Oakland A's Moneyline (-120 at 5Dimes)
The New York Yankees take on the Oakland Athletics on Monday afternoon. Oakland has always had a good home field advantage, even when they weren't a good team. This year the A's have put together a tremendous run led by solid starting pitching and a great bullpen.
Trevor Cahill starts for the A's in this one, and he has been lights out at home. Cahill has a ridiculous 0.85 ERA in 8 starts at home this season. His WHIP is just 0.759 at home on the year.
C.C. Sabathia counters for the New York Yankees. Sabathia has had a pretty good season, but his advanced metrics suggest he is due for regression. Sabathia has a 3.36 ERA this year, but his FIP sits at 4.14. The Oakland lineup is one of the deepest in baseball, and I expect them to make Sabathia work hard in this one.
The Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-4 in their last 4 games in Oakland. The long-term angles suggest teams from the AL East haven't played well in Oakland for the past decade. It's a long trip and the Yankees have more injury concerns than the Athletics right now.
The A's are 22-8 in their last 30 home games. I'll lay the reasonable price with Oakland with Cahill on the mound.