Detroit (Verlander) +105 at Toronto (Hutchison) O/U 9.5
Toronto's Drew Hutchison is the quintessential fringe MLB starter. In 361 career Minor League innings, the 25-year-old right hander owns a 2.81 ERA -- which is right in line with this year's performance at Triple-A Buffalo (2.78 ERA). In 400 career Major League innings, Hutchison's ERA is 4.92 -- his "best" season coming in 2014 when he posted a semi-respectable 3.85 FIP and a strikeout per inning over 184.2 frames. The Jays have given him plenty of chances to succeed but pitching in the American League has consistently been an uphill battle. He makes a spot start tonight against the Tigers with Marco Estrada placed on the DL. And while coming from the right side is the prefered profile against Detroit's lineup, Hutchison's go-to pitch, the slider, has lost it's luster -- .185 BAA in 2014 but close to .300 since. Justin Verlander's resurgence appears real with a strikeout rate over 9 per 9 innings and quality starts in 12 of 17 outings. He remains hittable at times and is prone to giving up the long ball (16 allowed in 111 IP) but it far more trustable when compared to Hutchison. We'll support the short road underdog tonight at the Rogers Centre.