SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of SportsMemo.com and log back in to recreate your forum session.
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans

09.23.2016     10:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Michigan State 
Saturday, 9 am PT - BTN 
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -6 O/U 45.5 
CRIS Current: Michigan State -5 O/U 42 
Recommendation: Michigan State

What on earth does Michigan State have to do to earn some real respect from the betting markets?   This team went 13-1 in 2013, 11-2 in 2014 and 12-2 last year, rising to elite program status in Mark D’Antonio’s tenth year on the job. But the Spartans suffered some significant graduation losses in the offseason, especially on offense where QB Connor Cook and three of the linemen protecting him went to the NFL.  And then Michigan State looked sluggish in their opener against Furman, never even sniffing the -37.5 point spread in a 28-13 victory.  The betting markets, as they do, dramatically overreacted to that sluggish showing, installing the Spartans as 7.5 point underdogs at Notre Dame last week.  They dominated wire-to-wire in a ‘not as close as the final score’ 36-28 romp.

But the betting markets that didn’t respect Michigan State in 2013 or 2014 (combined 19-8 ATS), and didn’t respect them down the stretch last year still aren’t all that excited about the Spartans in what is perceived to be a ‘letdown’ spot after that huge win over Notre Dame.  I don’t care what kind of spin you want to put on it – a Big 10 home opener against Wisconsin is no ‘letdown’ spot for any team.  And the fact that this has been a tight series in the past – each of the last three meetings has been decided by less than a touchdown – also has the markets devaluing Michigan State in this spot.

I’m not worried about tight games between these two programs in 2011 and 2012 (the most recent meeting), because the Wisconsin program has declined markedly over the past three or four seasons.  Multiple coaching changes haven’t helped matters, but the weakness of the Big 10 West  has kept the Badgers in contention despite their overall decline.  I’m expecting that process to accelerate here in 2016.

Michigan State has no issues without Connor Cook behind center.  Tyler O’Connor lit up Notre Dame’s defense with his arm and his legs last week, as the Spartans ran for 260 and passed for 241 yards against a solid stop unit.  Wisconsin, on the other hand, has serious QB issues.  Senior Bart Houston got benched against Georgia State.  Redshirt frosh Alex Hornibrook has only faced Georgia State at home in his collegiate career.  Neither guy is a particularly good option for Paul Chryst on Saturday.  Expect Badgers scoring drives to be few and far between, especially given all the injures they’ve suffered at running back over the past two weeks.  Spartans win this one by a TD or more.

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Teddy Covers




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:




VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays

Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date
02.01 13:22
01.29 10:20
01.27 10:58
12.21 10:54
11.19 20:36

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------
Ted Sevransky     02.16.2017 10:44 AM
Ted Sevransky     02.10.2017 9:31 AM
Ted Sevransky     02.08.2017 10:49 AM
Ted Sevransky     02.03.2017 9:13 AM
Ted Sevransky     02.02.2017 10:14 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Feb 22, 2017 12:49 AM.