Utah at Oregon State
Saturday, 1 pm PT - PAC-12
Utah -13 O/U 52
Utah -7.5 O/U 40
The biggest totals move on the board and it appears justified as the weather in Corvallis, Oregon is projected to be hurricane-esque
on Saturday. Current weather reports are not only calling for heavy rain but winds of 30-40 MPH. And it's important to note that Reser Stadium is not enclosed meaning that wind will have little issue entering the stadium. The forward pass should be all but nonexistent in this contest.
Oregon State shows a strong statistical profile running the football but the stats are heavily skewed due to games against FCS Idaho State and defensively inept Cal. The Beavers racked up 70% of their seasonal yardage (730 yards) in those two games. In their three contests against Minnesota, Boise State, and Colorado, OSU averaged a measly 3.0 ypc. Utah grades out as above average against the run having allowed just over 4.0 ypc. In last year's meeting, the Utes held the Beavers to 108 yards on the ground en route to a 27-12 victory.
Utah has somewhat changed its stripes this season, relying more on the pass than the run in terms of effectively moving the football. The main reason is injuries as five running backs are listed as either out, doubtful, or questionable on the injury report. They have still been able to put up yardage on the ground but most of it is due to sheer volume (43.6 attempts per game) rather than success (4.1 ypc).
As always, inclement weather can lead to miscues and non-traditional touchdowns. But you can still expect points to be at a premium given the situation. Play it under.