MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres Teddy Covers Los Angeles (Kershaw) at San Diego (Ross) +180 O/U 6
Recommendation: San Diego
Clayton Kershaw is a true ace, arguably the best pitcher in the NL. Last year, he became the first pitcher in MLB history to finish among the Top 3 in Cy Young voting in five consecutive seasons. His team finished in first place. And oh, by the way, if you bet on Kershaw in every game, you lost more than five units over the season. And given the nature of the 2016 MLB betting marketplace, wagering on the best pitcher in the NL is likely to be a money losing proposition moving forward.
All of Kershaw’s dominant numbers are baked into this line, leaving the Dodgers priced as $2 road favorites this evening. His counterpart on the Padres side, Tyson Ross, put up truly dominant numbers last year, the only pitcher in the majors besides Cubs ace Jake Arrieta to finish in the Top 10 in both strikeouts per nine innings and ground ball rates last year.
Arrieta finished the season as the most profitable pitcher in baseball, but Ross was on the wrong end of the luck equation repeatedly, finishing the season with only ten wins. Ross dominated the Dodgers lineup in both meetings against them last year, allowing only three runs in those two games. A similar effort here will put us in position to cash at this big underdog price. Take the Padres.
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