Atlanta (Harrell) at Minnesota (Santana) -200 O/U 9
You can't help but be interested in a total of 9 involving the Atlanta Braves offense. The Braves enter tonight's game at Minnesota with the league's worst SLG pct. (.350) and OPS (.652). This is a squad that is averaging only 2.8 runs per game on the highway this season. Of the 10 games they've played this season with a total of 9 or higher, only two went over the total. They face a competent starter in Ervin Santana who since a midseason swoon has been very effective. Over his last six starts, Santana flashes a 2.03 ERA -- all of which against AL competition. Santana has also been far stronger at home with above average splits of .235/.283/.377. Atlanta will go with Lucas Harrell who is nothing more than a stop-gap as the Braves continue to eye next year and beyond. He's actually pitched fairly well with a 4.24 ERA in four starts. Anything close to a quality start from Harrell gives us a good shot to go under this inflated number.