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Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 11-22-2017

11.22.2017     10:48 AM     Printer Friendly

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Here is Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 13. Handicappers Drew Martin, Teddy Covers, and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down Saturday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Drew Martin Rob Veno Andrew Lange



College Basketball Betting Podcast 11-21-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

11.21.2017     09:57 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down today's college basketball tournament action.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno Andrew Lange



NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus goes 4-1 ATS, improves to 22-33 ATS

11.20.2017     11:05 AM     Printer Friendly

UPDATE

Westgate SuperContest consensus plays finished 4-1 against the spread last week. That puts the YTD record at 22-33 ATS. The top weekly play is now 6-5 ATS. The least picked Sunday side is 4-7 ATS.

1. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 at Dallas - WIN
2. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 vs. Oakland - WIN
3. DETROIT -2.5 at Chicago - WIN
4. MINNESOTA -2.5 vs. LA Rams - WIN
5. NEW ORLEANS -7.5 vs. Washington - LOSS

Least picked Sunday side: ARIZONA pk at Houston - LOSS

YTD Results
Week 1: 0-5
Week 2: 3-2
Week 3: 2-3
Week 4: 4-1
Week 5: 1-4
Week 6: 2-3
Week 7: 0-5
Week 8: 2-3
Week 9: 3-2
Week 10: 1-4
Week 11: 4-1




NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus all in on Eagles and Patriots

11.18.2017     09:03 PM     View Original Blog
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 11 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 at Dallas
2. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 vs. Oakland
3. DETROIT -2.5 at Chicago
4. MINNESOTA vs. LA Rams
5. NEW ORLEANS -7.5 vs. Washington

Least picked Sunday side: ARIZONA pk at Houston




Tags: NFL SuperContest



College Basketball Betting Free Play: Rider Broncos at George Washington Colonials

11.20.2017     11:00 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rider at George Washington -5.5 O/U 148.5
Recommendation: Over

You don't often see head coaches with a few years under their belt dramatically change their scheme. Rider head coach Kevin Baggett had his team play at a moderate pace his first three seasons; 178th, 137th, and 179th nationally in pace. In 2016, due to a lack of talent, they were one of the slowest teams in the country. But last season, Baggett chose to change things up as the Broncos were 24th in pace at over 72 possessions per game. It yielded a five-win improvement. This year, despite losing four starters, Baggett said the offense will continue to push and also become more efficient. The body of work isn't much with two games against bottom feeders Hampton and Hartford in which Rider hung 89 and 90. They also managed to get to get to 75 against a solid Xavier defense. In each game, the pace topped 75 possessions. George Washington appears to be feeling the impact of losing four starters. The Colonials got past bottom feeder Howard, 84-75, and were then outclassed by Florida State, 87-67. And last time out, GW limped past Hampton, 65-57; the same Hampton squad Rider beat 90-75. Defensively, both teams currently grade out at below average. George Washington lost a lot from a team that ranked 12th in the A-10 in defensive efficiency. And when Rider isn't forcing turnovers it can be had in the half court (Xavier shot 21-of-26 from 2). Despite the venue, the total seems to be shaded more towards Rider's pace than GW's. But I think we'll see somewhere in the neighborhood of 75 possessions which coupled with an average offensive night give us a shot to cash an over.

 

Tags: College Basketball Rider Broncos George Washington Colonials Andrew Lange



NFL Betting Podcast 11-20-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

11.20.2017     10:30 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report (OLR) in which he and host Andrew Lange discussed NFL Week 12 line moves and where bettors can expect the lines to move throughout the week. 

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



NFL Handicapping: Denver fires offensive coordinator Mike McCoy

11.20.2017     09:10 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Six straight losses (0-6 ATS) was enough of a reason for the Denver Broncos to fire offensive coordinator Mike McCoy. Quarterbacks coach Bill Musgrave will take over the team's play calling duties. Denver ranks a semi-respectable 18th in total offense (329.8 ypg) and outgained Cincinnati by 151 yards but still found a way to lose 20-17 on Sunday. With six games remaining, the season is all but a wash. However, all six opponents rank in the bottom half of the league in yards per play allowed.

Denver's Remaining Opponents' YPP Allowed
Oakland - 6.0 (t-31st)
Miami - 5.6 (t-23rd)
NY Jets - 5.3 (t-17th)
Indianapolis - 6.0 (t-31st)
Washington - 5.8 (t-27th)
Kansas City - 5.8 (t-27th)

 

Tags: NFL Denver Broncos



NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus all in on Eagles and Patriots

11.18.2017     09:03 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 11 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 at Dallas
2. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 vs. Oakland
3. DETROIT -2.5 at Chicago
4. MINNESOTA vs. LA Rams
5. NEW ORLEANS -7.5 vs. Washington

Least picked Sunday side: ARIZONA pk at Houston

Tags: NFL SuperContest



NFL Handicapper Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers

11.18.2017     08:52 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Green Bay
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: Batimore -2.5 O/U 38
CRIS Current: Baltimore -2 O/U 38
Recommendation: Baltimore

We’ve seen the Packers offense for three games without Aaron Rodgers now, and Green Bay hasn’t been able to move the football effectively in any of them. Yes, the Packers were able to beat lowly Chicago by a TD last week; playing with a rookie QB in a game where Bears head coach John Fox literally gave away a touchdown with an ill-fated challenge. But they gained only 5.3 yards per play for the afternoon, converted only one of their three red zone chances into touchdowns, and did not pass the eye test any more than they did the previous week in a Monday Night Football home loss to the Lions.

To make matters worse for the Packers, the injury bug continues to bite Mike McCarthy’s squad. Their offensive line is riddled with key losses once again, with Brian Bulaga placed on IR and three starters listed as questionable for Sunday. They’ve got injuries all over the place on defense too, with Morgan Burnett, Nick Perry and Kevin King all questionable.

It doesn’t stop there either. Packers running backs Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones, who have kept the pressure off Brett Hundley, are both banged up as well, with Jones out until December. And perhaps most importantly of all, Hundley hurt his hamstring last week. For a mobile QB who is at his best when moving out of the pocket and throwing on the run, that is most assuredly an impact injury, especially against the Ravens stout defensive front.

John Harbaugh’s teams have enjoyed great success off the bye. The Ravens are 7-2 SU after bye weeks in the Harbaugh era, including 2-1 on the road. That includes a 4-0 SU record against teams that enter the game with a winning record, like they’ll face here against the 5-4 Packers. Unlike Green Bay, Harbaugh’s squad is getting healthier; excellent news for a squad that was riddled with injuries right from the start of training camp. His quote: “I feel like we are more full strength than we have been all year.”

The Ravens season long statistics stink, in large part due to all the early injuries they suffered. Their 4.4 yards per play on offense, their -0.5 yards per play differential between offense and defense and Joe Flacco’s career worst 72.7 QB rating all look ugly for wiseguy bettors who peruse those stats closely. That ensures we’re NOT going to see any kind of significant market support for Baltimore this week, despite the fact that they are the superior and healthier squad, rested and ready off their bye. With Jeremy Maclin and Danny Woodhead both expected back on the field this week, those season long stats are more misleading than accurate for the Baltimore offense moving forward.

Tags: College Basketball Baltimore Ravens Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers



NFL Week 11 Betting Podcast 11-17-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

11.17.2017     03:56 PM     Printer Friendly

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Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 11. Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



College Football Betting Preview: SMU Mustangs at Memphis Tigers

11.17.2017     10:33 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
SMU at Memphis
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPNN
CRIS Opener: Memphis -11.5 O/U 77
CRIS Current: Memphis -12.5 O/U 71.5
Recommendation: SMU

Seen this total get played down nearly a touchdown due to forecasted winds in the 20+ mph range. That’s an obvious concern for two teams in SMU and Memphis that like to throw the football. The passing games will still be on display but the deep shots could be limited. In terms of running the ball, SMU could have an advantage with stronger conference numbers than Memphis. Against AAC foes, the Mustangs average 5.2 ypc and 181.8 ypg. The Tigers are a notch below at 4.7 ypc and 150.7 ypg. Defensively, there isn't much that separates either squad. Memphis' overall numbers are slightly better but SMU's took a hit after back-to-back games against the potent offenses of UCF and Navy in which the defense allowed nearly 8 ypp combined.

I think the real storyline here is the seemingly inflated pointspread. Memphis is one of the hottest teams in the country having won and covered five straight (some got a push in 30-27 win over Navy). As a result, their stock in the betting markets has climbed significantly. Two weeks ago, Memphis was laying -10.5 to Tulane at home and now -12.5 to SMU. From a power rating standpoint, the Mustangs would be over a field goal favorite vs. the Green Wave on a neutral field. And SMU closed only +1.5 at Navy just last week (lost 43-40). Wind or no wind, we're getting value with SMU. Take the points!

Tags: College Football SMU Mustangs Memphis Tigers AAC Ian Cameron



College Football Betting Preview: Virginia Cavaliers at Miami Hurricanes

11.17.2017     10:03 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Virginia at Miami
Saturday, 9 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Miami -17 O/U 50.5
CRIS Current: Miami -18.5 O/U 50.5
Recommendation: Virginia

Prior to beating Virginia Tech and Notre Dame, Miami posted narrow wins over Florida State (24-20), Georgia Tech (25-24), Syracuse (27-19), and North Carolina (24-19). Combined, those teams are currently 14-24. And from a power rating perspective, you could certainly lump Virginia into that mix. The Cavaliers actually beat UNC on the road and GT at home.

The Cavaliers aren't without issues. For starters, the ACC slate has been favorable. No Clemson, no NC State, no Virginia Tech (last game of the year), and obviously no Miami up until this point. And in a small step up in class last week, UVA lost at Louisville 38-21 (the box score suggested the Cardinals should have won by more).

But I feel the main issue here is the spot for the Hurricanes. Last week's game against Notre Dame was one of the biggest of the entire college football season and Miami came up aces. Now at 9-0, Miami has two very winnable games vs. Virginia and at Pitt before playing in the already determined ACC Championship vs. Clemson. And we should also mention the ridiculous turnover margin Miami has posted this year (+15, 24 gained) and of late (+10, 16 gained last four games). No matter how much emphasis is placed on picks and strips, those numbers simply aren't sustainable. If Virginia can find a way to hold on to the football, this is a number they should cover.

Tags: College Football Virginia Cavaliers Miami Hurricanes ACC OTTO Sports



Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 11-16-2017

11.16.2017     11:07 AM     Printer Friendly

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Here is Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 12. Handicappers Ian Cameron, Teddy Covers, and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down Saturday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: College Football Rob Veno Ian Cameron Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



College Football and NBA Betting Podcast 11-15-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Erin Rynning

11.15.2017     01:30 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Erin Rynning. Drew and host Andrew Lange broke down mid-week college football games while ER gave his thoughts on some of tonight's NBA action.

Today's segments
Drew Martin - College Football (Wed-Fri)

Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football NBA Drew Martin Erin Rynning



College Basketball Gambling Update: Syracuse defense delivers again

11.15.2017     10:28 AM     Printer Friendly

UPDATE

So far, so really good for the Syracuse defense after holding high flying Iona to 62 points (0.93 ppp) in last night's win. The Orange dominated the glass 42-29 and blocked eight shots. The game went way under the total of 150 so it'll be interesting to see how much oddsmakers adjust with Syracuse's next three opponents -- Texas Southern, Oakland, and Toledo -- similar to Iona in terms of pace and scoring prowess. 




College Basketball Handicapping: Syracuse defense should improve

11.14.2017     11:51 AM     View Original Blog
From 2010 to 2016, Syracuse ranked between sixth and 20th nationally in defensive efficiency. Last season, the Orange took a big step back, finishing 119th and 9th in ACC play. It looks like this year's group could return to those elite-level numbers thanks to a ridiculous wealth of size and length which are obvious keys when playing a 2-3 zone. Last week, Syracuse blocked six shots and outrebounded Cornell 54-36 in an easy 77-45 win. The Orange rolled out 6-8, 6-8 6-9, 6-10, and 7-2 in that contest. Things get a little tougher tonight with Iona headed to the Carrier Dome, though the Gaels’ tallest player checks in at 6-8. Syracuse is currently -10 chalk.




Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange ACC



College Football Betting Preview: UAB Blazers at Florida Gators

11.15.2017     10:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UAB at Florida
Saturday, 1 pm PT - SEC Network
CRIS Opener: Florida -10.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida -10.5 O/U 48
Recommendation: Over

Not much of anything to play for other than pride in this matchup as UAB heads to Florida for a late season non-conference affair. The Blazers have been on of the biggest overachievers in the country this season with a 7-3 record (8-2 ATS). But there isn't much on the line their last two games with bowl eligibility wrapped up and North Texas having already clinched the West Division. The Gators, who fired head coach Jim McElwain two weeks ago, have lost five straight and will obviously not be participating in the postseason. Their focus is likely on not getting embarrassed at home against a mid-major.

Interesting angle to consider here is the schedule for both squads. UAB has not played a single Power 5 team this season. In fact, they haven't faced a team inside Sagarin's top 100; North Texas (100th) their "toughest" opponent. Florida meanwhile has not played a single non-Power 5 squad. Vanderbilt (97th) was their weakest foe to-date; UAB checks in at 112th.

The biggest issue for Florida has been a lack of offensive production with only 334 ypg vs. the SEC. Three different quarterbacks have seen action with freshman Feleipe Franks expected to start as Malik Zaire is questionable due to a knee injury. If you eliminate a stinker vs. Georgia's top-tier stop unit and getting thrown into last week's game at South Carolina after Zaire went down, Franks has been serviceable. I think they'll be able to move the ball against a UAB defense that has benefited from a soft schedule and a down year for offenses in C-USA. The Blazers didn't play Florida Atlantic and against North Texas allowed 548 yards at 7.5 ypp. And while Florida's offense has been abysmal, the defense has quietly eroded of late. Over the last three weeks against Georgia, Missouri, and South Carolina, the Gators allowed a combined 7.1 ypp.

In the end, I expect this one to play "loose" as neither team has much of anything to lose. Remember, Florida was 3-0 and averaged 30.6 ppg to open SEC play. And while the comp was weak, UAB has been consistent enough offensively (23 points its lowest output) that it should be able to net enough points to help get this game over the relatively low total of 48.

Tags: College Football UAB Blazers C-USA Florida Gators SEC Andrew Lange



College Football Betting: Missouri's power rating continues to skyrocket

11.14.2017     12:06 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There hasn't been a bigger midseason turnaround in college football than the Missouri Tigers. After opening the season 1-5 SU and 0-4 ATS, Mizzou has ripped off four straight wins and six straight covers. Their early season struggles were simple: the offense couldn't score and the defense was atrocious. But of late, it's been the complete opposite. Missouri has won its last four games by an average margin of 53.8-16.5. The most surprising improvement has been defensively. Yes, the competition wasn't exactly potent (Idaho, UConn, Florida, and Tennessee) but this is a unit that opened the year coughing up 43 to Missouri State. But the real story here is how much oddsmakers have been forced to adjust Missouri's power rating after beating the spread by 21, 27.5, 26.5, and 32.5 the last four weeks. Consider some of Missouri's previous pointspreads and compare them to the -8.5 it is laying on Saturday at Vanderbilt: -1.5 at home vs. Florida, -13.5 at UConn, and +8.5 at Kentucky. Nuts, right?


“At the beginning of the year we might not have had the perfect personnel for our team,” strong safety Kaleb Prewett said. “The coaches made some changes. Now I feel like everyone’s in a good spot to win ballgames.”

“When you have young guys and new coaches you have to figure things out,” Sherrils said. “It might take some time. … Really, we didn’t need to change much. We needed to find each other and believe. Our chemistry now is at an all-time high.”



Tags: College Football Missouri Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores SEC



College Basketball Handicapping: Syracuse defense should improve

11.14.2017     11:51 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
From 2010 to 2016, Syracuse ranked between sixth and 20th nationally in defensive efficiency. Last season, the Orange took a big step back, finishing 119th and 9th in ACC play. It looks like this year's group could return to those elite-level numbers thanks to a ridiculous wealth of size and length which are obvious keys when playing a 2-3 zone. Last week, Syracuse blocked six shots and outrebounded Cornell 54-36 in an easy 77-45 win. The Orange rolled out 6-8, 6-8 6-9, 6-10, and 7-2 in that contest. Things get a little tougher tonight with Iona headed to the Carrier Dome, though the Gaels’ tallest player checks in at 6-8. Syracuse is currently -10 chalk.

Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange ACC



College Football Handicapping: SEC has fared well ATS in late season non-conference games

11.14.2017     11:32 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The SEC is unique in that you see a lot of late season non-conference matchups. They mostly involve an SEC team playing host and laying big points to non-power five teams. Below are the results, which this season have been very positive for the SEC: 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS. Note that there are four such matchups this weekend.

Missouri: The Tigers faced Idaho and UConn back-to-back weeks and easily won and covered both games.

Vanderbilt: Won and covered two weeks ago vs. Western Kentucky.

Ole Miss: Won and covered as -23 home favorites vs. UL-Lafayette last week.

Arkansas: Needed a miracle to slip past Coastal Carolina as -24.5 home favorites two weeks ago.

Mississippi State - Won but failed to cover vs. UMass two weeks ago.

Texas A&M: Won and covered vs. New Mexico last week.

Tennessee: Won and covered vs. Southern Miss two weeks ago.

Auburn: -36 vs. UL-Monroe on Saturday

Florida: -10 vs. UAB on Saturday

South Carolina: N/L vs. Wofford on Saturday

Alabama: N/L vs. Mercer on Saturday

Tags: College Football SEC



College Basketball and NHL Betting Podcast 11-14-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

11.14.2017     10:52 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke tonight's TV college basketball games. Ian offered opinions on five NHL contests.

Today's segments
Full Show - CBB and NHL

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NHL Rob Veno Ian Cameron Andrew Lange



NFL Betting Podcast 11-13-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

11.13.2017     10:36 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report (OLR) in which he and host Andrew Lange discussed NFL Week 11 line moves and where bettors can expect the lines to move throughout the week. 

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 11

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



College Football Gambling: How teams fare after their head coach gets fired midseason

11.13.2017     09:28 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another head coach was fired midseason with Tennessee parting ways with Butch Jones. Below is a quick list of this year's casualties, how the team fared the following game, and overall since the change. The "next game" has produced a 3-1 ATS mark but overall, not a single straight up win and dismal 5-9 ATS mark. Tennessee (+15.5) plays host to LSU this weekend. Brady Hoke will serve as interim head coach.

UTEP
Head Coach: Sean Kugler
Fired: October 1
Next Game: 15-14 SU Loss, ATS Win vs. Western Kentucky
Since: 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS

Oregon State
Head Coach: Gary Andersen
Fired: October 9
Next Game: 36-33 SU Loss, ATS Win vs. Colorado
Since: 0-4 SU, 2-2 ATS

Georgia Southern
Head Coach: Tyson Summers
Fired: October 22
Next Game: 38-16 SU LOSS, ATS Win at Troy
Since: 0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS

Florida
Head Coach: Jim McElwain
Fired: October 28
Next Game: 45-16 SU/ATS Loss at Missouri
Since: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS

Tennessee
Head Coach: Butch Jones
Fired: November 12
Next Game: Currently +15.5 vs. LSU
Since: TBD

 

Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC



College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS Week 12

11.13.2017     09:10 AM     Printer Friendly

Here is Week 12's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot week-to-week changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets.

2017 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 12
Away
Home
Golden Nugget GOY
CRIS Current
LSU
Tennessee
LSU -7.5
LSU -15.5
Kansas State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -8
N/L
Texas
West Virginia
Texas -6
West Virginia -3.5
UCLA
USC
USC -15.5
USC -15
Nebraska
Penn State
Penn State -17.5
Penn State -24
Michigan
Wisconsin
Wisconsin -3
Wisconsin -7.5
Pittsburgh
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -7.5
Virginia Tech -16.5


Tags: College Football



NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus goes 1-4 ATS, drops to 18-32 YTD

11.13.2017     09:01 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Westgate SuperContest consensus plays finished 1-4 against the spread last week. That puts the YTD record at 18-32 ATS. The top weekly play is now 5-5 ATS. The least picked Sunday side is 4-6 ATS.

1. BUFFALO +3 vs. New Orleans - LOSS
2. JACKSONVILLE -3.5 vs. LA Chargers - LOSS
3. WASHINGTON +1 vs. Minnesota - LOSS
4. LA RAMS -12 vs. Houston - WIN
5. NY JETS -2.5 at Tampa Bay - LOSS

Least picked Sunday side: HOUSTON +12 at LA Rams - LOSS

YTD Results
Week 1: 0-5
Week 2: 3-2
Week 3: 2-3
Week 4: 4-1
Week 5: 1-4
Week 6: 2-3
Week 7: 0-5
Week 8: 2-3
Week 9: 3-2
Week 10: 1-4

Tags: NFL SuperContest



NFL Gambling: Buffalo Bills top Week 10's SuperContest consensus plays

11.11.2017     09:01 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 10 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. BUFFALO +3 vs. New Orleans
2. JACKSONVILLE -3.5 vs. LA Chargers
3. WASHINGTON +1 vs. Minnesota
4. LA RAMS -12 vs. Houston
5. NY JETS -2.5 at Tampa Bay

Least picked Sunday side: HOUSTON +12 at LA Rams.

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills SuperContest



NFL Handicapper Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons

11.11.2017     08:53 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.

Dallas at Atlanta
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener: Atlanta -3 O/U 50.5
CRIS Current: Atlanta -3 O/U 48.5
Recommendation: Dallas

I understand that Zeke Elliott is an impact running back.  I also understand that the Cowboys offensive line is mostly healthy now, and they’ve dominated for the better part of the last month.  Dak Prescott is on fire, leading the team to 28+ points in each of their last six ballgames and making good decisions with the football week after week – he’s thrown only 2 INT’s during that entire six week span.  And the trio of Alfred Morris, Rod Smith and Darren McFadden are more than capable of filling the void left by Elliott’s suspension.

The mainstream narrative is so predictable it’s not even funny.  I’ve seen so many ridiculous quotes suggesting Dak Prescott will need to throw 50 times (he’s thrown more than 40 passes only twice in his 24 career starts) or Dallas has no identity without Zeke (running backs are replaceable, and every player on every team knows it).  It’s all nonsense – remember, sports reporters are paid to produce content, not to be right.  My power rating adjustment for Dallas following the Elliott suspension news was all of a half point, and the Cowboys have been prepping and planning for this since the summer. 

The wiseguys continue to support the Falcons on a weekly basis, despite their obvious and continued struggles on both sides of the football and their propensity for blowing leads.  Why the sharp love for Atlanta?  Simple – their statistical profile looks great.  The Falcons Super Bowl team from last year outgained foes by an average of 1.1 yards per snap (their yards-per-play differential between what they gain on offense vs. what they allow on defense), ranked #1 in the NFL.  This year’s Falcons squad has outgained their opponents by 1.1 yards per snap, ranked #1 in the NFL, just like last year.

Sharps focus heavily on those yards per play stats – too heavily, in this bettor’s opinion!  After all, the elite Patriots have been outgained by more than half a yard on a ypp basis this year, while a very suspect losing team like Cinci has a positive differential.  The stats might show that this year’s Falcons version is every bit as good as last year’s squad, but the eye test does not. 

A Falcons team that scored 58 offensive touchdowns last year is only at 17 TDs at the halfway point this year, with Steve Sarkisian unable to fill departed coordinator Kyle Shanahan’s big shoes.   Atlanta has been favored four times in the last five weeks.  They’ve lost three of those four games in SU fashion, with the offense unable to click during crunch time and the defense allowing 20+ in each of their last six contests. 

The wiseguys are likely to keep betting on the Falcons until their statistical profile changes in a significant way.  That gives savvy bettors a legitimate overlay to fade this vastly overrated commodity.  

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Atlanta Falcons Teddy Covers






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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 22, 2017 07:43 PM.