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College Football Gambling Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at BYU Cougars

09.15.2017     11:12 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at BYU
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Wisconsin -13 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Wisconsin -16.5 O/U 40.5
Recommendation: BYU

It sounds as if BYU quarterback Tanner Mangum won't be able to go this weekend after suffering an ankle injury in last week's loss to rival Utah. That means backup Beau Hoge will likely be under center. Hoge doesn't have much experience though given BYU's offensive struggles and Magnum's total loss of confidence, he could provide a bit of a spark.

The one thing BYU does have in its corner is a stout defense. Some of the numbers don't look overly attractive as LSU ran for 296 yards and Utah averaged nearly six yards per play, but the Tigers boast one of the best run games in the country and the Utes feature a soon-to-be household name in quarterback Tyler Huntley who practically beat the Cougars by himself (227 yards passing, 89 yards rushing). Wisconsin isn't nearly as explosive as those two squads as the Badgers' more traditional style of "run first, play action later" is a favorable match up for BYU's defense.

No offense in the country, outside of maybe Florida, has been more ridiculed thus far than BYU. And every bit of it is justified as offensive coordinator Ty Detmer appears to be completely over his head. But this is a matchup and pointspread range where we don't need "huge strides" from the offense in order to cash a ticket. And value-wise, BYU was catching +15 vs. LSU in New Orleans, +4.5 at home vs. Utah, and now as high as +17 at home vs. Wisconsin. BYU's power rating without question deserves to be downgraded but that's an extreme adjustment and the right opponent for them to grind out a cover.

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten BYU Cougars Andrew Lange




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