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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

08.19.2016     07:41 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Arizona (Greinke) -140 at San Diego (Cosart) O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Over

San Diego's Jarred Cosart is nothing more than a stopgap starter at this point. Miami wisely unloaded him back in July and the Padres are just hoping for him to chew up enough innings to avoid having to throw someone in their plans for the future. Cosart's velocity is down about 3 mph from last year and he's consistently struggled with his mechanics and command. In 34 innings, he's walked 24 batters and owns a 5.03 ERA despite allowing only one home run. As expected, Zack Greinke's move to Arizona resulted in a significant regression. He's pitched well at times this season but shows some serious red flags by failing to pitching into the third inning in two of his last three starts. Keep in mind, Greinke is getting up there in age and is ultra-competitive. Arizona was expected to contend in the West this season but finds itself 21 games under .500 and playing out this string. Not convinced Greinke is going to be dialed in mentally the remainder of the season. Also note that the Padres' lineup is no longer as right-hand dominant after various trades and call-ups. I expect them to put as many as five lefties in the lineup tonight. Toss is two very suspect bullpens and it points towards this game going over the total.

Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres Andrew Lange

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