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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals

06.05.2017     11:24 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Houston (Fiers) -140 at Kansas City (Kennedy) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Over

Can’t be any hotter than the Astros are right now going 10-0 in their last 10 games and winning them by a combined 82-36. During the stretch, Houston is hitting .327 with a .425 OBP, .608 SLG% and 1.033 OPS. Facing Kansas City starter Ian Kennedy tonight could increase those numbers since Kennedy is on a rapid decline lately. In his four starts since the beginning of May, Kennedy hasn’t lasted more than five innings. During this current 14.1 inning stretch, he has posted an 11.30 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, allowed an alarming six home runs and thrown an average of 21.0 pitches per inning. Houston has feasted on right handed pitching all season ranking #2 in MLB with an .821 OPS and with Kennedy’s velocity ticking down a bit over the past month, this matchup looks good for the Astros bats.

Kansas City’s offense has been subpar through the first couple months of this season but seeing Houston RH Mike Fiers could help. The Royals have been a much better offensive team for about the last month scoring 5or more runs in 13 of their last 26 games and at least 4 in 16 of those. Their .265 BA, .335 OBP, .435 SLG% and .771 OPS are all decidedly improved over their full season numbers. This looks to be a spot where they can productive offensively. Also possibly providing an edge for the KC offense tonight could be the fact that Fiers hasn’t thrown more than six innings in a start all season. The Astros have a deep bullpen but it figures to be somewhat limited tonight as three of their top arms worked twice over the weekend and all of them threw 35+ pitches (Chris Devenski, Luke Gregorson & closer Ken Giles).

Going to get in line with the move on this game total which has been pushed from 9 to 9.5. Each starter could have difficulties keeping run production down and neither bullpen is fully rested which leaves the back third open for some extra runs. 


Tags: MLB Houston Astros Kansas City Royals Rob Veno

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