San Francisco (Bumgarner) -145 at Oakland (Overton) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: San Francisco
The Oakland Athletics host the San Francisco Giants for the finale of their four-game set. The A’s won the first two games of this interleague series in San Francisco and then won again last night in Oakland 7-1. The Giants are sending their ace Madison Bumgarner to the hill to avoid the dreaded four-game sweep. He will face Dillon Overton for the A’s who is 1-0 on the year. Bumgarner is 8-4 with a sub 2.00 ERA but has lost back-to-back starts at Pittsburgh and against Philadelphia despite allowing a total of four runs in over 14 innings. The 26-year-old southpaw has has yielded more than two earned runs only three times in 16 outings this year and once in his last 13 starts. The line has shifted all the way from -185 to -145 which provides us with a discounted price on one of the best pitchers in the game and one of the best teams in the National League. Overton posted an 8-4 record with one complete game and a 3.01 ERA in 14 games with Triple-A Nashville. He was a former second round pick but Tommy John surgery caused his velocity to drop from the low 90’s to high 80’s. He survived his first outing vs. the Angels (5.2 IP, 3 ERs) but allowed three home runs. Most scouting reports grade Overton’s ceiling as a No. 4/5 starter. Starting pitching mismatch here as we support the road favorite.