New York (Eovaldi) at Baltimore (Tillman) -125 O/U 8
Baltimore’s Chris Tillman continues to pitch at a rock solid level and should be a candidate for MLB Comeback Player of the Year. Tillman currently sports a 2.92 ERA and an even better 2.04 ERA in seven home starts at Camden Yards in which Baltimore has gone a perfect 7-0. His strikeouts per 9 innings have jumped from 7.1% in 2015 to 10%. His is making better pitches and inducing a lot more swings and misses. Tillman has dominated the Yankees in seven career starts at Camden Yards having allowed three runs or less in each outing. That is bad news for a Yankees lineup that is slumping miserably right now. They were held to two runs or less in four straight games (5 runs total) before last night’s outburst against Detroit’s suspect bullpen. New York’s Nathan Eovaldi has the look of a ‘bet on’ hurler as well. Eovaldi has always been able to throw hard but appears to finally be harnessing his talents. He enters off of three straight dominant outings (2 runs in 18 IP) against Arizona, Toronto and Tampa Bay. The Yankees have also won each of his last five starts. He has historically fared well against the Orioles with seven runs allowed over 16.1 innings. The under is 4-1 in Eovaldi’s last five road starts and 6-1 in Tillman’s seven starts at home. And despite Betances, Miller, and Chapman all throwing last night, they were rested heading in and should be available tonight if needed. Britton is available for the Orioles as well. Play this one under the total.