LA Dodgers (Eovaldi) at San Francisco (Zito)
Recommendation: Los Angeles -110 1st 5 innings
The winning streak continues as we’re swinging a hot stick during our 10-1 MLB baseball run the past 10 days. Included is a perfect 7-0 top-play Big Drive run and we’re primed to add to our June and season-long profits with a top Big Drive total tonight between familiar foes. Projected strong pitching and preferred match-ups get the call as we fire for more profit and green.
Speaking of familiar foes, we chipped-in a solid plus price winner with analysis when the NY Mets beat the Yankees Friday night and our 5-inning recommendation
hit a home run with Niese over Pettitte. Tonight a pair of NL West rivals do battle in the Bay as the Dodgers (43-30) travel to San Francisco to take on the Giants (40-33). San Francisco trails LA by three games following its late-inning meltdown at Oakland on Sunday. The Giants were 34-1 when leading after 7 innings until Sunday. But no time to lapse after a tough loss when your rival comes to town and a series sweep moves you into first place.
The Giants will try to close the gap on the Dodgers in the series opener with their worst starting pitcher taking the mound. Barry Zito continues to be quite hittable while showing very questionable command. He’s allowed 78 hits, 36 BB and 11 HRs in 80 innings while posting a 4.35 ERA. However, his xERA is closer to 5.00 and his recent results are awful, as Zito has allowed 5 HRs his last three starts while getting rocked for 17 runs and 23 hits in 14 innings. His strikeout rate continues to decline and he has just 45 punchouts this season. On May 7th he took the loss vs. the Dodgers after allowing three runs, eight hits and four walks in six innings at Los Angeles and Zito is winless over his last eight starts against the Dodgers.
Nate Eovaldi (0-3) is winless in five starts for the Dodgers after being called up to the Majors in late May. But his 2.35 ERA and .243 BAA shows he’s capable while pitching six innings consistently. The 22-year old right-hander also showed well in 10 games late last season and the Giants will see him for the first time. He commands a 91+ mph fastball with a solid ground ball profile. The Dodgers have scored 1, 1, 0, 2 and 1 runs in his five starts and their poor recent hitting is a concern as the Dodgers are 1-5 on their current road trip and hitting just .194 with 2.14 runs per game their last seven contests overall. But facing Zito and their division rival may be just what the doctor ordered to snap out of their hitting struggles.
Note too that backup catcher Hectro Sanchez has caught all 14 of Zito’s starts this season, and cleanup hitter/catcher and likely All-Star Buster Posey (.295, 10 HR) may sit this game out and be ready for pinch-hitting duties late.
At a pick ‘em price, we’ll zero in on playing against Zito as the Dodgers look to reward their young pitching prospect with his first win this season in a key division contest.
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