SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of SportsMemo.com and log back in to recreate your forum session.
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals at Miami Marlins

08.24.2016     09:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Gee) +200 at Miami (Fernandez) O/U 7 
Recommendation: Kansas City


I understand how well Jose Fernandez has pitched at home in his career, compiling a ridiculous 26-2 mark with a 1.62 ERA at Marlins Park.  His numbers have been steady and consistent throughout the 2016 campaign as well: 9-2 with a 2.07 ERA in Miami.  The betting attention that Fernandez has attracted during this long term run of excellence has resulted in prices like the one we’re seeing here, with Miami priced higher than 2:1 to win tonight’s game.

There’s one big problem with those long term, aggregate numbers – they don’t factor in current form.  Let’s not forget that Fernandez made only 11 starts last year and eight starts in 2014, dealing with the aftermath of Tommy John surgery.  He’s already thrown 141.2 innings this year, far more than in either of the last two seasons.  And Fernandez sure looks like he’s wearing down right now.  Miami is 0-4 in his last four starts (all as favorites, including a home loss at -240), and Fernandez has an ERA of 6.00 during that span.  That’s not what I’m looking for out of my -230 favorites!

Royals starter Dillon Gee attracts ZERO betting market attention, a league average pitcher personified.  But Gee is coming off his best start of the season, needing only 84 pitches to throw seven innings of one run, five hit ball against the Twins.  And there’s a lot more to this game than just a starting pitching matchup that may not be in the Marlins favor as much as the markets seem to think it is.

The Royals are the hottest team in baseball, winners of nine straight and 13 of their last 14.  KC is only four games out of the Wild Card spot, surging right now.   Marlins injured sluggers  Giancarlo Stanton and Justin Bour (a duo with 40 home runs this season; the rest of the team has 66) were just joined by infielder Derek Dietrich on the DL. There’s a chance that their last remaining slugger Marcel Ozuna could miss tonight as well, after getting pulled from the game last night due to an undisclosed family emergency.

KC still has a truly elite bullpen, ranked #1 in all of MLB in ERA again this year after slamming the door shut again last night in the 1-0 thriller.  And, of course, KC has been playing tough games in hostile environments on their way to the World Series over the past two Octobers.  Miami hasn’t finished above .500 since 2009 and their last playoff game came back in 2003; not exactly a ‘battle tested’ team in these type of playoff atmosphere games.  That’s an awful lot of fodder for a play on KC tonight as big underdogs

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Miami Marlins Teddy Covers




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:




VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
$20
Ian Cameron has put together a strong 4 year run of consistent profits on the ice including back-to-back winning seasons and he has caught fire with a solid 14-6 70% streak on the ice in NHL Hockey action. He is ready to deliver the goods in late night action on the ice tonight with his 10* NHL West Coast Winner. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $20 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next NHL play is free.

$49
Teddy is 80-59 in NFL action over the past two seasons. He is 51-38 with his Big Ticket Reports dating back to last October, delivering proven long term winning results for himself and his clients. Cash in on Sunday with Teddy's one and only 20* Big Ticket Game of the Year, the type of STRONG opportunity that doesn't come around every week! Do NOT miss this winner! This play must cash or his next report is FREE!

$39
Unmatched production in the NFL for Andrew Lange and his clients with 61% winners and nearly +44 units since 2012. Don't miss out on Lange's big 20* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR for Sunday. It's a guaranteed winner or his next top rated football selection is free of charge.

$39
OTTO Sports OWNS the big plays with 62% 20* winners in college and pro football over the last two seasons. For Sunday, he comes in with a two-unit selection; his 20* AFC Game of the Month. Get it for only $39; a must win or his next play is on the house.

$39
Ian Cameron CRUSHED the books in the NFL last season putting together a very strong winning campaign with a 32-20 record for 62% winning action and +12.3 units of profit. He is rolling this NFL season as well with a strong 29-23 record 56% for +9.8 units of profit. Ian has notched a tremendous 10-3 77% record with his NFL 20* plays this season and he is ready to deliver another top rated winner in NFL action on Sunday with his 20* NFL Blowout Game Of The Month. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $39 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next NFL play is free.

$39
Brent Crow has nailed 20-star NFL plays in each of the last two weeks and has gone 5-2-1ATS over his last 8 NFL 20-stars. He has another HUGE winner up now for Sunday's action. Get this NFC GAME OF THE YEAR winner now for just $39! It must win or his next top rated selection is free.

$29
Close out Week 13 STRONG with Erin Rynning's 10* Game of the Week for Sunday. ER's been one of Sportsmemo's top NFL producers this year with 62% winners and over +13 units of profit. Get on board for $29. It must cash or his next top rated play is free of charge.

$39
Rob Veno has established himself as one of the nation's elite Best Bet handicappers with his famed 20* Bluechip releases. Since 2014 Rob has posted a record of 133-84 61.3% +86.8 units with his 20* Bluechip plays in All Sports. For Sunday action Rob has released his 20* NFL Bluechip Total Of The Month. You can join Rob on this play for only $39 and it must win or you will receive his next 20* report at no additional cost.

$29
Drew Martin is in with one isolated play on this weeks NFL card. He finds value in a home underdog kicking off on Sunday. Jump on board for only $29 guaranteed to cash or Drews next top rated football pay is yours at no extra charge.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date
11.19 20:36
11.09 10:05
11.09 10:03
10.29 19:50
10.29 19:45

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------
Ted Sevransky     12.07.2016 2:40 PM
Ted Sevransky     12.04.2016 8:04 AM
Ted Sevransky     11.30.2016 11:16 AM
Ted Sevransky     11.23.2016 9:02 AM
Ted Sevransky     11.20.2016 8:06 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 09, 2016 07:03 PM.