Minnesota (Gibson) at Atlanta (Foltynewicz)
Recommendation: Atlanta -115 5-inning
Hard throwing 24-year-old Mike Foltynewicz takes the hill for the Braves -- only his second home start over his last five outings. The schedule of late hasn't been friendly with road tilts at St. Louis, Washington, Colorado, and Minnesota. His lone home start came against Pittsburgh who grades out as an above average NL offense. Those five outings caused his ERA to jump from 3.70 to 4.50. A return to Turner Field should yield better results as he shows a respectable 3.71 ERA and .186 BAA at home. Folty has occasionally allowed his emotions to get the best of him, but from a stuff standpoint, he has shown the ability to successfully navigate most MLB lineups.
Kyle Gibson will start for the Twins on the heels of three shaky outings. After a solid July that saw him post a 3.69 ERA in five starts, Gibson has a 7.98 ERA in three August outings. The Braves lineup is currently sporting a .748 team OPS over the last 30 days and should benefit from the call up of top prospect Dansby Swanson. And while the Braves have the reputation of being one of the worst offenses in baseball, they've found ways to score runs -- and win games -- with an 11-9 record and 4.45 runs per game average over their last 20 games. We'll leave two suspect bullpens out of the equation and play the home side on the 5-inning line.