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MLB Handicapping: Despite stats, umpire Doug Eddings trends over the total

05.09.2016     09:32 AM     Printer Friendly

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Umpire Doug Eddings has long been an "under" umpire, cashing at around a 55% rate over his last 450 games behind the plate. But over the last two seasons, he's actually trended over the total despite calling strikes at better than a 65% rate an owning one of the lowest walk rates (4.4 per game) in the league. This year, Eddings has shown an even stronger propensity to call strikes (67%) and reluctancy to issue walks (2.4 per game). Of his five games behind the plate, Eddings has never issued more than four walks. To compare, there are 13 umpires who are currently averaging 8 or more walks per game. And yet despite this, only one of Eddings' five games have gone under the total this season. His last game was pretty amazing when you consider the Nationals and Cardinals (Scherzer and Martinez where the starters) combined for 23 strikeouts and zero walks and the total of 7 pushed! Obviously there is a certain level of randomness to all of this. Eddings' rates -- assuming they continue -- will undoubtedly lead to more unders moving forward. However, we aren't the only ones aware of his reputation of having a generous strike zone. Teams not only scout other teams but they scout umpires as well. When Eddings is behind the dish, teams are clearly more aggressive at the plate. Tricky handicap, indeed.

Tags: MLB




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