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NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus goes road-heavy for Week 3

09.24.2017     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 3 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. OAKLAND -3 at Washington
2. DENVER -3 at Buffalo
3. KANSAS CITY -3 at LA Chargers
4. NEW ORLEANS +5.5 at Carolina
5. SEATTLE +3 at Tennessee

Least picked Sunday side: HOUSTON +13.5 at New England

Tags: NFL SuperContest



NFL Week 3 Betting Podcast 9-22-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers

09.22.2017     12:54 PM     Printer Friendly

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Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 3. Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning joined host Andrew Lange to break down Sunday and Monday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



College Football Betting Preview: Toledo Rockets at Miami Hurricanes

09.22.2017     09:56 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Toledo at Miami
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT
CRIS Opener: Miami -12.5 O/U 60.5
CRIS Current: Miami -13.5 O/U 60.5
Recommendation: Miami

There’s an obvious bit of unknown where Miami is concerned as they return to the field for the first time in three weeks. Making the Hurricanes even more of a mystery is that their only game this season was played against lower echelon FCS entrant Bethune-Cookman. The one element that likely can be factored into the Miami piece of this handicap is their eagerness to return to the playing field which should translate into 60 minutes of effort and energy. The two weeks off has allowed Miami to probably regain the services of leading WR Ahmmon Richards (hamstring) who did not play in their opener and starting DT Kendrick Norton. They may be cautious with Richards but having him on the field gives the ‘Canes a way to possibly ease the potential of seeing an eight man box against their rushing attack.

Toledo was magnificent offensively last week as they erased a 14 point halftime deficit en-route to their 54-51 victory over Tulsa. The Rockets had five touchdowns in that game of 49 yards or more and QB Logan Woodside threw six TD passes. Defensively however, they were shredded for 423 rushing yards and 6.2 per carry which doesn’t bode well for them versus Miami whose strength is their running game. Toledo has all the weapons to cause problems for the Miami defense which allowed four dives of 10+ plays to Bethune-Cookman but it’s questionable whether they can slow down the ‘Canes ground attack led RB Mark Walton.

This could end up being a defensive nightmare for Toledo which just got pounded with 66 rushing attempts by Tulsa and now face another physical run oriented offense. Selling out against the run may not even be enough but if it is, one-one matchups in the passing game will be open for QB Malik Rosier to exploit. Conversely, Miami DC Manny Diaz isn’t as concerned with his units’ athletic ability as he is the amount of preparation it takes to handle Toledo’s playbook full of motions and formations. The Hurricanes defense is fully focused on rebounding from their less than stellar Week 1 performance and they bring a front seven like nothing Tulsa has seen thus far this season. The 88 degree weather and high 90’s humidity may play a role as well if the home team can grind down the Golden Hurricane defense. Line is priced fairly so have to take a small stance with the home favorite which can be expected to enter this game like a powder keg ready to explode.

Tags: College Football Toledo Rockets MAC Miami Hurricanes ACC Rob Veno



College Football Betting Preview: Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats

09.22.2017     09:20 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida at Kentucky
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - SEC Network
CRIS Opener: Florida -2.5 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Florida -1.5 O/U 43.5
Recommendation: Kentucky

Heading into the season, Kentucky talked all about playing at a fast tempo and putting up big points on a weekly basis. Three games into the season and the Wildcats have failed miserably at that claim and are ironically a better team for it. Fifth-year head coach Mark Stoops finally got the message that in order to compete in the SEC, you have to value the football, run the football, and play solid defense. Through three games, UK is +4 in turnover margin, owns a 121-70 run/pass ratio, and is allowing only 346.7 ypg. The competition comes up a little light (Southern Miss, Eastern Kentucky and South Carolina), particularly on the offensive end, but Saturday's opponent is another foe where Kentucky's newly-adopted strategy could thrive.

For seven of the eight quarters it has played, Florida's offense has been nothing short of abysmal. The Gators managed 11 rushing yards vs. Michigan and if you eliminate their Hail Mary toss at the end of last week's win over Tennessee, they would have been outgained by 125 yards to the Vols. And Florida's defense hasn't looked nearly as stout as last year's unit that surrendered only 4.66 yards per play. The Wolverines went for 200+ on the ground and through the air and Tennessee averaged over 6 yards per play.

For casual bettors, Kentucky's 30-game losing streak to Florida is going to make this a "Gators or pass" game. But in those 30 games, how many times could you confidently say Kentucky had the ability to win the line of scrimmage battle? I feel they'll do so in Saturday's matchup which is why I'm on the short home underdog.

Tags: College Football Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats SEC Drew Martin



NFL Gambling: Sherman trolls league's injury report policy

09.22.2017     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Richard Sherman reminds everyone that injury reports are for bettors.


 “I guess from what I understand the rules is for the gamblers, for Vegas, to make sure the odds and everything are what they are supposed to be, which is apparently what the league is concerned about when talking about injuries and things like that,” Sherman said. “So maybe somebody should look into that, because I thought we weren’t a gambling league and we were against all those things. But our injury report is specifically to make sure the gamblers get their odds right.”



Tags: NFL



NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

09.21.2017     12:13 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore vs. Jacksonville
Sunday, 6:30 am PT - Yahoo.com
CRIS Opener: Baltimore -4 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Baltimore -4 O/U 39
Recommendation: Jacksonville

Joe Flacco missed all of preseason; one of many injured veterans for the Ravens in August. Baltimore lost nearly a dozen guys to IR in training camp, losing key bodies on both sides of the football. Flacco has looked rusty, with only 338 passing yards through two games. And he hasn’t been tested – the ravens have not yet trailed this season. The Ravens, as a team, have only one explosive play on offense through two games. They’ve rushed for under four yards per carry. And now the key to their offensive line, six time pro bowler Marshall Yanda, has been placed on injured reserve after breaking his ankle last week.

Yanda’s injury cannot be overstated. With him gone, this team is now without three of their five OL starters from last year, as well as their top two backups from a season ago. This would be a problem for any offense. It matters even more with a QB and skill position talent that don’t have much familiarity with one another after the barrage of August injuries.

And for all the success the Ravens have had with their 2-0 SU and ATS start, let’s not forget two things. First, Baltimore has generated 10 turnovers. No other team has more than five. Every team looks good and covers spreads when they are +7 in turnovers over a two game span.

Secondly, John Harbaugh is not a ‘let’s lay points with him’ kind of coach, especially on the highway. The Ravens have been feisty underdogs for years under Harbaugh. However, they’ve got a grand total of one pointspread cover in their last eight tries as favorites away from home dating back to 2014; failing repeatedly in this role. I’ve got Harbaugh as 3-10 ATS in his last 13 tries laying more than a field goal on any field, and all three of those covers have come against the same team – Cleveland.

The defense Baltimore is facing this week is no joke. Say what you want about Blake Bortles (yes, I know Bortles sucks, but I think the Jags can cover in spite of him), Jacksonville’s stop unit is the best one the Ravens have seen this year. Offseason acquisition Calais Campbell has been a pass rushing force, who’s veteran leadership has been “off the charts” according to head coach Doug Marrone.

Free agent signee AJ Bouye gives them a stud cornerback duo with last year’s #1 pick Jalen Ramsey, on the other side. This defense finished #4 in the NFL in yards per play allowed last year. They dominated the game at Houston in Week 1. And they kept the Titans out of the end zone until the second half last week before finally wearing down late.

The Jags play in London every year. They won their London game in 2015. They won their London game last year, developing a following in the UK and at least some semblance of a home field edge at Wembley. This is the first ever game that the Ravens have played outside the continental US. Put it all together and the Jags catching more than a field goal are a clear choice for this bettor.

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Jacksonville Jaguars Teddy Covers



College Football Betting Preview: Texas Tech Red Raiders at Houston Cougars

09.21.2017     12:09 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas Tech at Houston
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener: Houston -5.5 O/U 69
CRIS Current: Houston -6.5 O/U 71
Recommendation: Over

Texas Tech’s offense once again looks fully capable of scoring points in bunches despite losing quarterback and 1st round draft pick Patrick Mahomes. Texas Tech’s new starter, Nic Shimonek, is the latest in a long line of plug-and-play Air Raid system signal callers. Shimonek has absolutely flawless numbers through two games; 78% completions, 927 yards passing and a perfect 9-0 TD-to-INT ratio. He’s got a slew of skill position talent to work with; WR Keke Coutee has 17 catches for 285 yards and three scores while fellow receivers Dylan Cantrell and Cameron Batson each have 12 receptions. And running backs Desmon Nisby and Justin Stockton have combined for 196 yards and 2 TDs. I expect Tech to score its share of points but so should Houston against a Texas Tech defense that still refuses to put any stock into stopping the opposition. Case in point, last week, up 42-24 in the third quarter, the Red Raiders allowed Arizona State to storm back and tie the game late. Tech punched in a score with less than two minutes remaining and was perhap lucky to come away with the win and pointspread cover.

Texas A&M transfer Kyle Allen has started off strong for Houston with 534 passing yards and an 86% completion rate through two games. Houston has a trio of senior receivers with Linell Bonner, Steven Dunbar and John Leday who all have double-digit receptions so far on the campaign. It will be a massive challenge for a Texas Tech secondary giving up over 7 yards per pass and 273 passing yards per game. Last week’s game between Texas Tech and Arizona State was lined at 74 and it soared over with 97 points scored. This total is three points lower due in large part to Houston’s ability to play solid defense but it still won’t stop either team from marching up and down the field. Play it over.

Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII Houston Cougars AAC Ian Cameron



Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 9-21-2017

09.21.2017     11:08 AM     Printer Friendly

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Here is Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 4. Handicappers Ian Cameron, Teddy Covers, Drew Martin, and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down Saturday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Drew Martin Ian Cameron Rob Veno Andrew Lange



College Football Betting Podcast 9-20-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

09.20.2017     12:37 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER gave his famed Big Ten Report.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - Big Ten Report


To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Big Ten Erin Rynning



College Football Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels at Ohio State Buckeyes

09.20.2017     10:44 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UNLV at Ohio State
Saturday, 9 am PT - Big Ten Network
CRIS Opener: Ohio State -39.5 O/U 65
CRIS Current: Ohio State -40 O/U 64.5
Recommendation: Over

Eliminate for a second Ohio State's dismal offensive showing vs. Oklahoma in which the Buckeyes posted only 350 total yards and 16 points. Instead, turn your attention to Week 1 in which the Buckeyes rolled up nearly 600 yards and 49 points against Indiana. And last week as well as OSU hung 586 yards on only 69 plays in its win over Army. Bettors should feel confident moving forward that Ohio State's offense is only going to get better as first-year OC Kevin Wilson and Urban Meyer adjust to one another. In the meantime, this is still a top-tier offense, especially when facing lower-tier competition which is exactly what they'll see this weekend in UNLV.

The Rebels were not an especially strong defensive team a season ago even though the schedule came up very light in terms of opposing offenses. UNLV faced only three teams in the top 50 in total offense and in those three games it allowed 50 ppg. This season's numbers look tolerable (5.31 ypp allowed) but once again, the competition (Howard and Idaho) was very weak.

Offensively, UNLV head coach Tony Sanchez stated that while run-first, clock churning drives are ideal, they aren't likely to occur against the Buckeyes’ stout stop unit. Meaning, in order for UNLV to put points on the board, they'll need to do so via the big play.

“We know we’ve been a pretty successful run football team, and that’s who we are and that’s kind of how we’ve built ourselves,” Sanchez said, “but we’ve got a talented receiving corps, and if you’re going to have an opportunity in a game like this, you’re going to have to stretch the field. You’re not just going to be able to sit there, run the ball 50 times right at a front like that. They’re pretty stout up there.”

Easier said than done against a very formidable defense on the road but UNLV's offense has a lot of potential. Quarterback Armani Rogers gives the offense a run-pass dynamic it didn't have with last year's trio of sub-par signal callers. And there are weapons in both the backfield and at wide receiver. Despite a litany of key injuries and zero production from the QB position, UNLV still averaged a respectable 5.86 ypp last year in MWC play. And while this year's competition has been ultra-weak, it's a positive sign the Rebels averaged over 8 yards per play in both games. Ohio State’s got the plenty of potential to hang 50+ in this one which means a score or two from a very offensively improved underdog has this one going over the total.

Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels Mountain West Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten OTTO Sports



College Football Betting: Navy defense makes changes in order to better compete vs. AAC

09.20.2017     09:29 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting transformation underway with Navy's defense this season. Since joining the AAC in 2015, the Midshipmen and their bend-but-don't-break zone defense has had major issues stopping the pass. Last year, Navy ranked 123rd out of 128 in QB Rating defense. This year's unit is trying something completely new; man-to-man and getting after the quarterback. The sample size isn't big enough yet to determine how this significant change will play out. In Week 1, Florida Atlantic threw for 286 yards some of which in play-from-behind mode but was also picked off twice. That alone is a positive sign considering Navy posted only seven interceptions all of last season. In Week 2, the secondary didn't get much of any test playing Tulane's option. And this week, Cincinnati doesn't pose much of a threat with a team passer rating below 100. The real test starts in two weeks with a trip to Tulsa and then two weeks after that at Memphis. Over two-plus seasons, Navy's league games are 12-6 O/U. But if you eliminate Tulane and Temple, that number jumps to 12-2 O/U.


 “I want to see us on that side of the line of scrimmage. Because I know this: If we play like that in the secondary we’re going to get killed,” Niumatalolo says. “I want to attack. I’d rather go attack the quarterback and be at that level and make him make a decision than staying back. We have to be more disruptive. If not, we’re going to get torched.”

“You can mix it up by bringing five or six, really put pressure on the quarterback to make a decision and try to throw the ball into a tight space,” O’Brien said. “Hopefully, we can put the quarterback in a tough spot and make him make a bad throw.”  



 

 

Tags: College Football Navy Midshipmen AAC Cincinnati Bearcats



NFL Gambling Update: Bengals hint run-game a focus moving forward

09.20.2017     08:58 AM     Printer Friendly

UPDATE

Bettors are probably wondering what Cincinnati's offense will look like following the firing of offensive coordinator Ken Zampese. This article suggests the Bengals will be more committed to the run and less committed to asking Andy Dalton to win the game with his arm. Cinci is currently a +8.5 road underdog to Green Bay. The total is sitting at 44.5.


“In the past it’s been up and down,” Boling said.  “I definitely think to start the year out you play a team like Baltimore that might have one of the best run defenses in the league. But I think even in a situation like that you have to stay committed to it. You really just have to keep hammering whether it’s there or not. At some point you hope to bust one.”







NFL Handicapping: Bengals make a move at OC after failing to score a TD through two games

09.18.2017     07:48 AM     View Original Blog
Coordinator firings are usually pretty bland: Team loses a few games thanks to piss poor offense or defense and someone needs to take the fall. It's already happened four times this football season. But the situation with the Cincinnati Bengals is a bit more intriguing. Reports have surfaced that there was a near "mutiny" involving the players and offensive coordinator Ken Zampese. Through two games, Cincinnati has yet to score an offensive touchdown. As a result, Zampese was shown the door and quarterbacks coach Bill Lazor will take over. The Bengals head to Green Bay this weekend.

 

 




Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Green Bay Packers



College Football Betting Podcast 9-19-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

09.19.2017     11:18 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange recapped college football's Week 3 action.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Football Recap Week 3

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Rob Veno Andrew Lange



NFL Betting Podcast 9-18-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

09.18.2017     10:50 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report (OLR) in which he and host Andrew Lange discussed NFL Week 3 line moves and where bettors can expect the lines to move throughout the week. 

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 3

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



NFL Handicapping: Bengals make a move at OC after failing to score a TD through two games

09.18.2017     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Coordinator firings are usually pretty bland: Team loses a few games thanks to piss poor offense or defense and someone needs to take the fall. It's already happened four times this football season. But the situation with the Cincinnati Bengals is a bit more intriguing. Reports have surfaced that there was a near "mutiny" involving the players and offensive coordinator Ken Zampese. Through two games, Cincinnati has yet to score an offensive touchdown. As a result, Zampese was shown the door and quarterbacks coach Bill Lazor will take over. The Bengals head to Green Bay this weekend.

 

 

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals



College Football Gambling: UTEP fires offensive coordinator

09.18.2017     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We'd be wasting your time by rummaging through all of the horrific offensive statistics UTEP has posted through three games. Actually there is one worth mentioning; the team's 99.4 QB Rating. Rumor has it you start with 85.0 prior to the coin toss. Head coach Sean Kugler, who can't possibly last beyond this year, decided to fire offensive coordinator Brent Pease (remember how bad his Florida offenses were?). Tight ends and special teams coach Brian Natkin will now be in charge of calling plays. Miners travel to New Mexico State this weekend.

 

 

Tags: College Football UTEP Miners C-USA



College Football Betting: SEC has been less than impressive thus far

09.18.2017     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Things haven't been pretty in the SEC thus far save for a handful of teams. In non-conference play, SEC teams are currently 11-18-1 against the spread. Below is a quick, and yes cliche, look at the “good”, the “bad”, and the “ugly."

The good...

Vanderbilt - Big win over Kansas State ups the Commodores to 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. SEC plays gets underway this weekend with Alabama headed to Nashville.

Georgia - Bulldogs look to be the favorite in the East after dominating Appalachian State and winning outright in South Bend. Currently a -6 home favorite over fellow "good" squad Mississippi State.

Mississippi State - Bulldogs have looked dominant on both sides of the football en route to a 3-0 SU/ATS start. At Georgia and at Auburn the next two weeks.

Alabama - Workmanlike effort through three weeks though failed to cover against Fresno State and Colorado State.

The bad...

Kentucky - Yes, the Cats are 3-0 SU but only 1-2 ATS and dead even from a total yardage perspective despite playing Southern Miss, Eastern Kentucky and South Carolina.

South Carolina - 2-0 start was buoyed by a handful fluke plays. Outgained Kentucky 6.28 ypp to 4.84 ypp but alarmingly lost as home chalk, 23-13.

Tennessee - Should have lost to Georgia Tech but won, should have beat Florida but lost...such is life under Butch Jones. Outgained from a total yardage perspective on the season.

Auburn - The offense remains a total mess. Fifteen sacks allowed, 510 total yards last week and yet they limped past Mercer, 24-10.

LSU - OC Matt Canada was supposed to be a savior. Instead, the Tigers are averaging 0.60 ypp less than they did a year ago despite playing only one conference game. Outplayed from start to finish last week at Mississippi State.

Ole Miss - Considering what they've gone through this past offseason, 2-1 isn't all that bad. But 0-3 ATS and failed to score in the second half of last week's 27-16 loss at Cal. After a bye week, the nightmare begins: at Alabama, at Auburn, vs. Vanderbilt, and vs. LSU the next four weeks.

Texas A&M - Trailing 21-14 at halftime, the Aggies saved a little bit of face by outscoring UL-Lafayette 31-0 in the second half en route to a "easy" win but perhaps fortunate cover (-24). Despite playing a horrific UCLA defense, Nicholls State, and UL-Lafayette, A&M has been outgained 5.64 ypp to 5.38 ypp. Yikes.

The ugly...

Missouri - Dumpster fire in waiting. Tigers' "vaunted" offense managed only 16 combined points in back-to-back ugly losses to South Carolina (who just lost at home to Kentucky) and upstart Purdue. Looks as if all it takes is a couple of film sessions to figure out how to stop this offense.

Arkansas - Downgraded to "ugly" after managing only 267 yards vs. TCU. The Horned Frogs allowed 463 yards at nearly 7 yards per clip in last week's non-pointspread covering win over SMU.

Tags: College Football SEC



NFL Gambling Update: Week 2 SuperContest consensus goes 3-2 ATS

09.18.2017     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly

UPDATE

Westgate SuperContest consensus plays finished 3-2 against the spread last week. That puts the YTD record to 3-7 ATS. The top weekly play is now 1-1 ATS. The least picked Sunday side is 1-1 ATS.

1. TENNESSEE -2.5 at Jacksonville - WIN
2. PITTSBURGH -5.5 vs. Minnesota - WIN
3. GREEN BAY +3 at Atlanta - LOSS
4. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 at New Orleans - WIN
5. DALLAS -2.5 at Denver - LOSS

Least picked Sunday side: SAN FRANCISCO +14 at Seattle - WIN

YTD Results
Week 1: 0-5
Week 2: 3-2




NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus goes chalk-heavy for Week 2

09.17.2017     09:00 AM     View Original Blog
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 2 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. TENNESSEE -2.5 at Jacksonville
2. PITTSBURGH -5.5 vs. Minnesota
3. GREEN BAY +3 at Atlanta
4. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 at New Orleans
5. DALLAS -2.5 at Denver

Least picked Sunday side: SAN FRANCISCO +14 at Seattle.




Tags: NFL SuperContest



NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus goes chalk-heavy for Week 2

09.17.2017     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 2 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. TENNESSEE -2.5 at Jacksonville
2. PITTSBURGH -5.5 vs. Minnesota
3. GREEN BAY +3 at Atlanta
4. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 at New Orleans
5. DALLAS -2.5 at Denver

Least picked Sunday side: SAN FRANCISCO +14 at Seattle.

Tags: NFL SuperContest



NFL Week 2 Betting Podcast 9-15-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow and Erin Rynning

09.15.2017     01:30 PM     Printer Friendly

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Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 2. Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning joined host Andrew Lange to break down Sunday and Monday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Brent Crow Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



College Football Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels at California Golden Bears

09.15.2017     11:43 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ole Miss at California
Saturday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Ole Miss -3.5 O/U 72
CRIS Current: Ole Miss -3.5 O/U 71.5
Recommendation: Under

California's defense is not going to be fixed overnight. The bad recruiting, bad coaching, and bad habits from the Sonny Dykes era are bound to linger. The good news is through two games, the Golden Bears are nearly a yard per play better than last season. And while last week's win over FCS Weber State doesn't look all that impressive (the Wildcats rolled up 571 yards), I look more to Week 1's results as Cal went on the road and held North Carolina to less than 5 yards per play. The Tar Heels lost a lot of offensive firepower but they also managed to hang 35 points and 6.5 yards per play the following week against Louisville.

Back in 2014 and 2015, Ole Miss' defense was a top-tier unit as it posted season averages of 4.7 and 4.9 yards per allowed, respectively. They took a big step back last year as teams rolled up over 6 yards per play and the Rebels finished a dismal 5-7. This year's unit has been average thus far as South Alabama and UT-Martin were at times able to move the football will relative ease. Defensive coordinator Wesley McGriff stated heading into this game that stopping the run and shoring up the team's lackluster tackling was a priority.

Pace-wise, neither team is playing at breakneck speed and make no mistake, this is a very rich total. Back in Week 1, the betting markets were all over Cal under the total as the game vs. North Carolina was bet down from 66 to 57. Only the earliest of bettors cashed as the Golden Bears won 35-30. However, here we have an opener of 72 that hasn't moved. That's ironically the average total of Cal's 12 games a season ago; a team that played significantly faster and didn't care one bit about playing defense. I see a bit of value on the under in this matchup.

Tags: College Football Ole Miss Rebels SEC California Golden Bears PAC-12 OTTO Sports



College Football Gambling Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at BYU Cougars

09.15.2017     11:12 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at BYU
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Wisconsin -13 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Wisconsin -16.5 O/U 40.5
Recommendation: BYU

It sounds as if BYU quarterback Tanner Mangum won't be able to go this weekend after suffering an ankle injury in last week's loss to rival Utah. That means backup Beau Hoge will likely be under center. Hoge doesn't have much experience though given BYU's offensive struggles and Magnum's total loss of confidence, he could provide a bit of a spark.

The one thing BYU does have in its corner is a stout defense. Some of the numbers don't look overly attractive as LSU ran for 296 yards and Utah averaged nearly six yards per play, but the Tigers boast one of the best run games in the country and the Utes feature a soon-to-be household name in quarterback Tyler Huntley who practically beat the Cougars by himself (227 yards passing, 89 yards rushing). Wisconsin isn't nearly as explosive as those two squads as the Badgers' more traditional style of "run first, play action later" is a favorable match up for BYU's defense.

No offense in the country, outside of maybe Florida, has been more ridiculed thus far than BYU. And every bit of it is justified as offensive coordinator Ty Detmer appears to be completely over his head. But this is a matchup and pointspread range where we don't need "huge strides" from the offense in order to cash a ticket. And value-wise, BYU was catching +15 vs. LSU in New Orleans, +4.5 at home vs. Utah, and now as high as +17 at home vs. Wisconsin. BYU's power rating without question deserves to be downgraded but that's an extreme adjustment and the right opponent for them to grind out a cover.

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten BYU Cougars Andrew Lange



College Football Betting Preview: Appalachian State Mountaineers at Texas State Bobcats

09.15.2017     10:48 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Appalachian State at Texas State
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN3
CRIS Opener: Appalachian State -23 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Appalachian State -23 O/U 49
Recommendation: Appalachian State

The Texas State Bobcats host the Appalachian State Mountaineers Saturday night in San Marcos, Texas. It's the Sun Belt opener for both squads and a matchup that has a strong potential to be lopsided. Over three touchdowns on the road may seem rich, but when the talent disparity is this wide, this type of margin could be reached rather quickly.

TSU head coach Everett Withers walked into a real tough spot last season and essentially "took a knee" in order to build towards the future. Things were so bad (2-10, -25.4 scoring margin vs. Sun Belt) that this year should also be labeled a "rebuild." In Week 1, TSU outgained FCS bottom feeder Houston Baptist 290-258 in an ugly 20-11 win and backed it up with a 37-3 loss at Colorado.

Appalachian State was outclassed in Week 1 vs. a much improved Georgia squad, 31-10. The Mountaineers however fired back and led Savannah State 45-0 at halftime before taking their foot off the pedal. Last season, APSU went on the road at dispatched UL-Lafayette, Georgia Southern, and New Mexico State by an average margin of 26 ppg. Those three squads combined for 11 Sun Belt wins whereas Texas State finished 0-8. And in last year's meet in Boone, NC, Appalachian State outrushed Texas State 303-14 en route to a 35-10 win.

Superior talent and the ability to dominate the line of scrimmage make this one of the more lopsided matchups you'll see this season in the Sun Belt. Lay the chalk.

Tags: College Football Appalachian State Mountaineers Texas State Bobcats Sun Belt Drew Martin



College Football Betting Preview: Central Michigan Chippewas at Syracuse Orange

09.15.2017     10:08 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Central Michigan at Syracuse
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT
CRIS Opener: Syracuse -10.5 O/U 65
CRIS Current: Syracuse -10 O/U 68
Recommendation: Under

Opposite results for these teams last week as Central Michigan recorded a solid 45-27 road win over Kansas while Syracuse was outfoxed by ex-DC Scott Shafer in their 30-23 home loss to Middle Tennessee State. The ‘Cuse allowed six sacks and averaged a minuscule 3.3 yards per play on their 93 total plays. They also had their second lowest number of passing yards (182) in a game under Dino Babers. Expect those subpar numbers by Orange standards to get back to normal this week against a defense without the built in personnel & weaknesses knowledge that Shafer had. Defensively they held their own last week for nearly three quarters but a span of 11:52 between late third quarter and mid fourth saw them allow three consecutive touchdown drives. Limiting the potent MTSU offense to 369 total yards for the game looks solid but their second half faltering turned a 7-point lead into a 7-point loss.

Central Michigan took some time to heat up but they demolished Kansas from the late second quarter on scoring five TDs on six possessions. All five drives were 73 yards or more and overall in that 35 point stretch, new QB Shane Morris (Michigan transfer) led the offense to 410 total yards. CMU needed the offensive support because their defense had trouble stopping Kansas in the second half as well. Their stop troops have been ineffective the first couple of weeks allowing 27 points and 431 yards per game.

Syracuse catches a real break here since the Chippewas star WR Corey Willis is now out for four weeks with a fractured hand. Add to that, 3rd leading WR Brandon Childress has been ruled out for the season after injuring his knee last week and suddenly CMU is severely weakened at that position. They may have to lean on their ground game more in this contest but run defense has been Syracuse’s strength thus far (allowing just 74 rypg). Offensively, Syracuse should be able to take advantage Central Michigan’s defense led by dual threat QB Eric Dungey. Not sure why this total continues to go upward but the expectation here is that Central Michigan may try to control tempo here and keep Syracuse possessions down a bit. Current 67.5 number seems a bit high so look here will be toward the under.

Tags: College Football Central Michigan Chippewas MAC Syracuse Orange ACC Rob Veno



College Football Gambling Preview: UCLA Bruins at Memphis Tigers

09.14.2017     01:01 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Memphis
Saturday, 9 am PT
CRIS Opener: UCLA-4.5 O/U 72
CRIS Current: UCLA -3 O/U 72
Recommendation: Memphis

The scoreboard results look decent for UCLA, with a 2-0 mark to open the season. Josh Rosen has put up some huge numbers, throwing for 820 yards with nine touchdowns and zero interceptions against Texas A&M and Hawaii. And yet, despite those monster stats from Rosen, the Bruins have all the makings of a bet-against team in early start TV action on Saturday.

Let’s start with this: Rosen has zero interceptions only because Texas A&M dropped the ball, with Rosen every bit as lucky as he was good in the Aggies late defensive meltdown. And we need to note the miserable spot here for the Bruins. They’ve got a major revenge matchup with Stanford on deck, coming off a remarkable comeback and an easy blowout. This game reeks of a legitimate flat spot for the road favorite, especially when we consider the noon Eastern Time start – that’s 9 AM on the body clocks for the kids from the West Coast.

There’s another anti-UCLA factor in play here – Jim Mora’s track record in games like this one. The results don’t lie. Dating back to the start of the 2014 season, my numbers show Mora and the Bruins with a grand total of three pointspread covers in their last 13 non-conference affairs, not a team to be laying points with thousands of miles from home with Stanford on deck!

But the biggest factor of all one that makes it very easy to support for Memphis in this ballgame – is the failure of the UCLA defense in early season play. Again, the results don’t lie. In two games, the Bruins have been gashed for 663 yards, allowing a whopping 6.3 yards per carry. Hawaii ran the ball down their collective throats last week: 281 rushing yards at 6.7 yards per carry. That’s a real problem against a team like Memphis!

Make no mistake about it – the Tigers have the skill position talent to trade points with UCLA. Senior QB Riley Ferguson is surrounded by Power 5 Conference depth at WR and RB; an offense loaded with playmakers. Memphis is going to spread the field and push the pace, both problems for the Bruins defense in early season play. And the Tigers are primed to make a statement, at home, on national TV, against a national powerhouse. Riley Ferguson: “I’m ready. I know all of our guys are ready for it. Everybody’s going to be watching. It’s time to go out there and show everybody what we can do.”

Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Memphis Tigers AAC Teddy Covers






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