Click to Use Secure Login
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of and log back in to recreate your forum session.

College Football Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks at Nebraska Cornhuskers

09.15.2016     06:52 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Oregon at Nebraska 
Saturday, 12:30 am PT - ABC 
CRIS Opener:
Nebraska -3 O/U 70.5 
CRIS Current: Nebraska -3 O/U 74 
Recommendation: Oregon

From 2010 to 2014, Oregon closed as an underdog only once (53-30 win at 7th-ranked Stanford as +2.5 dogs in 2011). They were the clear class of the PAC-12 and garnered a ton of respect in the betting markets. Last season, however, was the first time since 2007 the Ducks failed to win 10 games. And what we remember last was an embarrassing bowl game loss to TCU in which Oregon blew a 31-0 halftime lead. Heading into this season, the Ducks weren't the first choice to win the PAC-12; in fact, they were priced third behind both Stanford and Washington. And through the first two weeks of the season, the downgrading looks to be correct with Oregon posting lackluster wins and pointspread failures against weaker foes Virginia and UC Davis.

Nebraska has that "well oiled machine" look after blowout wins and easy pointspread covers over Wyoming and Fresno State. The two wins have helped the Cornhuskers make a sizeable power rating jump. Last season, Nebraska finished 43rd according to Sagarin. This season, they've skyrocketed to 22nd and quickly bypassed Oregon who dropped from 20th to 33rd. It makes it seems as if this is a matchup of two programs heading in completely different directions but I think it is far too early to call for Oregon's demise and Nebraska's meteoric ascension. For starters, there is still a class difference both from a conference perspective (PAC-12 > Big Ten) and a speed/athleticism (Oregon > Nebraska) standpoint. Last season, the PAC-12 North was rated the second strongest conference/division in the country behind the SEC West and Oregon played the 18th-ranked SOS and was able to post a +1.27 ypp advantage over league opponents. Meanwhile, Nebraska played in the 8th-ranked Big Ten West and had the 42nd-ranked SOS. They probably deserved better than their 6-7 record with a handful of close losses but still outgained Big Ten foes by only +0.18 ypp. That's a huge gap in performance and again, it came with Oregon having a "down" season.

Oregon has been tremendous in the role of an underdog with outright wins over Arizona State, Washington, and Stanford a season ago as well as a pointspread cover in a 31-28 loss at Michigan State. The gap between this two teams/programs isn't as massive as it was 2-3 years ago but I'll still side with the stronger pedigree catching points. A few market indicators suggest +3.5 may be available before game day.

Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten OTTO Sports

This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:

09/15/2016 11:30 AM
Pac12 better then the Big10? How’d that title game vs Ohio St go when Oregon -7 favorite w best player the Pac12 has ever seen in Mariota got RAN OVER for a 22 point loss? Stanford might have something to say about that "clear class of Pac" reference. I think its the Pac North you mean thats the 2nd toughest conf? Which also is a joke but not as much of a joke as the Danny Kanells of the world that say the Pac12 South is 2nd best conf in CFB despite never being able to win their OWN conf championship. Vanderbilt out recruits half the Pac12 I just wonder at what point does a CONFERENCE have to ACTUALLY PROVE their BS HYPE? Win the title, actually play a competitive game. Does Oregon cover +3 at Nebraska? Maybe. Tell me how Hellfrich knows Riley inside and out. Tell me how Oregon is 19-3 ATS in TRUE ROAD games the last 5 years, which to me is how the elite challenge themselves. They know they can win at home but they get up more for the challenge of a hostile environment. Tell me how Brady Hoke is familiar w Big10football.Tell me how Oregon has a huge advantage in the fact their is very little film of their QB at the FBS level for Nebraska to watch. Tell me how the last 4 years Nebrask is -37 turnover margin and Oregon is +60 in same time span

Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?

More VIP Email Options
Current Blog Topics
Otto Sports Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
Teddy is locked and loaded with his single Best Bet for Week 1 of the NFL season, primed to cash a 20* Big Ticket winner as the Raiders travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans! Get onboard right here, right now before this line starts to move and take advantage of a legitimately weak Week 1 pointspread! Don't miss out! This play must cash or his next report is FREE!

Drew Martin is in with his first play of the 2017 college football season. He is not waiting around and is firing on the first Saturday with four boarded CFB games. Martin has found an interesting angle that shows HUGE VALUE for one of the sides- Worthy of a 1.5 Unit Wager. Do not wait jump on board and start your football season off with a winner. This 15* Top Shelf Play of the Week is only $35 guaranteed to profit or you will receive Drew's next football release on the house.

It's here! Teddy Covers' famed NFL Season Over/Under Wins Report is an absolute must have for every bettor. Since 2001, Teddy has delivered a record of 79-32 71% including 12-1 92% with his 20* Big Ticket selection. The package includes two waves of selections as well as detailed written analysis. Lock in one of Sportsmemo's BEST packages for only $229.

Extended Services
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
Post Subject
11.29 22:33
10.04 11:17
10.04 10:38
09.13 12:39
09.13 06:59

Current Blog
Otto Sports     08.02.2017 9:41 AM
Otto Sports     07.21.2017 8:37 AM
Otto Sports     06.30.2017 10:33 AM
Otto Sports     06.27.2017 7:56 AM
Otto Sports     06.20.2017 6:26 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Otto Sports


Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at   Aug 23, 2017 07:02 AM.