Kansas City (Kennedy) +120 at Houston (Fister) O/U 8
Recommendation: Kansas City
It’s not always easy to trust Ian Kennedy who has been with multiple teams the last few seasons and not been able to stay in one spot but I did see positive signs from him in his first start which make him and the defending champion Royals an attractive wagering option at this underdog price. Kennedy has only enjoyed a single season with a sub 4.00 ERA since 2012 but he looked sharp for 6.2 innings of 5-hit, shutout ball with just a single walk and 7 strikeouts vs. the Twins. He’s facing a tougher lineup tonight with the Houston Astros but has pitched 12.2 innings here at Minute Maid Park in his career while allowing just a single run. Yordano Ventura and Kris Medlen have both managed to keep the Astros offense silent the last two games and I think Kennedy has the potential to put deliver another solid outing. My clients and I cashed an over ticket in Doug Fister’s first start with the Houston Astros. He was mediocre at best against Brewers tossing just 5 innings and allowing 3 runs on 5 hits including a home run. Fister as now allowed up 10 home runs in his last 10 starts dating back to last season. If the game is close in the latter stages like it has been the last two games of this series the advantage goes to Kansas City and its strong bullpen which has a 2.57 ERA compared to Houston’s pen which has had a rough start to the season with a 6.16 ERA. Solid value with KC at a nice plus price.