured 170 plays.
Last year’s meeting featured 168 plays and nearly 1,300 total yards as Cal won in Berkeley, 48-46. It wouldn’t shock me to see 100 pass attempts and when you combo that with an endless amount of first downs, the clock is going to stand still for much of the night. Both teams hit 40+ in this one as we play it over.