SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
Sports Memo Ad 0
DECEMBER 2 REMEMBER
All Sports Monthly Coverage
$100 off regular price
CBB, NBA, CFB, NFL, NHL
Handicapper of your choice
Every play through 12/31
NOW ONLY $199
Sports Memo Ad 0
WEEKLY FOOTBALL
Tuesday-Monday Coverage
College Football or NFL $99
CFB/NFL Combo $149
Great option for daily purchasers
CLICK HERE TO CASH IN
Sports Memo Ad 1
Weekly NBA or CBB $99 
December NBA $199 
December CBB $199
Full Season NBA or CBB $999
Erin Rynning NBA $1299
CLICK HERE TO PURCHASE
Sports Memo Ad 2
VIP FREE PLAY EMAIL
Enter email on front page
Free Play w/ analysis
See who's hot at Sportsmemo
Special unpublished offers
Register an account today!
Sports Memo Ad 3
20* Prepaid Pack
Handicapper of your choice
Next Five 20* selections
Discounted Rate of only $99
Purchase online

HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSTOOLSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERSTWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

Isolating College Football pointspread winners using running game success

11.11.2011     07:40 AM         Printer Friendly

Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We cashed our 20* College Football Game of the Year winner last Saturday when Virginia (-2.5) steamrolled Maryland 31-13 with 220 rushing yards and 527 total yards offense. The Cavaliers dominance at the point of attack while outrushing Maryland by at least a 2-to-1 margin played out perfectly in Virginia’s victory. 
  
If you’ve been following along the past few months and reading my articles, you’re aware that I’ve discussed and reviewed running game success in college football. If you’re able to handicap a game and determine that one team will have a significant advantage at the point of attack and outrush their opponent by margin, you’re well on your way to producing more profit and building your bankroll. Teams that outrush their opponent by at least a 2-to-1 margin have won just over 78% ATS this season (sample size over 230 games). This is no fluke, as last season produced very similar overall rushing results, with a 74% ATS win rate four our parameters (sample size nearly 300 games).

In MAC play this week, we delivered our third straight Tuesday night college football winner when Northern Illinois steamrolled Bowling Green 45-14 thanks to a dominating Huskies running game that outrushed the Falcons 285-79 while piling up over 620 yards offense. The Huskies ran the ball 52 times to just 17 for the Falcons. The schedule and situation may not have looked as favorable for NIU, but this fundamental match-up stuck out like a sore thumb at the point of attack. The Huskies held a +3.0 net rushing differential over the Falcons on paper. Northern Illinois entered the game running for 246 ypg at 5.9 yards per rush while allowing 202 rushing ypg at 4.3 ypr (net differential +1.6). Bowling Green entered with 129 rushing ypg at 3.6 ypr while allowing 191 rushing ypg at 5.0 ypr (net differential -1.4). A +3.0 net rushing differential is significant in a college football game, and along with a surprisingly downward move in the betting line, this became an easy fundamental play for Fairway’s Faithful Followers in victory.

This week’s match-ups show some solid rushing advantages projected for a number of teams, and I’ve listed some early Saturday games below. It’s not as simple as it seems to forecast this fundamental advantage at the point of attack and have it play out to produce profit, but if you’re able to succeed, you’re well on your way to more ATS winners. Keep in mind that the pointspread is the equalizer and in the case of Vanderbilt being a two-touchdown favorite (and rising), we see an adjustment of nearly three touchdowns from what would have been an early season line.

Vanderbilt over Kentucky 
Virginia over Duke 
Eastern Michigan over Buffalo


Need I remind you that if you don’t have the time or energy to research this type of information, or the ability to proficiently forecast consistent pointspread winners, then enlist the services of a proven pro and profit from my experience.

Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in football handicapping and one of the industries insightful point spread prognosticators when analyzing rushing statistics. He’s been a premier, proven performer and is at his best as the season progresses with more stats and data to digest. His 2010 NFL season was a record-breaking performance as he went 55-30 ATS (65%) with over +30-units of profit (1 and 2 unit scale) and his last 2+ years of college and pro football results have produced plenty of overall profit. Fairway Jay has delivered some solid results on his top ‘Big Drive’ plays including last week’s College Football Game of the Year winner. Fairway Jay’s top rated football plays have gone 16-9 (64%) over the past month. Fairway Jay won the 2010 Wise Guys invitation only football contest along with top honors on his best bet selections; going 14-3-1. If you’re looking for a proven performer that provides insight and info you can bet on, then join Fairway Jay and profit from his experience.

Tags: College Football __




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:




VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
PowerNFLCFBMLBNBA
Current Blog Topics
  Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
$39
No one nails the 20*s quite like Sammy P with his current run up to 66-42 61%. He's been our college football top producer this season with +17.375 units of profit on 69% winners. Cash in on Monday's Miami Bowl Report; guaranteed to win or his next football report is on the house.

$20
Andrew Lange is off to a profitable start (25-13 69%) to the CBB season. He's also been a consistent producer long term having hit 61% with his totals dating back to 2009. Cash in for $20; guaranteed to win or his next play is free.

$25
Brent Crow is a solid 17-9 with his CBB 15* and 20* Best Bets on the year and has a huge 15-star CBB Best Bet Total for tonight's action. Cash in for $25; guaranteed to win or his next hoops report is free.

$30
Teddy has consistently delivered the goods in college football, 100-75 +28.3 units of profit over the past two seasons. He closed out the regular season on a 5-1 83% run and he is primed for success here in bowl season as well. Do Not Miss this rare Monday Morning early start winner! This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

$20
Teddy is making money for himself and his clients RIGHT NOW, riding a 18-9 67% all sports hot streak over the past twelve days, earning +13.1 units of profit for himself and his clients. Ride the hot hand again tonight with this NBA Smackdown, supporting a rock solid favorite primed to lay a beatdown on their outclassed opponent tonight. This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

$20
Teddy has lived in Las Vegas since 1998, developing a strong network of contacts among the biggest bettors and bookmakers in the world. Those contacts have made it very clear. Sharp $$ is pouring in on this college hoops side for Monday, another right side winner just waiting to happen. Ride this scorching 80% college hoops run one more time tonight! This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

$20
Sammy P is coming off of a 3-1 Saturday on the ice and he comes in with an isolated 10* today. Sammy is on absolute FIRE as he's run his NHL streak to 30-19 now! He comes back tonight with a huge 10* NHL Play of the Day that is his only play on the card. Sammy is on one of his patented NHL hot streaks, so don't miss out tonight! This 10* winner is yours for only $20; a guaranteed winner or his next selection is on the house!

$20
OTTO Sports comes in with a 10* college basketball total for Monday's action. It's a watch and win opportunity so lock it in for only $20; guaranteed to win or his next hoops selection is free.

$39
Paul Stone's top total of the entire bowl season is locked and loaded. It comes on one of the pre-New Year's games so don't wait to get on board. The play is guaranteed to cash or Paul's next top rated bowl selection is on the house.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------

More Blog Entries Submitted by

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 22, 2014 08:17 AM.