SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of SportsMemo.com and log back in to recreate your forum session.
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals

06.17.2016     10:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Hamels) at St. Louis (Wacha) -108 O/U 8 
Recommendation: Over


Cole Hamels has had one fatal flaw this season that has doomed his chances of cashing many Under bets.  Hamels has been flying Over the total with regularity – six of his last seven starts have cashed Over tickets.  A pitcher with a career home run to fly ball ratio of 11.4% has seen that percentage nearly double to 22.7% this year.

Hamels has allowed 15 dingers in 83 innings of work this year.  To put that number in perspective, he had allowed only 36 home runs in 417 innings of work over the previous three seasons.  Of 99 pitchers with enough innings to qualify, Hamels home run rate ranks dead last in the majors here in 2016.

It’s surely worth noting that Hamels walks per nine innings is also at a career high this season – clearly, the home runs are making him hesitant to throw strikes; bad news against the patient, potent Cardinals lineup that has pounded out five runs or more in seven of their last ten contests.

But Michael Wacha is not a trustworthy hurler tonight either.  Wacha has been an Over machine all year, cashing seven straight Overs and 10 Overs in his 13 previous starts.  Wacha has been more unlucky than ‘un-good’ this year – his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is 55 points higher than last year and his strand rate is way down, sitting at 60.2%.

Wacha is coming off a 105-pitch effort against the Pirates.  Following his last two 100+ pitch outings, in his next start, Wacha allowed a combined ten runs in ten innings of work.  Facing a potent and hot Rangers lineup that just pounded out 27 runs in a four game set at Oakland, we can expect some crooked numbers on the scoreboard tonight!  Take the Over.

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers St. Louis Cardinals Teddy Covers




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:




VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays

Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date
03.26 08:37
03.18 11:52
03.16 13:01
03.16 12:16
03.05 10:11

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------
Ted Sevransky     04.21.2017 12:22 PM
Ted Sevransky     04.07.2017 11:20 AM
Ted Sevransky     03.29.2017 11:46 AM
Ted Sevransky     03.23.2017 8:14 AM
Ted Sevransky     03.19.2017 8:34 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 23, 2017 01:06 AM.