Miami (Fernandez) at Los Angeles (Maeda) -125 O/U 6.5
We have two impressive starters on the mound here with Jose Fernandez for Miami and Kenta Maeda for Los Angeles. Fernandez hasn’t been at his absolute best in April but we know he has the stuff to be a dominant starter. This should be a good matchup for him considering the Dodgers haven't faced him in two years and in three career starts, he held LA to six earned runs as the Marlins won all three games. Kenta Maeda has been dominant, allowing just one run in 25.1 innings of work through his first four starts. Not only are the stats impressive, but when you watch Maeda throw, he induces a lot of weak contact and swings and misses which speaks to the high level of his stuff. Miami has a very erratic lineup which can be productive in certain games and feeble in others and it’s worth noting they have been weaker against right-handed starters this season which should lead to another potential strong outing from Maeda. I saw plenty of feeble at-bats last night from these two teams despite facing a couple of hittable pitchers in Justin Nicolino and the aging, declining Scott Kazmir. It is hard to envision runs in bunches tonight with two better starters on the mound tonight. The total is obviously adjusted for the quality of both starters but I still feel there is enough of a cushion to play it under the total.