Philadelphia (Nola) +120 at Chicago (Quintana) O/U 7.5
Philadelphia's Aaron Nola has been a model of consistency; on a strong stretch that includes an allowance of only a single run or less in five of his last six starts. He has shown the ability to be effective and pitch well on the road too with a 2.45 ERA and has pitched deep into ballgames going 7+ innings in six of his last ten starts. That should save what has sometimes been a shaky and erratic Phillies bullpen from having to get a ton of outs in tonight's game. On the flip side, lefty Jose Quintana has been slightly better of late but those two good outings came against the subpar lineups of the Reds and Mets. Overall, Quintana has struggled this season at Wrigley Field with a 6.66 ERA in five starts and his track record against the Phillies is not much better: 0-2, 7.36 ERA in two previous starts. Philadelphia cashed a big dog ticket last night in the series opener and I like their chances here of making it two wins in a row at another attractive plus price.