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MLB Handicapping: American and National League Run Differentials

06.14.2012     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly
Update of MLB's runs scored, runs allowed, run differential and luck. Luck is a tool from Baseball-Reference that provides the difference between a team's actual record and Pythagorean W-L. For example, the Cardinals are second in the NL in run differential yet only one game over .500 and in third place in the Central. Based on their run differential, they should be 37-26 not 32-31. Baltimore is 10 games over .500 yet a modest +4 in run differential. Pittsburgh is three games over .500 but has been outscored by 25 runs.

MLB Runs Scores/Runs Allowed as of 6/13/2012
American League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
 Texas Rangers
332
252
+80
-2
 New York Yankees
293
247
+46
+1
 Chicago White Sox
297
258
+39
-1
 Boston Red Sox
319
293
+26
-3
 Toronto Blue Jays
300
276
+24
-3
 Los Angeles Angels
262
242
+20
0
 Tampa Bay Rays
263
253
+10
+3
 Baltimore Orioles
278
274
+4
+5
 Detroit Tigers
274
287
-13
-1
 Seattle Mariners
261
275
-14
-3
 Oakland Athletics
229
251
-22
-1
 Cleveland Indians
265
289
-24
+4
 Kansas City Royals
230
258
-28
-1
 Minnesota Twins
264
328
-64
0
 National League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
 Los Angeles Dodgers
276
224
+52
+2
 St. Louis Cardinals
309
258
+51
-5
 Washington Nationals
240
198
+42
+2
 Atlanta Braves
294
269
+25
0
 Cincinnati Reds
259
235
+24
+1
 San Francisco Giants
255
237
+18
+2
 New York Mets
282
284
-2
+3
 Philadelphia Phillies
277
281
-4
-2
 Arizona Diamondbacks
257
263
-6
0
 Milwaukee Brewers
268
290
-22
-1
 Pittsburgh Pirates
198
223
-25
+5
 Miami Marlins
235
269
-34
+4
 Colorado Rockies
314
352
-38
-3
 Houston Astros
264
305
-41
-1
 Chicago Cubs
230
286
-56
-4
 San Diego Padres
211
279
-68
-2
 


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