Boston (Porcello) -130 at Kansas City (Ventura) O/U 7
Despite recording a quality start last time out, I still have my concerns about Kansas City's Yordano Ventura. Over his last three outings, Ventura has an alarming 5-14 K-to-BB ratio. During that span he recorded only 15 swinging strikes after recording 43 his first four starts which resulted in a 2.35 ERA. He goes up against the arguably the best offense in baseball with the Red Sox leading MLB in slugging (.489) and OPS (.848). Boston's Rick Porcello has been a pleasant surprise with a 3.11 ERA and a strikeout-per-inning rate. That said, Porcello has allowed three runs or more in five of his seven starts. The two starts he didn’t allow a run where against a weak-hitting Yankees and an even weaker Atlanta lineup. While the weather isn't conducive for many home runs (wind blowing in 10 mph), game time temps are expected to be in the low 60's. I feel like this game should be lined at 7.5 or 8 but instead, bettors can find as low as 7ov-115. Of both teams' 75 games, only seven have been lined at 7. At their best, Porcello and Ventura are better than average starters but not deserving of this low of a number. Play it over.