Tampa Bay (Moore) at New York (Sabathia) -105 O/U 8.5
Tampa's Matt Moore has passed every test this season with a 2.95 ERA and stellar 21-to-3 K-to-BB ratio through three starts. He walks into a positive situation tonight pitching against the soft-hitting Yankees in Yankee Stadium. CC Sabathia hasn't been nearly as sharp with a 5.06 ERA through two outings. Sabathia is nothing more than an inning eater at this point but has a decent shot at a quality start tonight pitching at home against a manageable lineup. Thus far both teams have shown some fairly weak splits against lefties. The Rays rank 20th in MLB with a .655 OPS while the Yankees are even worse at 26th with a .611 OPS. New York's offense has been abysmal of late with just 18 runs in its last eight games (1-7). The last two left starters the Yanks faced -- no-names Rich Hill and Eric Surkamp -- surrendered just three earned runs and recorded 13 strikeouts in 11.2 IP. Bettors should also expect to see New York stud relievers Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller as neither pitcher has thrown since Tuesday. We've seen some early money on the over which gives us an opportunity to play under 8.5 at even money.