Oakland (Manaea) +110 at Milwaukee (Davies) O/U 8.5
After a rough beginning to his MLB career, Oakland's Sean Manaea is showing signs of the potential the Athletics saw in him when they picked him up from the Royals. Manaea has really started to turn things around over his last few starts allowing three runs or less in three of his last four starts with a much better 19-8 K-to-BB ratio during that span. His road ERA shows 27.00 but it was one rotten start against the very potent Boston Red Sox lineup. He should find it to be a much more manageable matchup in Milwaukee against a Brewers team hitting just .230 against lefties. After facing some tough AL lineups in his first seven starts including the likes of Boston, Houston, Seattle and Texas, this should be a bit of a step down in class. On the flip side, Zach Davies is coming off a surprisingly dominant outing against the St. Louis Cardinals in which he threw eight shutout innings. However, it’s worth noting Davies still has very mediocre peripheral numbers. His ERA is 4.53 and his FIP and xFIP are right in line with that. His walks (2.72) per 9 innings and strikeouts (6.89) per 9 innings are both mediocre at best and his swinging strike rate has dropped from 10% in 2015 to 8% this season. I like the plus price underdog tag with Manaea and the Athletics tonight at Miller Park.