SportsMemo.com
Login:
Click to Use Secure Login
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of SportsMemo.com and log back in to recreate your forum session.
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

College Football Handicapping Tips: Power Offenses and the 200 Club

11.10.2011     08:22 AM         Printer Friendly

Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Back in early October, I provided an update on college football teams that both run and pass for at least 200 yards per game. These strong, balanced power offenses have the ability to effectively move the ball both on the ground and through the air, making it more difficult for defenses to game plan and create stops.

At that time of the season, the following teams were members of the “200 club”: Alabama, Baylor, Clemson, Florida, Georgia Tech, Mississippi State, Missouri, Oregon, San Diego State, TCU, Texas, UCF, Utah State, Virginia Tech. Through the early portion of the season, those teams went 26-14 ATS. Many of those teams are still among our list, and I’ve included the updated information and stats for your review along with their ATS records in the chart below.

The ability to gauge statistical profiles more clearly at this stage of the season can help knowing that teams have played more conference games and their body of work is more meaningful. Still, review strength of schedule and match-ups, common opponents and other situational and scheduling spots before blindly betting on these strong offensive teams.  

Last season at the end of October, there were 29 teams that rushed for at least 200 yards per game and 75 teams that passed for at least 200 yards per game. This season, there are 25 teams that rush for at least 200 ypg and 85 teams that pass for at least 200 ypg. There are 42 teams that pass for at least 250 yards per game, so combining the 200+ rushing and 250+ passing will provide even stronger offensive teams and production. Note that there were 34 teams that rushed for at least 200 ypg on Saturday, October 1, so fewer teams are showing the strongest running games.

One way to determine even stronger offensive teams from the list is to isolate those teams that rush for at least 5.0 ypr and pass for at least 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Add in those teams that score at least 30 points per game and you have some of the strongest, most balanced and efficient offenses in the nation. I’ve put an ** next to those teams that fit that profile.

Clearly we have to analyze the defensive side of the ball for both teams and the match-ups for a given week, along with the adjusted pointspread. Note injuries and how they may have affected a team’s statistical profile. Also understand the motivation level in a match-up and note some of the biggest rivalry games of the season are this month. As you become more proficient in evaluating statistics and understanding strength of schedule, situations (momentum vs. letdown), motivation and incorporating injuries and their impact into the equation, you’ll realize when teams are overvalued or undervalued based on skewed stats and SOS. When you have a team with both strong offensive production and defensive dominance, then you’re going to have some of the top teams in the nation that win conference titles and play in BSC bowl games.

Good defensive coordinators can take an average defense and slow down another team’s offense if they lack balance. Thus, high-powered passing teams that lack a running game are susceptible to inconsistent performances, especially if their own defense is not up to par. Now, there are high-powered potent offenses not on this list, and I’ve listed some of them above the chart. By providing all these teams to you, perhaps you can narrow your card or focus in on some of these teams’ match-ups moving forward for the remainder of the season and Bowls. 

Update your numbers weekly and pay attention to on-field performance, especially vs. quality opponents. At this stage of the season, you’ll see some teams playing with less energy and motivation (towel tossers), so season long statistics can be misleading. As you become more proficient in evaluating strengths and weaknesses, you’ll find yourself with more tap-in birdies, and build your bankroll by getting the green on the gridiron.

Since it becomes more difficult to rush for a 200 ypg average as the season progresses as the competition stiffens for most teams, the following teams should also be on your “power offense" watch list, as they run for at least 170 ypg and pass for at least 200 ypg: Boise State (183 ypg rushing, 295 ypg passing), Cincinnati (194, 231), Georgia (175, 253), Illinois (198, 204), Iowa State (183, 209), Mississippi State (187, 213), Michigan (232, 196), Notre Dame (175, 255), Ohio (192, 266), Oklahoma State (170, 388), UCF (180, 236), Virginia (190, 237), Wyoming (177, 242).  

For the record, teams that run and pass for at least 200 yards in a single game have produced better than 70% ATS winners the past 2+ seasons.

YPR = yards-per-rush; YPPA = yards-per-pass attempt

College Football Power Offenses as of 11/10/2011
Team
Rushing
YPR
Passing
YPPA
PPG
ATS
Alabama **
214
5.60
225
7.88
36
7-2
Baylor **
214
5.05
362
10.32
41
4-3
Missouri **
245
5.50
255
7.92
35
5-4
Nevada **
267
5.50
257
8.65
32
4-4
Northern Illinois **
247
5.90
224
7.91
41
5-5
Oregon **
298
7.00
212
8.16
46
5-3-1
San Diego State
200
5.33
226
7.38
30
3-5
Southern Miss
207
5.04
244
7.20
37
7-2
South Florida
201
4.84
267
7.31
32
3-5
Stanford **
224
5.70
281
8.91
48
9-0
TCU **
227
5.50
224
8.37
41
4-5
Virginia Tech
200
4.80
227
7.81
29
3-6
Wisconsin **
248
5.73
257
10.60
47
6-3
 
   
Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in football handicapping and one of the industries insightful point spread prognosticators when analyzing statistics. He’s been a premier, proven performer and is at his best as the season progresses with more stats and data to digest. His 2010 NFL season was a record-breaking performance as he went 55-30 ATS (65%) with over +30-units of profit (1 and 2 unit scale) and his last 2+ years of college and pro football results have produced solid overall profit. Fairway Jay won the 2010 Wise Guys invitation only football contest along with top honors on his best bet selections; going 14-3-1. If you’re looking for a proven performer that provides insight and info you can bet on, then join Fairway Jay and profit from his experience.

Tags: College Football __




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:




VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
  Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
Was 156, $99
Get 20* side reports from Teddy Covers, OTTO Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin for the discounted rate of $99 (reg. price $156). Each play is guaranteed to cash or that handicapper's top NFL play for Sunday is on the house.

Was 117, $79
Get 20* totals reports from Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, and Andrew Lange for the discounted rate of $79 (reg. price $117). Each play is guaranteed to cash or that handicapper's top NFL play for Sunday is on the house.

$39
Drew Martin is in with his highest rated game of the entire year in Conference USA. This 20* Top Shelf selection is slated to kickoff Saturday. Drew is heating up of late hitting at a 63% clip since September 10th in CFB/NFL. He looks to start off Saturday with a Top Shelf (2 Unit) CUSA Game of the Year CASH $$$. Jump on board for this 20* CUSA Game of the Year for only $39; guaranteed to win or Drew's next top football selection is on the house.

$39
Erin Rynning has been Sportsmemo's TOP PRODUCER in college football this season with 60% winners and over +10 units of profit. For Saturday, he checks in with a HUGE 20* total. Lock it in NOW for only $39. It must win or his top NFL selection for Sunday is free of charge.

$39
Rob Veno has carved a place for himself among the ELITE Best Bet handicappers in the country and his 20* Bluechips have been a major part of that success. Since July 2007 Rob has hit an outstanding long term 62.8% with these selections in CFB resulting in +82.0 units of profit. For Saturday Rob has released his 20* CFB Conference Total Of The Month and you can join him for just $39. This play must win or his next 20* report will be yours free of charge.

$39
Big plays and big profits for OTTO Sports and his clients. Over the last three seasons, he's cashed 67% of his CFB 20*s. For Saturday, he checks in with a 2-unit selection that has earned PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR status! It must win or Sunday's NFL 20* play is free of charge.

$39
Ian Cameron has banked +15.5 units in College Football since the start of last season which includes +7.3 units so far this season in CFB. Ian has been money in the bank owning a dominant 16-7 70% +16.6 units streak with his top rated 20* plays in CFB since the start of last season. He is ready to deliver another strong 2 unit winner on Saturday with his 20* CFB ACC Game Of The Year. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $39 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFB play is free.

$39
Teddy heads into the weekend on a RED HOT all sports run, cashing at an 88% clip since last Sunday! Expect more winning action right here with Teddy's 20* Big Ticket NCAA Game of the Week as the Fighting Irish and Trojans battle in South Bend. Who will win and why? Find out here, before it happens & cash in riding another rock solid cash! This play must win or his next Big Ticket report is FREE!

$39
Off last week's sweep of the board, Andrew Lange looks to keep it rolling with a big 20* SEC Total of the Month for Saturday's college football action. Lock in Lange's top play for Week 8 for $39. It must cash or Sunday's NFL 20* is on the house.

$39
Undefeated Miami takes on Syracuse who last time out pulled one of the biggest upsets of the year with a win over Clemson. Brent Crow has the winning ticket for the game which kicks off at 12:30 pm PT on ESPN. Crow's 20* selection is guaranteed to win or Sunday's NFL 20* is on the house.

$35
Rob Veno's Top Tier plays have proven to be long term ticket cashing machines as evidenced by the +96.5 units added to bankrolls in all sports since 2013. For Saturday action he has zeroed in on a matchup that he's released as his 15* CFB Best Bet Totals Crusher. You can join him on this selection for just $35 and it must win or you will receive Rob's next report absolutely free.

$29
Ian Cameron has dominated the Canadian Football League banking +26.72 units in the CFL since 2012. Ian is on a solid and profitable 34-20 63% streak in the CFL heading into Week 18 and he is ready to deliver more profits with his 10* CFL Saturday West Coast Winner. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL play is free.

$39
Erin Rynning DOMINATES the NFL, especially with the 20*s having hit 62% since 2012, good for +31.8 units of profit. For Sunday, he comes in with a 2-unit NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH selection which you can pick it up for only $39. It's guaranteed to cash or his next top rated football play is free of charge.

$39
Teddy delivered the goods for himself and his clients AGAIN last Sunday, delivering the perfect 3-0 sweep. He followed that up with a Monday Night winner on the Titans, now cashing at a 63% in NFL action since Week 1. Take advantage of this weak pointspread, offering savvy bettors the superior team at an underdog price, worthy of Big Ticket status! This play must cash or his next report is FREE!

$39
Dating back to 2012, Andrew Lange and his clients have absolutely CRUSHED the NFL with 60% winners. That's 5+ years, over 210 selections, and 60% winning action. He comes in with a top rated total for Sunday's action. DO NOT MISS OUT! Only $39 and guaranteed to cash or his next top rated football play is free.

$39
Ian Cameron and his clients have dominated the National Football League with +26.7 units of profit in the NFL since 2015 including +2.8 units YTD. Ian has been crushing the books with his top rated 20* NFL plays since the start of last season with a 17-8 68% record and +16.4 units winning record. He is ready to deliver another 2 unit NFL winner on Sunday with his 20* NFL NFC Total Of The Month. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $39 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next NFL play is free.

$39
Doesn't matter is if it is college or pro, OTTO Sports knows how to hit the BIG plays with 60% winners with his 2-unit plays over the last three years. For Sunday, he checks in with a 20* TOTAL OF THE MONTH selection. It's a guaranteed winner or his next top rated football play is free.

$39
Rob Veno has carved a place for himself among the ELITE Best Bet handicappers in the country and his 20* Bluechips have been a major part of that success. Since January 2014 Rob has hit an outstanding long term 61.7% with these selections in all sports resulting in +115.4 units of profit. For Sunday Rob has released his 20* NFC Game Of The Month and you can join him for just $39. This play must win or his next 20* report will be yours free of charge.

$35
Rob Veno's Top Tier plays have proven to be long term ticket cashing machines as evidenced by the +96.5 units added to bankrolls in all sports since 2013. For Sunday action he has zeroed in on a matchup that he's released as his 15* NFL Best Bet Side Blowout. You can join him on this selection for just $35 and it must win or you will receive Rob's next report absolutely free.

$29
Ian Cameron has dominated the Canadian Football League banking +26.72 units in the CFL since 2012. Ian is on a solid and profitable 34-20 63% streak in the CFL heading into Week 18 and he is ready to deliver more profits with his 10* CFL Sunday Top Play. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL play is free.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------

More Blog Entries Submitted by

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 20, 2017 11:45 PM.