NY Mets (Matz) -125 at NY Yankees (Green) O/U 8.5
The New York Yankees have some of the weakest splits in MLB against left-handers this season: .314 OBP (22nd), .382 SLG (27th), and .129 ISO (28th). The production is projected to be even worse moving forward considering recently departed Carlos Beltran ranks among the league leaders against southpaws (.405/.640/.289). Tonight they face a young and talented lefty in Steve Matz for the first time. Matz reportedly has a bone spur in his elbow which is a concern but he continues to throw quality innings with a 3.19 ERA over his last five outings. New York counters with righty Chad Green who is essentially auditioning for a starting role for next season. Right now, he's probably better suited for the bullpen but he's shown flashes of competence with 27 strikeouts over 23.2 innings. His overall numbers are somewhat skewed after allowing seven runs and four dingers in a road start against Cleveland back in early July. Outside of that outing, he's been effective. And note that New York's top two bullpen arms, Dellin Betances and Tyler Clippard, are rested and ready after not throwing in last night's 7-1 Mets win. New York was able to upgrade its offense with the acquisition of Jay Bruce but this remains a NL-average at best unit. Good number to come in with a play on the under.