SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
Sports Memo Ad 0

S-MEMO'S TOP PRODUCER
Brent Crow CRUSHING MLB
54-37 +20.34 YTD Profits
2013-present +51.84 UNITS!
*Reduced Price* July MLB $199
MLB Weekly through 7/12 $99

Sports Memo Ad 0
Brent Crow OWNS NFLX
22-7 76% +18.375 2012-14
7-1, 7-3, 8-3 L3 Preseasons
3 Straight Top 3 Finishes at SM
4-1 80% NFLX 20* Superplays
2015 NFL Preseason Only $199
Sports Memo Ad 1
Andrew Lange Mr. NFL
NFL Last Three Seasons
78-52 60% +26.65 units
28-16 64% in 2014
Profitable CFB in 2014
NFL Full Season $999
Sports Memo Ad 2

NFL Preseason $199
College Football Season $999
NFL Season $999
CFB/NFL Combo $1299
Purhase Online Today!

Sports Memo Ad 3
Erin Rynning Football Winners
56% NFL Winners since '07
College Football 2012-14
109-78 58% +31.525
CFB Totals 64% since 2012
CFB/NFL Season $1499
Sports Memo Ad 4

Ian Cameron KILLING CFL
6-1 86% +5.9 Hot Start!
93-73 56% Lifetime Winners
Daily Plays $20-$29
July CFL only $199
Full Season CFL $499


HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSTOOLSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERSTWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

Fairway Jay: Inside the NFL Betting Numbers Week 9

11.08.2011     07:09 AM         Printer Friendly

Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, he has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing pointspread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Week 9 NFL favorites went 7-7 SU and 6-8 against the spread. For the season, betting favorites are 61-64-5 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. Five division games in Week 9 and division underdogs went 3-2 SU and ATS. Home underdogs went 0-3 SU and ATS, and for the season home underdogs are 15-24 SU and 20-18-1 ATS. Scoring was up slightly from the previous two weeks, yet totals still went 5-9 O/U and are 65-63-2 YTD. There have been 5,795 points scored through 9 weeks for an average of 44.5 ppg. We had another winning week going 3-1 on Sunday with a pair of outright underdog winners on the Bengals and Dolphins and our lone loss on the Steelers/Ravens game under 42.5. Baltimore’s last second touchdown in a 23-20 win was tough to take in a game that featured no first half touchdowns and was 16-6 at one point in the fourth quarter. 

Teams that had meaningful rushing advantage over their opponents (30 or more yards) went 9-1 ATS in Week 9. Those rushing guidelines have now gone 65-24-2 ATS (73%); nearly up to the 10-year average of 76%. Strong running games have really led the way to victories the past four weeks; and if you’ve been able to project the rushing advantage as discussed, you’re making plenty of money. Over the last four weeks, teams that have outrushed their opponent by 30 or more yards have gone 31-4-2 ATS. The Broncos (299 yards, 7.9 ypr), Texans (261, 6.5), Saints (195), Bears (164) and Falcons (163) were all big ground gainers in in victory. The Browns (44) and Redskins (52) had the two worst rushing weeks, and you see how they did in defeat while losing for their betting backers.

Turnovers were also costly to the Raiders and Chargers with both teams suffering a 3-0 turnover differential in defeat. For the record, teams with a negative turnover margin of -3 or greater are now 1-16 ATS this season (0-17 SU). Teams with a -2 turnover differential are 5-28-1 ATS. So the impact of turnovers is significant, and actually hitting at a higher rate than the 91-92% history of -3 turnovers and approximately 80% for teams that are exactly -2 in the turnover column. 

Note that the four biggest passing days belonged to the Patriots, Steelers, Raiders, and Chargers and those teams went 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS. So what matters more, passing or rushing the ball in the NFL? Fans love to see the ball in the air and the great passing from premier quarterbacks. While few teams have great signal callers, we’re seeing a team like New England now struggle more without a adequate ground game or defense capable of stopping the run.

I have a proprietary database since 2000 showing rushing, passing and other stats of record, and projecting rushing success is one of the key statistical categories in ultimate pointspread winners. No other handicapper in the nation will provide you historically proven statistical insight and in-depth rushing information to obtain relevant results (ATS).

We’ll review more NFL stats and information each week as we continue to evaluate the results, match-ups and work to become even more proficient in point spread prognosis. Check back throughout each week for additional articles, analysis, insight and ‘Fairway Forecasts’ along with the best sports betting information at Sportsmemo.com/blogs.   
  
Fairway Jay is a premier, proven performer and recognized leader as one of the nation’s elite NFL handicappers. For 8-straight seasons, Fairway Jay has provided consistent winning and profits with unprecedented results. His 2010 season was a record-breaking performance as he went 55-30 ATS (65%) with over 30-units of profit (1 and 2 unit scale). Fairway Jay also won the 2010 Wise Guys invitation only football contest along with top honors on his best bet selections; going 14-3-1. If you’re looking to build your bankroll and work with a proven performer and pro, join Fairway Jay and profit from his experience. For winning results and useful information you can bet on, click here and sign up for one of the nation’s top football services.

Tags: NFL __




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:




VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
PowerNFLCFBMLBNBA
Current Blog Topics
  Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
$29
Off another EASY winner last night with the Mets, Teddy Covers looks to keep it rolling with a huge 20* Game of the Month selection for Monday. Add two units to the bankroll for only $29. This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

$20
Pro bettor Erin Rynning is raking in the winner with a current run of over +10 units and 70% winners. He fires out a 10* total (plenty of runs!!!) for tonight's MLB action. Cash in with ER for only $20; guaranteed to win or his next report is on the house.

$20
On pace for a 40+ unit season, Sportsmemo's top MLB producer Brent Crow checks in with a 10* report for Monday's card. Pick it up for $20; guaranteed to cash or his next one is free.

$20
Rob Veno has picked up +38.45 units in MLB since 2013. Today he has released a 10* Best Bet side for Monday action and you can join him for only $20. This play must win or you will receive tomorrow's MLB card free of charge.

$20
Ian Cameron and his clients enjoyed a perfect 4-0 all sports weekend which includes a strong 11-5 69% streak in MLB and that is just part of his red hot 17-6 74% all sports streak banking +10.77 units of profit. He is ready to deliver more winning action on the diamond tonight with his 10* MLB Play Of The Day. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $20 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next MLB play is free.

$20
Drew Martin comes in with a 10* report off a large Monday MLB Card He looks to add units to his and his clients bankroll in this American League matchup. Hop on board for only $20; guaranteed to cash or his next play is on the house.

$20
Sammy P hits the diamond with an isolated total today! This 10* MLB Total of the Day is yours for only $20; a guaranteed winner or his next selection is on the house!


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------

More Blog Entries Submitted by

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 06, 2015 03:08 PM.