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NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks

01.23.2018     12:38 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Winnipeg -110 at San Jose O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Winnipeg

The Winnipeg Jets recommitted themselves over their five-day break to playing better and stronger defensive hockey and so far that mindset has paid dividends for the Jets as they’ve won two straight games following their break defeating Calgary 2-1 on the road and they followed that up with a 1-0 shutout victory back home against Vancouver. The Jets came out of the break focused on improving at goal prevention and they have made good on their word in the last two games. That new defensive focus should serve them quite well tonight because they are taking on a San Jose team that has been one of the better defensive teams in the NHL this season. There could be a distinct edge in freshness and energy for this game on the Winnipeg side of the equation. This is just Winnipeg's 3rd game following their extended break. Meanwhile, San Jose is at the tail end of a very grueling scheduling cycle. The Sharks will be playing their 7th game in 11 nights since they came out of their league mandated 5 day break and for a team whose core players are in their 30’s in age, this could be a bit of a troubling high fatigue spot for San Jose. Martin Jones the Sharks #1 goalie is injured right now meaning that Aaron Dell will likely be making his third consecutive start in net for the Sharks tonight. However, Winnipeg will be countering with a red hot Connor Hellebuyck in net and he has won seven of his last ten starts and has yielded just 1 goal in his last 60 shots faced. Winnipeg is 13-3 in 16 games against Pacific Division teams this season and have consistently played well against teams from that division and I think they have the momentum and scheduling edge in their favor to extend that mark tonight. I’ll recommend Winnipeg at this near even money price to pick up the road win.

Tags: NHL Winnipeg Jets San Jose Sharks Ian Cameron



NBA Handicapping: Cleveland Cavaliers' pointspread run now sits at 1-13

01.23.2018     12:33 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Saving the best for last, we present to you the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs are in the midst of one of the worst ATS runs in NBA history (1-13 ATS). Last Saturday, they allowed 148 at home to Oklahoma City. They too had the obligatory "team meeting" in which everyone pretty much called Kevin Love a sissy for being sick. And speaking of crappy spread records, the Cavs have covered only 12 games ALL SEASON and we're week away from the start of February! Cleveland returns to action tonight (and taking money!) at San Antonio. Cavs jumped from +2 to as high as -2.5.


 "We've got to do something about it," he said. "We're doing a lot of talking, but we've got to play better. We've got to execute better offensively, we've got to execute better defensively. We've got to be better collectively. Everyone has to be better. We've been saying that, but we're taking the necessary steps to do that."



Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers



NBA Betting: Milwaukee Bucks fire head coach Jason Kidd

01.23.2018     12:30 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Up next, the Milwaukee Bucks who parted ways with head coach Jason Kidd. After losing at Philadelphia, 116-94, Kidd inexplicably went public with the excuse that his team was "too young" to be any good. Like Washington, Milwaukee does has pieces and ranks a respectable eighth in the NBA in offensive efficiency. But they've had trouble guarding and thus trouble covering pointspreads (18-23-5 ATS). Assistant Joe Prunty took over for Kidd last night as the Bucks won but failed to cover against Phoenix. The schedule moving forward is manageable with a litter of mediocre Eastern Conference foes starting Friday with a home tilt vs. Brooklyn.


“We appreciate everything that Jason has done for the Bucks organization, but we have decided to make a coaching change,” General Manager Jon Horst said in a news release. “We believe that a fresh approach and a change in leadership are needed to continue elevating our talented team toward the next level, bringing us closer to our goal of competing for championships.”



Tags: NBA Milwaukee Bucks



NBA Gambling News: It doesn't sound like the Washington Wizards are in a good place

01.23.2018     11:55 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A lot of drama in the NBA to discuss today so let's get it started with the Washington Wizards. Reports are out that a recent "team meeting" actually did more harm than good. Their play on the court certainly suggests it was. Last week, the Wiz coughed up 133 to bottom feeder Charlotte. They bounced back with a 10-point road win over Detroit but last night were somehow outclassed in Dallas, 98-75. On the season, Washington is a semi-respectable 26-21 SU but a dismal 20-27 ATS. They've also played the easiest schedule in the NBA. And what makes Washington a very ripe fade moving forward is that compared to the rest of the Eastern Conference, there is talent, and by default, they’ll have something to play for with a playoff berth likely. Up next, a Thursday tilt at Oklahoma City.


"We had our team meeting," Wall said Friday. "A couple guys took it the negative way and it hurt our team. Instead of taking it in a positive way like we did in the past and using it to build our team up, it kind of set us back a little bit."



Tags: NBA Washington Wizards



College Basketball Betting Podcast 1-23-2018 with the Sportsmemo Handicappers

01.23.2018     10:56 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow. Due to a technical issue, the original segment was "lost." Host Andrew Lange was able to re-record it on his own, reiterating the thoughts and opinions provided by Brent and himself from the original segment. We apologize for the gaffe. 

Today's segments
Full Show - College Basketball


To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow Andrew Lange



College Basketball Betting Free Play: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes

01.22.2018     11:52 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska at Ohio State -12 O/U 139.5
Recommendation: Under

Emergence of the Buckeyes as a legitimate contender for the Big Ten title is as surprising as anything across the college basketball landscape this season but it’s not a fluke. Ohio State is an amazingly cohesive a group on each end of the floor with PF Keita Bates-Diop (19.7 ppg, 8.9 rpg) leading the way. OSU currently sits inside the Top 30 in Ken Pom’s offensive (28th) and defensive (11th) efficiency ratings and they are 8-0 straight up and against the spread in league play. They’ve posted a +16.1 ppg margin (77.9-61.8) along with a +12.7 FG% margin (51.0%-38.3%) effective FG% in those six games. The drawback to Ohio State’s impressive conference numbers could be the schedule thus far which has only seen them play two teams (Michigan and Michigan State) with above .500 Big Ten records.

Nebraska has surprised as well and despite being labeled as a dominant home team (11-1 SU at home, 3-6 away), it’s important to note that they’re 3-1 ATS on the road (6-2 overall) in Big Ten play. Stingy defense combined with controlled tempo are again the Cornhuskers calling cards with their 27.6 3pt % allowed currently #1 in the conference. That’s a key fundamental matchup tonight against Ohio State’s trio of excellent three point shooters (SG Kam Williams 48.5%, PG CJ Jackson 41.2%, Diop 37.6%). Their struggles on the defensive boards will be key as well (#334 in D1) against the bigger and aggressive Ohio State front line.

Chris Holtmann has brought his defensive brand of basketball to Columbus and it’s really started to show the past couple weeks. Ohio State has not allowed any of the last five opponents to reach 70 points. That may be where the difference in this game lies since Nebraska has allowed 74+ in three of their four conference games. Ohio State’s efficiency and team play on the offensive end figures to get them 70+ here. ‘Huskers 57 and 62 point road performances vs Michigan State (Big Ten #3 in defensive efficiency) and Purdue (#1) indicate they could have trouble keeping vs #2 ranked Ohio State. That being said, they are +12 tonight and Purdue in West Lafayette beat them by exactly that number 74-62. Buckeyes are 208 O/U at home this season and Nebraska is 2-4 O/U on the road. Combine that with the expected limited amount of possessions (Ohio State 66 or less last four games and Nebraska 66 or less 3 of last 4) and this one should also fall under the total.

Tags: College Basketball Nebraska Cornhuskers Ohio State Buckeyes Rob Veno



NFL Super Bowl LII Betting Podcast 1-22-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

01.22.2018     10:38 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report (OLR) in which he and host Andrew Lange discussed the early Super Bowl LII line moves and where bettors can expect the lines to move. 

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Super Bowl LII

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Super Bowl LII Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



Super Bowl LII Handicapping: MVP Winners 1967-2017

01.22.2018     09:45 AM     Printer Friendly

Here's a list of all 51 Super Bowl MVP recipients. Quarterbacks have won 28 times. Denver's Terrell Davis was the last running back to win back in 1998. Linebackers Von Miller and Malcom Smith accounted for two of the last four awards.

Super Bowl MVP Winners 2967-2017
Year
MVP
Team
Position
2017
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2016
Von Miller
Denver Broncos
Linebacker
2015
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2014
Malcom Smith
Seattle Seahawks
Linebacker
2013
Joe Flacco
Baltimore Ravens
Quarterback
2012
Eli Manning
New York Giants
Quarterback
2011
Aaron Rodgers
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback
2010
Drew Brees
New Orleans Saints
Quarterback
2009
Santonio Holmes
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
2008
Eli Manning
New York Giants
Quarterback
2007
Peyton Manning
Indianapolis Colts
Quarterback
2006
Hines Ward
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
2005
Deion Branch
New England Patriots
Wide receiver
2004
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2003
Dexter Jackson
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Safety
2002
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2001
Ray Lewis
Baltimore Ravens
Linebacker
2000
Kurt Warner
St. Louis Rams
Quarterback
1999
John Elway
Denver Broncos
Quarterback
1998
Terrell Davis
Denver Broncos
Running back
1997
Desmond Howard
Green Bay Packers
Kick/Punt Returner
1996
Larry Brown
Dallas Cowboys
Cornerback
1995
Steve Young
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1994
Emmitt Smith
Dallas Cowboys
Running back
1993
Troy Aikman
Dallas Cowboys
Quarterback
1992
Mark Rypien
Washington Redskins
Quarterback
1991
Ottis Anderson
New York Giants
Running back
1990
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1989
Jerry Rice
San Francisco 49ers
Wide receiver
1988
Doug Williams
Washington Redskins
Quarterback
1987
Phil Simms
New York Giants
Quarterback
1986
Richard Dent
Chicago Bears
Defensive end
1985
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1984
Marcus Allen
Los Angeles Raiders
Running back
1983
John Riggins
Washington Redskins
Running back
1982
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1981
Jim Plunkett
Oakland Raiders
Quarterback
1980
Terry Bradshaw
Pittsburgh Steelers
Quarterback
1979
Terry Bradshaw
Pittsburgh Steelers
Quarterback
1978
Harvey Martin
Dallas Cowboys
Defensive end
1978
Randy White
Dallas Cowboys
Defensive tackle
1977
Fred Biletnikoff
Oakland Raiders
Wide receiver
1976
Lynn Swann
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
1975
Franco Harris
Pittsburgh Steelers
Running back
1974
Larry Csonka
Miami Dolphins
Running back
1973
Jake Scott
Miami Dolphins
Safety
1972
Roger Staubach
Dallas Cowboys
Quarterback
1971
Chuck Howley
Dallas Cowboys
Linebacker
1970
Len Dawson
Kansas City Chiefs
Quarterback
1969
Joe Namath
New York Jets
Quarterback
1968
Bart Starr
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback
1967
Bart Starr
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback


Tags: NFL Super Bowl LII



Super Bowl LII Gambling: New England Patriots -5.5 favorites over the Philadelphia Eagles

01.22.2018     09:40 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The matchup for Super Bowl LII is set with the New England Patriots taking on the Philadelphia Eagles. The game will be held at Minneapolis' US Bank Stadium on February 4 at 3:30 pm PT. Here's a look at the opening and current side and total at various prominent offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks.

CRIS Opener: New England -6 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: New England -5.5 O/U 48ov115

Pinnacle Opener: New England -7-05 O/U 47.5
Pinnacle Current: New England -5.5 O/U 48

CG Technology Opener: New England -6 O/U 47.5
CG Technology Current: New England -6-05 O/U 48

Westgate Opener: New England -5.5 O/U 47.5
Westgate Current: New England -5.5 O/U 48

Tags: NFL Super Bowl LII New England Patriots Philadelphia Eagles



Super Bowl LII Gambling: The history of the Will There Be Three Straight Scores prop bet

01.22.2018     09:32 AM     Printer Friendly

One of many prop bets that always draws interest from bettors is Will There Be Three Straight Scores? We went back on got the results of every Super Bowl and found that three straight scores occurred 36 times (70.5%). There was a 22-year stretch where it occurred 20 times. It has also hit eight out of the last 11 years. Most sportsbooks offer anywhere from -180 to -200 on the "yes" and +150 to +160 on the "no."

Super Bowl Betting Results - Three Straight Scores?
Year
Winner
Loser
Three Straight Scores?
2017
New England (-3) 34 OT
Atlanta 28
Yes
2016
Denver (+4.5) 24
Carolina 10
No
2015
New England (-1) 28
Seattle 24
Yes
2014
Seattle (+2) 48
Denver 6
Yes
2013
Baltimore (+4) 34
San Francisco 31
Yes
2012
NY Giants (+3) 21
New England 17
Yes
2011
Green Bay (-3) 31
Pittsburgh 25
No
2010
New Orleans (+4.5) 31
Indianapolis 17
Yes
2009
Pittsburgh 27
Arizona (+6.5) 23
Yes
2008
NY Giants (+12.5) 17
New England 14
No
2007
Indianapolis (-7) 29
Chicago 17
Yes
2006
Pittsburgh (-4) 21
Seattle 10
No
2005
New England 24
Philadelphia (+7) 21
No
2004
New England 32
Carolina (+7) 29
No
2003
Tampa Bay (+4) 48
Oakland 21
Yes
2002
New England (+14) 20
St. Louis 17
Yes
2001
Baltimore (-3) 34
NY Giants 7
Yes
2000
St. Louis (-7) 23
Tennessee 16
Yes
1999
Denver (-7.5) 34
Atlanta 19
Yes
1998
Denver (+11) 31
Green Bay 24
Yes
1997
Green Bay (-14) 35
New England 21
Yes
1996
Dallas 27
Pittsburgh (+13.5) 17
Yes
1995
San Francisco (-18) 49
San Diego 26
No
1994
Dallas (-10.5) 30
Buffalo 13
Yes
1993
Dallas (-6.5) 52
Buffalo 17
Yes
1992
Washington (-7) 37
Buffalo 24
Yes
1991
NY Giants (+7) 20
Buffalo 19
Yes
1990
San Francisco (-12) 55
Denver 10
Yes
1989
San Francisco 20
Cincinnati (+7) 16
No
1988
Washington (+3) 42
Denver 10
Yes
1987
NY Giants (-9.5) 39
Denver 20
Yes
1986
Chicago (-10) 46
New England 10
Yes
1985
San Francisco (-3.5) 38
Miami 16
Yes
1984
LA Raiders (+3) 38
Washington 9
Yes
1983
Washington (+3) 27
Miami 17
Yes
1982
San Francisco (PK) 26
Cincinnati 21
Yes
1981
Oakland (+3) 27
Philadelphia 10
No
1980
Pittsburgh (-10.5) 31
Los Angeles 19
No
1979
Pittsburgh (-3.5) 35
Dallas 31
No
1978
Dallas (-6) 27
Denver 10
Yes
1977
Oakland (-4) 32
Minnesota 14
Yes
1976
Pittsburgh 21
Dallas (+7) 17
Yes
1975
Pittsburgh (-3) 16
Minnesota 6
No
1974
Miami (-6.5) 24
Minnesota 7
Yes
1973
Miami (+1.5) 14
Washington 7
No
1972
Dallas (-6) 24
Miami 3
No
1971
Baltimore (+2.5) 16
Dallas 13
No
1970
Kansas City (+12) 23
Minnesota 7
Yes
1969
NY Jets (+18) 16
Baltimore 7
Yes
1968
Green Bay (-13.5) 33
Oakland 14
Yes
1967
Green Bay (-14) 35
Kansas City 10
Yes


Tags: NFL Super Bowl LII



All-Time Super Bowl Betting Results 1967-2017

01.22.2018     09:25 AM     Printer Friendly

Below are the all-time Super Bowl betting results dating back to 1967. Only six times have we seen the team that won fail to cover the pointspread. Overall, favorites are 28-22 against the spread (the 1982 Super Bowl was lined as a pick 'em) but underdogs have been the play of late with 11 of the last 16 taking the money. In terms of totals, the UNDER was the way to play it back in the late 60’s and early 70's. The 80's and 90's trended OVER the total but it then shifted back towards the UNDER with six of eight winning from 2005-12. Four of the last five Super Bowls went over the total.

Super Bowl Betting Results 1967-2017
SB
Year
Winner
Loser
Total
Location
LI
2017
New England (-3) 34 OT
Atlanta 28
57, OVER
Houston, TX
L
2016
Denver (+4.5) 24
Carolina 10
43, UNDER
Santa Clara, CA
XLIX
2015
New England (-1) 28
Seattle 24
47, OVER
Glendale, AZ
XLVIII
2014
Seattle (+1.5) 43
Denver 8
47, OVER
E. Rutherford, NJ
XLVII
2013
Baltimore (+4.5) 34
San Francisco 31
47.5, OVER
New Orleans, LA
XLVI
2012
NY Giants (+3) 21
New England 17
53, UNDER
Indianapolis, IN
XLV
2011
Green Bay (-3) 31
Pittsburgh 25
44.5, OVER
Dallas, TX
XLIV
2010
New Orleans (+4.5) 31
Indianapolis 17
56.5, UNDER
Miami, FL
XLIII
2009
Pittsburgh 27
Arizona (+6.5) 23
46.5, OVER
Tampa, FL
XLII
2008
NY Giants (+12.5) 17
New England 14
54.5, UNDER
Glendale, AZ
XLI
2007
Indianapolis (-7) 29
Chicago 17
48, UNDER
Miami, FL
XL
2006
Pittsburgh (-4) 21
Seattle 10
47, UNDER
Detroit, MI
XXXIX
2005
New England 24
Philadelphia (+7) 21
46.5, UNDER
Jacksonville, FL
XXXVIII
2004
New England 32
Carolina (+7) 29
37.5, OVER
Houston, TX
XXXVII
2003
Tampa Bay (+4) 48
Oakland 21
44, OVER
San Diego, CA
XXXVI
2002
New England (+14) 20
St. Louis 17
53, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
XXXV
2001
Baltimore (-3) 34
NY Giants 7
33, OVER
Tampa, FL
XXXIV
2000
St. Louis (-7) 23
Tennessee 16
47.5, UNDER
Atlanta, GA
XXXIII
1999
Denver (-7.5) 34
Atlanta 19
52.5, OVER
Miami, FL
XXXII
1998
Denver (+11) 31
Green Bay 24
49, OVER
San Diego, CA
XXXI
1997
Green Bay (-14) 35
New England 21
49, OVER
New Orleans, LA
XXX
1996
Dallas 27
Pittsburgh (+13.5) 17
51, UNDER
Tempe, AZ
XXIX
1995
San Francisco (-18) 49
San Diego 26
53.5, OVER
Miami, FL
XXVIII
1994
Dallas (-10.5) 30
Buffalo 13
50.5, UNDER
Atlanta, GA
XXVII
1993
Dallas (-6.5) 52
Buffalo 17
44.5, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XXVI
1992
Washington (-7) 37
Buffalo 24
49, OVER
Minneapolis, MN
XXV
1991
NY Giants (+7) 20
Buffalo 19
40.5, UNDER
Tampa, FL
XXIV
1990
San Francisco (-12) 55
Denver 10
48, OVER
New Orleans, LA
XXIII
1989
San Francisco 20
Cincinnati (+7) 16
48, UNDER
Miami, FL
XXII
1988
Washington (+3) 42
Denver 10
47, OVER
San Diego, CA
XXI
1987
NY Giants (-9.5) 39
Denver 20
40, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XX
1986
Chicago (-10) 46
New England 10
37.5, OVER
New Orleans, LA
XIX
1985
San Francisco (-3.5) 38
Miami 16
53.5, OVER
Stanford, CA
XVIII
1984
LA Raiders (+3) 38
Washington 9
48, UNDER
Tampa, FL
XVII
1983
Washington (+3) 27
Miami 17
36.5, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XVI
1982
San Francisco (PK) 26
Cincinnati 21
48, UNDER
Pontiac, MI
XV
1981
Oakland (+3) 27
Philadelphia 10
37.5, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
XIV
1980
Pittsburgh (-10.5) 31
Los Angeles 19
36, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XIII
1979
Pittsburgh (-3.5) 35
Dallas 31
37, OVER
Miami, FL
XII
1978
Dallas (-6) 27
Denver 10
39, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
XI
1977
Oakland (-4) 32
Minnesota 14
38, OVER
Pasadena, CA
X
1976
Pittsburgh 21
Dallas (+7) 17
36, OVER
Miami, FL
IX
1975
Pittsburgh (-3) 16
Minnesota 6
33, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
VIII
1974
Miami (-6.5) 24
Minnesota 7
33, UNDER
Houston, TX
VII
1973
Miami (+1.5) 14
Washington 7
33, UNDER
Los Angeles, CA
VI
1972
Dallas (-6) 24
Miami 3
34, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
V
1971
Baltimore (+2.5) 16
Dallas 13
36, UNDER
Miami, FL
IV
1970
Kansas City (+12) 23
Minnesota 7
39, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
III
1969
NY Jets (+18) 16
Baltimore 7
40, UNDER
Miami, FL
II
1968
Green Bay (-13.5) 33
Oakland 14
43, OVER
Miami, FL
I
1967
Green Bay (-14) 35
Kansas City 10
NL
Los Angeles, CA


Tags: NFL Super Bowl LII



NFL Conference Championship Betting Podcast 1-19-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

01.19.2018     01:05 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange discussed this weekend's NFL Conference Championship matchups.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - NFL Conference Championships

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots

01.19.2018     09:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Jacksonville at New England
Sunday, Noon PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -8 O/U 46.5
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 46
Recommendation: New England

There’s plenty of buzz on the Jacksonville Jaguars here in Las Vegas. I’ve been hearing all week about how well the Jaguars match up with the Patriots and how the warm weather in Foxboro (gametime temperatures in the 40’s) is a major boost for Jacksonville’s chances. Throw in a mysterious Tom Brady hand/wrist injury that kept him out of practice on Thursday and all of a sudden, we’re seeing New England priced in the -7 range at home.

First and foremost; make no mistake about it: Tom Brady is going to play on Sunday. According to the Boston Globe’s Jim McBride, the Hall of Fame QB “didn’t seem hampered in any way” in the part of Wednesday’s practice that reporters were allowed to watch. And Brady consistently misses at least one day of regular practice during the regular season to rest his aging body. The Brady media buzz is just that – media buzz, yet the markets have made a significant adjustment in favor of the road underdog over the past 24 hours.

This isn’t new or different. ‘Sharp’ money has been fading the Patriots, week after week, for the better part of the last two years. New England’s statistical profile is anything BUT elite, particularly on the defensive side of the football, where they rank as low as #31 in the NFL based on highly influential advanced metric stats.

Of course these stats are lying. If you’ve watched the Patriots over the past three months, you know that their September defensive shortcomings did not carry over to the final ¾ of the season. In their last 13 games – since their Week 4 loss to the Panthers – the Pats have allowed a grand total of 182 points, an average of just 14 points per game. Only two of their last 13 opponents have produced more than 17 points against this defense. Yet the stats that wiseguys use say the Pats defense is due for a major correction.

I’m not buying that argument; nor should you. What New England has accomplished ATS over the past two years can only be described as ‘remarkable’. The Pats statistical profile screams ‘bet-against’ , so the sharp $$ fades Brady and Belichick week after week after week. The end result? New England has been the SINGLE BEST pointspread team in the NFL for the last two years, despite their ‘public’ nature as five time Super Bowl champs.

The results don’t lie. New England went an NFL best 16-3 ATS in 2017 on their way to the Super Bowl title, including a 9-1 ATS mark in their last ten games and a 3-0 ATS mark in the playoffs. This year, New England is an NFL best 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games since their 3-3 ATS start, once again ranked as the #1 pointspread team in football. And yet the $$ continues to pour in AGAINST the Pats.

New England is as fresh as any team can be at this stage of the campaign. Over the past month, the Pats have faced the Bills and Jets at home, both easy blowouts, then had a bye week, then another easy blowout over Tennessee last week, also at home. That’s certainly not the case for the Jacksonville Jaguars. They’ve been in intense, down to the wire games in each of the last four weeks; three of them on the highway. No surprise here if the Jags run out of steam at some point in this one.

Last, but not least, let’s not forget about those supposed matchup edges that the Jags have against the Patriots. Jacksonville does have a solid pass rush from their front four and a couple of elite cornerbacks. What they DON’T have is the ability to get those cornerbacks into matchups against the Patriots. Rob Gronkowski – the tight end – led the team with 69 catches this season. RB’s James White, Dion Lewis and Rex Burkhead all had 30+ catches out of the backfield. Tom Brady doesn’t have to test Jalen Ramsey and AJ Bouye here – he can simply find other weapons, something no QB in the NFL does better than him.

The Patriots have been in six straight AFC title games, as experienced as it gets for settings like this one. Blake Bortles and company are about to find out that New England ain’t Pittsburgh

Tags: NFL Jacksonville Jaguars New England Patriots Teddy Covers



NFL Gambling Alert: Brady's hand injury pushes pointspread as low as -7

01.19.2018     08:42 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tom Brady hurt? Tom Brady hurt! While it's very unlikely he won't play (he's listed as "probable") Brady's hand injury has sparked some movement in the betting markets with CRIS currently showing New England -7 (-115). Other offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks remain at -7.5.


“We’re going to get ready for Jacksonville, do the best that we can, make the best decisions for the team that we can. That’s what we’re going to do,” Belichick said.

Asked how Brady’s status complicates the game plan, Belichick said, “I don’t know.” Asked a follow-up along similar lines, Belichick said, “I don’t know. We’ll see.”



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Jacksonville Jaguars



NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Vegas Golden Knights at Tampa Bay Lightning

01.18.2018     09:32 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vegas +145 at Tampa Bay O/U 6
Recommendation: Vegas

The Vegas Golden Knights qualify under a 20-10 67% betting angle over the last two seasons; bet on teams playing their normal scheduling routine against teams playing their first game following the league mandated five-day break which the Tampa Bay Lightning will be doing tonight. However, that is not the sole reason for backing Vegas tonight. Tampa Bay suffered a massive injury in their last game prior to the break against the Calgary Flames when their stalwart defenseman and one of the best in the NHL at his position Victor Hedman left the game with a left knee injury that has sidelined him for 4-6 weeks which opens up a huge void the Lightning are going to have to fill on their blue line. Hedman plays the most minutes of any Lightning defensemen and plays in all situations so his absence is as big as it gets and the fact, Tampa Bay crumbled mentally and physically getting routed by Calgary 5-1 and falling apart in the moments following Hedman’s departure from the game speaks volumes about the impact he makes on this hockey team and their success. Tampa Bay has had a great first half of the season but they were only an ordinary .500 hockey team just prior to their break going 4-4 in their last 8 games. Vegas is in a solid bounce back spot here in addition to being poised to take advantage of a potentially rusty Tampa Bay squad. The Golden Knights have dropped two games in a row each by a single goal coming out of their 5 day break to Edmonton and Nashville but they outshot those teams by a combined margin of 79-57. They played well enough to win both games and I expect they will turn some of those missed chances into goals tonight. Tampa Bay lost their first game after their mandatory 5 day break period last season dropping a 4-3 game in OT to Dallas and I think they are at risk of losing in this game tonight. There is enough value to step in with a recommendation on Vegas in this +145 underdog price range.

Tags: NHL Vegas Golden Knights Tampa Bay Lightning Ian Cameron



NFL Playoff Gambling: Bettors show support for Jaguars and Eagles

01.18.2018     09:01 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After seeing early money come in on both favorites for Sunday's NFL Conference Championship matchups, it's the underdogs that are now seeing support. New England opened -8 vs. Jacksonville and was bet up to as high as -9.5. The Patriots are now -8.5 offshore and -9 at a majority of the Las Vegas sportsbooks. Minnesota opened -3 at Philadelphia. The Vikings saw early action that drove the line up to -3.5. All of the -3.5s have currently been taken out with Minnesota now -3 both offshore and in Vegas. According to Sports Options, 63% of the "betting public" is on the Patriots with 58% have supported the Eagles.

Tags: NFL Jacksonville Jaguars New England Patriots Minnesota Vikings Philadelphia Eagles Las Vegas



College Basketball Betting Podcast 1-18-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow

01.18.2018     08:46 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow. Brent and host Andrew Lange discusses tonight's power conference college basketball games. 

Today's segments
Brent Crow - College Basketball


To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow Andrew Lange



NBA and CBB Betting Podcast 1-17-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Brent Crow

01.17.2018     02:18 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Brent Crow. ER, Brent and host Andrew Lange discusses tonight's NBA and college basketball cards. 

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - NBA

Brent Crow - College Basketball

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA College Basketball Erin Rynning Brent Crow Andrew Lange



NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder

01.17.2018     12:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Lakers at Oklahoma City -10 O/U 216.5
Recommendation: Over

Of all the stats that I’ve researched in the NBA this season, perhaps the single most surprising numbers come from the LA Lakers; more specifically from Lonzo Ball. Rookie point guards aren’t noted for their defense. Rookie ‘one and done’ point guards coming out of college with a single year of playing time under a non-defensive minded head coach, in particular, are not noted for strong defense.

All of which makes the advanced metric stats stand out even more. Ball rates as the #1 defensive point guard in the NBA (of players that average at least 20 minutes per game). And those aren’t just some random, meaningless stats – the results show it very, very clearly.

Since Christmas, with Lonzo Ball on the court, the Lakers are 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS and 4-1 to the Under. Without Ball on the court, LA is 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS and 6-1 to the Over. That’s a meaningful dichotomy, not a random one, and Ball is listed as doubtful again this evening, not likely to suit up against Russell Westbrook and company.

The point guard battle is likely to be a problematic matchup for LA again this evening. Russell Westbrook and the Thunder have faced the Lakers once already this season, a game that Lonzo Ball didn’t play. Westbrook carved up Luke Walton’s defense, as the Thunder generated 36 assists on their whopping 56 made baskets, shooting better than 60% from the floor in a 37 point blowout.

LA just hung 114 on Memphis, yet they lost at home by margin, a 123-114 shootout that FLEW over the closing total of 203.5. OKC has cashed three consecutive Unders, helping to keep a lid on the total movement upwards tonight. Look for LA’s defensive woes to be the difference maker here, in a game primed to be a high scoring affair from start to finish.

Tags: NBA Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Teddy Covers



College Basketball Betting Free Play: Richmond Spiders at VCU Rams

01.17.2018     12:38 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Richmond at VCU
Recommendation: Under 70.5 first half

VCU head coach Mike Rhoades is not a happy camper. Last time out his squad allowed 106 points in regulation to an average Dayton squad.

“When you get taken out to the woodshed ... you can blame, blame, point fingers, you can make excuses,” Rhoades said. “Or you can look in the mirror and say, 'I got to do better, we got to do better, we got to do more.' ”

Tonight serves as a chance for redemption, especially considering the opponent is crosstown rival Richmond. Overall, the Rams have been pretty formulaic: beat the weak, lose when asked to step up in class. Richmond is in a rebuilding year with one of the youngest rosters in the country. The Spiders took their lumps early on but have quietly improved. Since getting blown out in back-to-back games against Wake Forest and Old Dominion, the Spiders are 3-5 SU with the five losses coming by margins of 8, 5 (OT), 4 (OT), 7, and 6.

Rhoades eventually wants VCU to get back to playing a more chaotic style similar to that of what we saw under Shaka Smart. The problem thus far is that opposing teams haven't been bothered by the defensive pressure VCU has tried to create. Based on Rhoades' quotes and the personnel advantages they'll have in this matchup, I think VCU is sitting on their best defensive performance of the season. A number of ways we can play it but for now we'll look to play the first half under the total.

Tags: College Basketball Richmond Spiders VCU Rams Brent Crow



NFL Conference Championship Betting Podcast 1-16-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

01.16.2018     12:41 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report (OLR) in which he and host Andrew Lange discussed NFL Conference Championship line moves and where bettors can expect the lines to move throughout the week. Teddy also gave out a free pick in college basketball. 

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Conference Championship (and CBB Free Play)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

01.16.2018     01:49 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Jersey -120 at NY Islanders O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Over

Betting New York Islanders games over the total has proven to be a meal ticket and season long cash cow for me this season. The Isles enter tonight’s game at 30-12 O/U and none of it is by accident. New York has an offense that doesn’t need many chances or scoring opportunities to produce goals. The Islanders are averaging 3.44 goals per game this season which improves to 3.81 goals per game on home ice. New Jersey is having a brutal time of it in terms of keeping the puck out of their own net. The Devils have surrendered 3+ goals in six straight games and a total of 26 goals allowed during that span so it is not surprising to see them trending 5-1 O/U during this stretch. Cory Schneider tonight’s starting goalie for New Jersey and their #1 netminder has hit a rough patch lately allowing 4 or more goals in five consecutive starts and the Over has cashed in each of those five games. I would expect the NY Islanders to find the back of the net early and often tonight as they have in most of their games throughout the season. On the flip side, for as good as the Islanders are offensively, they are extremely fragile and weak on the defensive end of the ice. The Islanders have yielded 4+ goals in seven of their last eight games thanks to a suspect defense, a brutal 29th ranked penalty kill and very shaky goaltending on a nightly basis from the Jaroslav Halak and Thomas Greiss combination as both goalies have a GAA above 3 which is well below average. New Jersey is an improved offensive team this season as they are averaging 3.1 goals per game and have scored 3 or more in eight of their last ten games. The Devils and Islanders played against each other one time earlier this season and the result was a 5-4 high scoring affair won by the Islanders. Expect another game featuring plenty of goals tonight sending this game over the total.

Tags: NHL New Jersey Devils New York Islanders



NFL Gambling News: Ending of Saints-Vikings had huge pointspread implications

01.15.2018     11:13 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas sportsbook directors react to the ending of the New Orleans-Minnesota game in which the Vikings scored a touchdown, went up 5, went bonkers, came back out, and took a knee for the extra point. Minnesota closed -5.5 and won 29-24.


“That play balanced us out,” Kornegay told USA TODAY Sports. “(That) type of last-second play has been going against us, but this time it was exactly what we needed. It was a good thing for us. It would have been better had the Vikings made the extra point.”

“We needed that extra point,” Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading at William Hill, told USA TODAY Sports. “The Vikings’ touchdown did save us when it came to those who bet the Saints on the money line.” 



Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings New Orleans Saints



College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northern Illinois Huskies at Buffalo Bulls

01.16.2018     10:50 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northern Illinois at Buffalo -15 O/U 155
Recommendation: Under

The Buffalo Bulls are off to a 4-0 start in MAC play; all four wins by double-digits. The first of the four was a resounding 104-94 victory over Toledo. The result and pace (80 possessions) seems to have "juiced" the Bulls totals a bit. Since the win over Toledo, Buffalo has played three straight opponents very similar to Northern Illinois. Against Ball State, Akron, and Miami-Ohio, the game scores were 146, 152, and 148; all of which went under the total. More importantly, the Bulls didn't allow more than 66 points. Northern Illinois played a handful of high scoring affairs during the non-conference but we've seen the Huskies return to the "norm" since MAC play began. NIU's four league games yielded four "unders" and games scores of 136, 146, 123, and 138. Buffalo serves as a big step up in class but NIU just hasn't shown much of a willingness if any to play up-tempo during Mark Montgomery's seven-year tenure. Also note that last year's meeting closed 144.5 and Buffalo won 65-45. We won't see a low score like that tonight but plenty of wiggle room to get us under the current number of 155.

Tags: College Basketball Northern Illinois Huskies Buffalo Bulls OTTO Sports



College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears

01.15.2018     12:10 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma State at Baylor -5 O/U 145
Recommendation: Under

Took a contrarian side to victory with the Free Play last week and will do it again here in this Big XII match-up. Subtraction of last season’s Head Coach Brad Underwood has not changed the Cowboys offensive style as they still play a high tempo brand of basketball under new HC Mike Boynton. Their average adjusted tempo has increased in Big XII play from 71 possessions to 74 based on KenPom numbers which is understandable since the league is loaded with up and down style teams. To their credit, OSU has remained an efficient offensive team despite significant personnel losses from last season but the overall number includes more than a half dozen non-conference defensive cupcakes. Games frequently unfold situationally due to styles and what’s interesting here about the Cowboys is how their brand of offense was stoned Saturday by slow tempo-defense oriented Texas. Despite a very respectable 44.8 FG% against the Longhorns who only allow an average of 42%, the game was reduced to a crawl and 65-64 final score.

For the last 3-4 years, Baylor has made a niche for itself in the Big XII playing slow temp and rugged, lock down defense. They’ve developed an ability to slow the conference’s 94 foot, get out and go offenses based on their desire to control speed on each end of the floor. Scott Drew’s team is not a high pressure, pass lane jumping type but one of the get back & set up, contest every shot, clock draining variety. They currently sit 331st in the nation in offensive tempo and and 25th in defensive efficiency which forms the dominant blueprint they use to dictate pace of their games.

Last season in their pair of meetings, Oklahoma State was unable to speed Baylor up. Even with dynamic point guard Jawun Evans and long range sniper Phil Forte leading one of the most explosive offenses in the land, 118 and 141 were the final game totals. Tonight’s number has churned upward rapidly to 145 off the opener of 139 almost identical to last Tuesday’s Duquesne-VCU game used in this blog. Will approach this one the same way based upon fundamentals and recommend a play on the under.

Tags: College Basketball Oklahoma State Cowboys Baylor Bears Rob Veno






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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jan 23, 2018 09:59 PM.