New York (Sabathia) -110 at Pittsburgh (Glasnow) O/U 8
The Pirates couldn’t hit a lick with Sterling Marte in the lineup. Now that he’s been suspended for 80 games, a bad lineup just got worse. Remember, Marte was one of only two outfielders with a +4.5 or higher WAR in each of the last four seasons. Mike Trout is the other. The Pirates have scored two runs in the two games since the suspension was announced.
It's certainly not like this was a particularly potent lineup when Marte was on the field. Pittsburgh has produced two runs or less in half of their last fourteen contests. They’ve yet to have a true offensive explosion, producing more than six runs only once all season.
Pittsburgh has been at their absolute worst offensively against opposing lefties, ranked #28 in MLB in batting average against southpaws (.171) and #29 in OPS (.521). That’s not a tiny sample size either, with a middle-of-the-pack 140 at-bats against lefties thusfar.
CC Sabathia is not a guy I’ll be excited about playing Under the total when it comes to those hot, humid mid-summer nights. But here in April, with gametime temperatures in the 60’s, Sabathia is still fresh. Make no mistake about it – CC has been nothing short of outstanding in his first three starts, allowing only three earned runs. He’s coming off a dominant gem against St. Louis, holding the Cardinals to three hits in 7.1 innings. And the Yankees bullpen behind him has been the best pen in baseball, allowing only six runs in 42.2 innings while notching five saves and two wins.
Tyler Glasnow went into spring training as one of the highest regarded pitching prospects in all of baseball, and he earned a place in the Pirates starting rotation after showing great promise with his September call-up last year. But Glasnow has struggled mightily in his first two starts this year. This is his shot to get it right, something he’s more than capable of doing against a Yankees lineup that isn’t built for slugfests. Expect a relatively low scoring affair here, staying under the total.