Miami (Chen) at New York (Matz) -145 O/U 8
Miami's Wei-Yin Chen has been a mess for the past month, allowing 21 runs on 36 hits in his last 26 innings of work over a span of five starts. Chen was given an extra couple days of rest prior to his last start against Atlanta thinking that might be an aid to his recent struggles but it didn’t change much as he allowed four runs on eight hits in just 5.1 innings against a very weak hitting lineup. New York's offense has sprung to life in recent games scoring 40 runs during its current five-game win streak and should be able to have success against Chen. It's also worth noting that the Marlins bullpen behind Chen is very much taxed having played in seven straight days prior to tonight and not a single one of their starters lasted beyond 6 innings. Steven Matz also has concerns of his own. Matz is pitching through a bone spur in his elbow that has the potential to threaten his season if it flares up again. Matz has given up 16 runs on 29 hits in his last 21.2 innings and suddenly the long ball has been a problem with four home runs allowed over his last three starts. Miami handed Matz his worst start of the season right here at Citi Field back in April: 7 runs in just 1.2 innings. The New York bullpen is in a similar state as Miami’s having been worked extensively of late with the Mets playing 14 straight days and only twice in those 14 games has a Mets starter pitched at least 7 innings. And Matt Harvey lasted only 3.2 IP in the series opener on Monday. All signs point towards tonight's game going over the reasonable total of 8.