Toronto (Morrow) at Oakland (Braden) O/U 7
Recommendation: Under
Here’s an excerpt from yesterday’s free play write-up supporting the Under, a ‘right side’ 3-1 final cash.
The Oakland A’s have been Under machines in recent weeks. Their light hitting lineup has been repeatedly stymied by opposing pitchers, but their own staff has been strong enough to keep them competitive in almost every game. Oakland has 13 Unders and one push in their 14 August ballgames, with all fourteen games producing a combined total of eight runs or less. There’s absolutely no reason to expect any sort of dramatic change today – this matchup looks very much like another pitcher’s duel.
Toronto’s Brandon Morrow threw 137 pitches in his last start against Tampa Bay, holding the Rays without a hit into the ninth inning. Morrow got skipped in the rotation following that exhausting effort, leaving him fresh and rested for tonight’s start. “I’ve been feeling pretty good for the last couple days. It’s nice to have that time off.” The A’s managed just a single hit against Shaun Marcum last night, and Morrow, a Bay Area native, has never lost to Oakland in his career. Expect A’s runs to be few and far between once again here.
But the Blue Jays can’t hit lefties like Oakland’s Dallas Braden, batting just .217 against southpaws for the season. Toronto has managed only eleven runs of offense in their first four games of their current West Coast swing; held to three runs or less seven times in their last eleven ballgames. Braden needed only 104 pitches to throw a complete game four hitter against Seattle in his most recent start, poised for similar success tonight. Take the Under.