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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres

04.04.2016     10:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Los Angeles (Kershaw) at San Diego (Ross) +180 O/U 6 
Recommendation: San Diego

Clayton Kershaw is a true ace, arguably the best pitcher in the NL.  Last year, he became the first pitcher in MLB history to finish among the Top 3 in Cy Young voting in five consecutive seasons.  His team finished in first place.  And oh, by the way, if you bet on Kershaw in every game, you lost more than five units over the season.  And given the nature of the 2016 MLB betting marketplace, wagering on the best pitcher in the NL is likely to be a money losing proposition moving forward.

All of Kershaw’s dominant numbers are baked into this line, leaving the Dodgers priced as $2 road favorites this evening.  His counterpart on the Padres side, Tyson Ross, put up truly dominant numbers last year, the only pitcher in the majors besides Cubs ace Jake Arrieta to finish in the Top 10 in both strikeouts per nine innings and ground ball rates last year.

Arrieta finished the season as the most profitable pitcher in baseball, but Ross was on the wrong end of the  luck equation repeatedly, finishing the season with only ten wins.   Ross dominated the Dodgers lineup in both meetings against them last year, allowing only three runs in those two games.  A similar effort here will put us in position to cash at this big underdog price.  Take the Padres.

Teddy NAILED his 20* Big Ticket NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Saturday, cashing with Villanova’s 43-point blowout over Oklahoma. Then he followed it up with a perfect sweep on Sunday, including an opening day MLB underdog winner on KC! He’s 54-36 (60%) across all sports dating all the way back to February and he’s hit 75% in college hoops since the start of the Sweet 16  Go for the 2-0 Sweep with Teddy's top rated MLB and college hoops selections tonight!

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres Teddy Covers

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