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College Football Handicapping: Kansas could be a great over bet this season

08.02.2016     11:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
By default, Kansas is probably going to be better than last year. It may not result in more wins or even pointspread covers, but being outgained by 2.26 yards per play is hard to duplicate. The Jayhawks were equally awful in 2014 and were outgained by "only" 1.67 ypp. It's clear that head coach David Beaty's "air raid" offense isn't the right fit for winning games or even being competitive considering the roster's current lack of talent but any increase in offensive productivity and the right opponent (and number) and perhaps there will be some value on playing this squad over the total. Kansas finished 6-6 O/U last season but three of the team's six unders were with totals of 71, 74, and 76 high numbers even for a competent offense. When priced with totals below 60, KU went 5-2 O/U. And in those seven games, Kansas topped two touchdowns only twice. Keep an eye out for situations where the Jayhawks face more moderate offenses (and thus moderate totals attached to their games).

“Utilizing tempo makes the defense line up to where we know exactly where to go with the ball,” Cozart said, explaining the faster Kansas moves the more difficult it becomes for defenses to disguise their coverages.

“They're excited about being in an offense that's been — it's proven to be productive, you know. Just about every team that runs it,” Beaty said of the Air Raid, “has been very productive. If you track their statistics in one category or another they're up near the top of the country.”


Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII

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