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Little Caesars Bowl Betting Preview: Western Michigan Broncos vs. Purdue Boilermakers

12.24.2011     08:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Little Caesars Bowl 
Western Michigan vs. Purdue
Tuesday, 1:30 pm PT - ESPN 
CRIS Opener: Purdue -2.5 O/U 60 
CRIS Current: Purdue -2.5 O/U 60

Teddy Covers’ Betting Take: Western Michigan has not stepped up in class well at any point during the Bill Cubit era. The Broncos entered the season in the midst of an 0-5 SU and ATS run against BCS conference competition. They did knock off one BCS foe this year – UConn – but the Huskies were not a bowl team and they scored 31points against Western Michigan’s defense, just shy of their season high.  The Broncos did not fare well against other bowl teams. They gave up 66 points in a loss to Toledo; 51 in a loss to Northern Illinois. Michigan and Illinois beat the Broncos by a combined margin of 57-30. Starting quarterback Alex Carder is expected to be fully healthy for this bowl game after missing time following a late season shoulder injury and wide receiver Jordan White caught a whopping 128 passes this year. Simply put, Western can score plenty of points. But their defense, like so many in the MAC, is slow and undersized, vulnerable to a balanced Purdue attack. 

The Boilermakers haven’t been bowling since their last trip to Detroit back in 2007; a wild 51-48 overtime win over Central Michigan. But after three straight losing campaigns, Purdue stole three late season victories – including two over bowl bound Ohio State and Illinois – to earn the first bid of the Danny Hope era.  Purdue has some potentially significant suspension and injury issues. The team’s leading tackler, LB Dwayne Beckford, has been suspended following a DUI arrest. Two other defensive starters, LB Will Lucas and DE Gerald Gooden, were both arrested earlier this week for removing the wheel locks from their cars after they had been clamped for unpaid parking tickets. Their punishment has not yet been announced. Leading rusher Ralph Bolden is out with a torn ACL, leaving Purdue as a short-handed favorite for Tuesday’s showdown. 

Teddy's College Football Bowl Package is now available for $299. You'll get every selection he releases through the BCS Championship.

Tags: College Football Western Michigan Broncos Purdue Boilermakers Teddy Covers





This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:

Joe
12/25/2011 5:08 PM
When you put it like that, the Broncos sound pretty weak, but let me put things into a more realistic context. A: UConn - the Broncos boast a strong offense and still won the game. Yes, the defense was weak but you cannot completely discount a win over last year’s Fiesta Bowl Champs. B: Toledo - The score of the game was 66-63. It was no means a blow out as the post above makes it seem. C: NIU - Ya, that was just a bad game. Neither O or D could get it done that day. D: Michigan/Illinois - Combined margin? Why use that? Lets break that down. Michigan - A MAC school lost a Rose Bowl team in the season opener.... of course. Illinois - A MAC team lost to #17 Ranked Illinois by 3pts to only a late 4th quarter field goal, making the game 23-20. That’s pretty legit. Sure the Bronco’s defense could use some work but it’s offense can take it ’em and when reading this article, I just felt the article, although using facts, was very misleading.





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