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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

04.26.2018     09:38 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

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Milwaukee (Anderson) at Chicago (Hendricks) -150 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

Yes, the Cubs got shut down in Cleveland last night, held to just a single run on five hits. But that was the exception to the rule for Joe Maddon’s squad, because this potent lineup has been on fire. They’ve scored eight runs or more five times in their last eight games, cashing only two Under tickets in the process; a lineup that legitimately has no holes. Every Cubs starter got a hit on Tuesday Night and eight of the nine scored a run; getting contributions from all over this lineup.

That’s bad news for Brewers starter Chase Anderson, who has been allowing waaaaaay too many fly balls in early season play. His FIP (fielding independent pitching) shows that problem clearly – his home runs allowed are way up from last year and his strikeouts are way down. That’s why Anderson’s FIP stands at 5.90 in sharp contrast to his 3.25 ERA, a regression waiting to happen.

The Brewers lineup hit Kyle Hendricks hard earlier this month. They faced him five times last year, with solid success – Hendricks notched only one win in those games and had an ERA above 4.00. And Milwaukee’s bats are certainly in good form, even without the injured first baseball Eric Thames. GM David Stearns: “Obviously, we've got guys who are swinging the bat pretty well who can play first base. So, Eric is certainly going to be missed, but it's an opportunity for others guys to step up and play a little more regularly."

And Milwaukee is certainly in excellent offensive form right now! The Brewers have pounded out 41 runs in their last six games as part of their eight game winning streak with Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain setting the table at the top of the order and the big boppers like Ryan Braun and Travis Shaw driving them in. On a relatively warm spring evening at Wrigley with a light wind blowing out to left, look for this game to get up and Over the total. Take the Over.

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Chicago Cubs Teddy Covers




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