Buffalo at Ball State -4.5 O/U 52 
Recommendation: Over

Buffalo head coach Jeff Quinn took over the Bulls program last year after serving as the offensive coordinator for the Cincinnati Bearcats and Brian Kelly. Remember that Bearcats offense? It was the epitome of quick hitting and up-tempo. Quinn unfortunately had a disaster of a time installing his scheme last year, or should I say the Bulls had a difficult time running the offense. The quarterback position was beyond brutal (think Carolina Panthers with Jimmy Clausen) as the Bulls averaged an awful 14.2 points per game. Much has changed with the Bulls since then including the transfer of former Bearcat quarterback Chazz Anderson. Anderson is talented and knows the offense. He's also a fifth-year senior who can help teach the offense to younger players. In their first game the Bulls tallied over 400 yards of offense against a real good Pitt defense. This Buffalo offense will be much improved and will find it easier getting the ball in the end zone against Ball State. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are going through a transition with new head coach Pete Lembo. Lembo's teams have loved to throw the football, while his former team Elon finished second in the FCS last year in passing yards. Last year, Elon threw the ball 453 times, while Ball State hurled the pigskin 309 times. True sophomore Keith Wenning is the real deal at the quarterback position and Buffalo, with just three starters back on defense, is a far cry from the South Florida offense they faced last week. The value is certainly there for us to play this game over the total.