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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros

07.22.2016     08:34 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Los Angeles (Shoemaker) at Houston (McCullers) -145 OU 8 
Recommendation: Under

The ability to miss bats is certainly present tonight in Houston tonight with Matt Shoemaker going up against Lance McCullers. Shoemaker's splitter ranks as one of the most effective pitches in the game as evidence by his 13.5% swinging strike rate -- 6th best among qualified starters. After a slow start to the season, Shoemaker has ripped off a 2.55 ERA over his last 12 starts including two against the Astros in which he allowed only three runs in 13.1 innings. McCullers counters with one of the best curveballs in the game which has resulted in an incredible K rate of 11.5 per 9 innings and a 55% groundball rate that has helped him surrender only two home runs over 62 innings. And coming from the right side is the preferred method to keep both of these offenses at bay. Scoring is obviously up this season but totals continue to climb and it appears that we've reached the tipping point with unders cashing at a 63% rate since the All-Star break. We'll step in with a play on tonight's game under the total.

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros Andrew Lange

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