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MLB Handicapping: Starting pitcher to fade moving forward

06.27.2017     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly

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While offense and ERA's remain on the rise, there are a handful of starting pitchers that have skirted around it as we near the All-Star Break. FanGraphs put together a list of arms that are primed for regression in the coming months. At the top of the list are a few obviously candidates. Texas' Andrew Cashner has gone from swing-and-miss to pitch-to-contact arm with a K per 9 rate of only 4.28. His xFIP (5.43) is nearly two runs higher than his ERA (3.50). Chicago's Mike Pelfrey should undoubtedly be a victim of the assumed "juiced ball" movement yet he's carting around a 3.73 ERA. And KC's Jason Vargas continues to give up boatloads of fly balls that rarely leave the yard (6.6% HR/FB rate). He's sitting on a 2.29 ERA. 

Tags: MLB




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