Los Angeles (Shoemaker) -135 at Oakland (Graveman) O/U 8
Recommendation: Los Angeles
We have bet against Kendall Graveman a handful of times in the past and will continue that trend this evening in Oakland. The A's are just 3-9 in his 12 starts and after starting the season off strong with three solid outings, he's been one of the most hittable pitchers in baseball. Over his last nine starts (43.2 IP), Graveman has allowed 66 hits, nine home runs, and sports a dismal 32-19 K-to-BB ratio. The Angels will send a resurgent Matt Shoemaker to the mound. Shoemaker has incorporated more off-speed pitches into his repertoire and it's resulted in just eight runs allowed over his last 38.1 innings of work. That also includes a ridiculous ratio of 48 strikeouts to only one walk during that span. His swinging strike rate this season has jumped up from 9.1% to 14.2% thanks to a split finger that grades out as one of the best pitches in baseball. Consider this: Last season Shoemaker's season-high for swinging strikes in a start was 14. Over his last five starts he's AVERAGED over 20. The betting markets have obviously caught wind of Shoemaker's recent dominance, hence the 30 cent move towards the Angels. Perhaps we wait till later this afternoon for the line to be bet back. Either way, Shoemaker has the big edge in this matchup.