Cleveland (Bauer) at Seattle (Paxton) -120 O/U 8.5
MLB is the most difficult professional sport to project letdown situations since teams play nearly every day and are accustomed to carrying an even keel mentality. Tonight may present us with one of those letdown situations as the Cleveland Indians come off of a huge four-game sweep of AL Central Division rival Kansas City and now travel cross country to play a Seattle team which was just swept on the road by division rival Texas. Expect Seattle to be extremely motivated to get back on the winning track against Trevor Bauer who has pitched well this season but has had difficulties against some Mariners hitters. Bauer has thrown quality starts in four of his last five outings and he’s registered a respectable 1.28 WHIP this season but he’s gone 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA against Seattle. Seven of tonight’s Seattle starters have combined to go 19 of 49 against Bauer for a .388 BA, .490 OBP, .653 SLG%, and 1.143 OPS. Mariners starter James Paxton was horrendous in his return from the DL last Wednesday and attributed it to jitters, going too fast and not getting his feet set. His 98 MPH velocity indicates his arm is OK and figure him to show improvement tonight. Cleveland has had road woes offensively hitting just .230 with an OBP of .290 in 26 away games this season. There are no bullpen concerns for either side here since overall, the key arms were lightly worked the past couple days. Price on Paxton and the home team is fair enough to call for a combination letdown/bounce back play.