Los Angeles (Lilly) at Minnesota (Duensing)
Recommendation: Under 4 1st five innings
Looking to avoid two of the worst bullpens in baseball and play under the key number of four for tonight’s first five innings between the Dodgers and Twins. Minnesota’s Brian Duensing is a fringe arm but one who is capable of handling weak offenses in pitcher friendly ballparks. In his last two outings against San Francisco and San Diego, Duensing racked up back-to-back quality starts. Duensing's recent success was as a result of what he claimed to be an adjustment with is mechanics. After allowing 15 runs last night, expect him to step up for his team with another quality outing. Prior to his last two starts, Ted Lilly has been solid, averaging six innings and two earned runs per appearance dating back to early May. Off two dismal showings (10 IP, 11 ERs) he’s primed to handle a Minnesota offense that has once against hit this skids with eight runs in its last six games.