New York (deGrom) at St. Louis (Martinez) O/U -120 O/U 7.5
Looking to play tonight's New York-St. Louis game under the total with two above average starters and a key number of 7.5. St. Louis's Carlos Martinez has a ton of talent but has a tendency to lose it mentally on the mound. When he's not battling himself upstairs, the results are there. After losing five straight starts in late May, Martinez has been one of the best starters in the National League with a 2.66 ERA over his last 14 starts. In his last outing he took yet another step forward by focusing less on velocity and more of command and movement. It paid off in spades as he allowed only one run over seven innings at Houston. New York's Jacob deGrom's velocity recently returned to 2015's levels. Prior to his last start, deGrom had allowed only two earned runs over 27.2 innings. Last Thursday, the Giants pounded him for 13 hits and eight earned runs. deGrom chalked up the outing and nothing more than missing a few spots in key situations. In 15 of his 22 starts, he's allowed two earned runs or less. He should be able to navigate a banged up Cardinals lineup that is still without Matt Holliday and Michael Adams. Overall, the matchup appears ripe for a lower scoring game.