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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers

07.06.2018     12:02 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlanta (Foltynewicz) at Milwaukee (Peralta) O/U 8
Recommendation: Atlanta

The Braves have been significant moneymakers on the highway all year long; 26-20 on the road even after losing a pair of games at Yankee Stadium and then dropping the opener of this series last night. It’s surely worth noting that this current skid matches the Braves longest losing streak all season – just three games. Clearly, Atlanta is a team that has responded very well to adversity.

And the quotes coming out of this locker room continue to offer rationale for betting on Atlanta with a ‘plus price’ return on a consistent basis. Braves catcher Kurt Suzuki: "This team has no fear. We have a lot of young guys but we also have some veterans. We approach every game the same way." Atlanta manager Brian Snitker, following their tough series against the Yankees: "I thought we handled ourselves really well (in the Bronx). We won a really tough game the first night, we put ourselves in a position to win today and today here we come again. The guys never quit. They know they can play with anybody and it's a good sign."

Atlanta starter Mike Foltynewicz has been downright dominant, allowing just one run on four hits in his last three starts COMBINED; striking out 19 batters in the process. Atlanta has won each of the last six times he’s pitched when the Braves have scored more than two runs. Foltynewicz is pitching with a realistic chance to cement a spot on the All Star team tonight; a huge accomplishment for a guy who entered the season with a career ERA just shy of 5.00! No surprise, then, that the betting markets have been slow to adjust to Foltynewicz’s dramatic improvement here in 2018.

And there’s certainly reason to expect the Braves to produce more than two runs against Brewers rookie hurler Freddy Peralta. Peralta has thrown two gems in his last four trips to the hill, but he’s also been struggling with walks and too many fly balls. Bottom line: don’t expect many losing streaks from the Braves & the price is right to back the better team with the superior starter.

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers

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