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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres

05.28.2015     11:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Burnett) -120 at San Diego (Kennedy) O/U 6.5 
Recommendation: Over

My clients and I have cashed a handful of Padres Over bets this year, and tonight’s game at Petco provides another rock solid opportunity to ride this emerging trend.  The results don’t lie.  Petco Field has been the strongest pitcher’s park in baseball since it opened. Baseline totals in San Diego have been hovering in the 6.5 range for years, just like it is in this game.  In 23 previous home games this year, only two have been totaled as high as 7.5.  San Diego has closed out their last two homestands on a 9-4 run to the Over.  Slumping bats Matt Kemp and Will Middlebrooks have both broken out over the last two nights, back-2-back wins in LA against the Angels.

Meanwhile, the Pirates are hitting as well as they have all season, scoring four or more in every game of their current six game winning streak while averaging just shy of six runs per game during that span.  Big bat Andrew McCutchen has broken out of his slump over the past week, with a dozen hits in his last seven games.  Pittsburgh starter AJ Burnett has a mediocre (at best) recent track record at Petco and a subpar track record against current Padres.  Justin Upton, Alexi Amarista and Will Venable in particular, have hit Burnett hard.  And while Burnett has put up excellent numbers in early season play, it’s surely worth noting that he’s faced a remarkably weak slate of opposing batters, ranked among the bottom five starters in MLB in DBF (‘difficulty of batters faced’, based on OPS). 

Padres’ starter Ian Kennedy has been absolutely lit up twice in his last three home starts; 5-1 to the Over in six starts since coming off the DL in late April.  Current Pirates are hitting .321 with a 1.003 OPS against Kennedy in their respective careers, consistently hammering him hard.  And it’s surely worth noting that Kennedy is coming off a season high 110 pitch effort in his last outing. Both bullpens have been throwing gas on fires, not quenching them.  The Padres pen ranks #26 in the majors in ERA while the Pirates ten losses from their pen rank among the bottom five in baseball.  Even if Burnett and Kennedy engage in something of a pitcher’s duel, there’s still plenty of room for late inning fireworks. 

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres Teddy Covers

MLB Betting Podcast 5-28-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

05.28.2015     10:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange

You're dreaming if you think sports betting in New Jersey will be approved by football season

05.28.2015     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
They should just cover New Jersey's quest for legalized sports betting like an injury report -- probable, questionable, doubtful, and no freaking chance. Those who stand to gain off of it have always has a overly optimistic outlook. Those with a more grounded opinion are listing betting on the NFL in September as "doubtful." 

“There’s a 95-percent chance that by football season this year we’ll be taking bets at Monmouth park,” said Dennis Drazin, an attorney for the Oceanport track. “I believe what will happen is the Third Circuit will either decide we can go forward or they will give us a roadmap,” he said.

Tags: NFL

MLB Betting Podcast 5-27-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

05.27.2015     10:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wedneday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - MLB Night Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

05.27.2015     09:07 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Washington (Scherzer) -110 at Chicago (Lester) O/U 6.5 
Recommendation: Washington

This is obviously a great pitching matchup but not such a great matchup for Chicago's offense. While Washington shows barely any difference in their lefty/righty splits, Chicago owns a sizable .046 point gap posting a .235 batting average vs. righties and .271 vs. lefties. While that aspect of tonight’s game shows a statistical edge for the Nationals, it’s nothing compared to the expected advantage starter Max Scherzer will have over the Cubs lineup. Scherzer’s overpowering strikeout style (74 K in 64.2 IP) is a lousy fit for Chicago’s strikeout prone offense which leads MLB with 437 total whiffs. The young trio of Jorge Soler, Kris Bryant, and Addison Russell have combined to strikeout 154 times. Of their everyday starters, only Anthony Rizzo (K every 13.6 AB) and Starling Castro (K every 5.1 AB) do not own an AB/K ratio of 4.2:1 or worse. Hard not to project Scherzer for double-digit strikeouts here and at least seven innings since he only threw 96 pitches in his last outing. Also notable is the fact that Scherzer’s three HRs allowed in 64.2 IP can neutralize Chicago’s long ball threats. You can't argue the solid number being put together thus far by southpaw Jon Lester but in this game, Washington possesses the better ability to manufacture runs especially with Lester’s trouble holding base runners. Looks too tough to call this one on the surface but there are enough factors favoring Washington to go ahead and lay the modest -110 price behind arguably the best righty in the National League.

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Chicago Cubs Rob Veno

NBA Gambling: Bettors can get a jump on Golden State-Cleveland finals

05.27.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With the Cleveland Cavaliers having already punched their ticket to the NBA Finals and the Golden State Warriors a win away, a few sportsbooks are getting a jump on the inevitable matchup. As of Wednesday morning, BetOnline has the Warriors as -6 home favorites for Game 1 and a -265 series favorite. 5Dimes has a slight cheaper price of -250. If for some miracle of a chance the Houston Rockets come back to beat Golden State, the Cavaliers would be -150 series favorites.

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets

Two minutes to go, down two touchdowns with the ball, catching +13.5..who's watching?

05.27.2015     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly

Not surprising but a recent study showed that TV ratings on sporting events and pointspreads have a noticeable relationship.

"In the sample of games with point spreads of at least 21 points," Salaga explained, "if we had seven-point moves closer to the spread, that equaled about a 1.235 ratings point increase, which is about 30 percent of the overall game rating on average. So you're talking about a pretty big shift in television ratings just based on basically a one-score change in reference to the spread. You're talking big changes. There's really strong evidence, even in these games that weren't close and weren't expected to be close, we're seeing that people are watching or not watching based on what happens in relationship to the point spread. If you're interested in gambling, it's pretty exciting."

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

05.26.2015     11:47 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Atlanta (Teheran) +220 at Los Angeles (Kershaw) 
Recommendation: Atlanta

The Braves look to even up the series with the Dodgers in Chavez Ravine tonight as they face the NL West leading Los Angeles Dodgers. If this pitching matchup was in either of the past two years it would be one of the most hyped pitching duels of the season. Instead we get a 2-3 Kershaw sporting an ERA north of 4.00 taking on the Braves ace Julio Tehran with a FIP currently at 4.96. The Dodgers are a MLB best 20-6 at home this season and are sending the reigning Cy Young award winner to the hill tonight, thus commanding the -240 price tag. Until last night’s 8th inning which featured three home runs, the Dodgers had been in a bit of an offensive lull the six games prior, posting a record of 2-4 and averaging 1.17 runs per game. In Kershaw’s last three outings the advanced metrics have not been pretty, allowing a line drive rate above 25% in all three games, topping out in his last start yielding a 38% vs. the Giants. Tehran did not have the best start to the season but has since found his rhythm in each of his last two starts posting a 1.59 ERA and a 1.29 ERA. Tehran is a fastball/changeup pitcher that has seen his SIERA below 3.00 in both of his last two starts. One of the main reasons Tehran is more comfortable on the mound is his splits with who is behind the plate. When the Braves current starting catcher A.J. Pierzynski is paired with Tehran, he has an ERA north of seven. When the backup catcher Christian Bethancourt is catching Tehran he has a 2.52 ERA and an opponents’ OPS under 700. Bethancourt who is from Panama which borders Tehran’s home country of Columbia may add a bit of stability and familiarity for Tehran, which the betting markets have not picked up on. The Braves at +220 are worth a shot. 

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers Drew Martin

MLB Betting Podcast 5-26-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

05.26.2015     11:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian, Erin, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's MLB card.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Ian Cameron - National League

Erin Rynning - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Gambling Trends: High totals at Wrigley continue to cash unders

05.26.2015     09:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Some food for thought with wind-blowing-out totals at Wrigley Field. At the start of the 2010 season, totals of 10 or higher cashed 10 straight overs. But since then -- particularly the last two-plus seasons -- it's been an under bettors' dream. After the 10-0 O/U run, totals at Wrigley of 10 or higher are 14-30 O/U. Since 2013 they are 3-10 O/U. And this season all three double-digit totals have gone under. Note that those three games weren't even close with only 4.7 runs per game. Tonight's total opened 10.5 but was bet down to 10. Game time temps are expected to be in the mid-70's with the wind blowing out to center 10-15 mph.

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Washington Nationals

Mayweather crushing the NBA

05.26.2015     09:28 AM     Printer Friendly

Floyd Mayweather: Undefeated in the ring and at the betting window.



Tags: Floyd Mayweather

MLB Handicapping: Cincinnati Reds continue to stink up the joint

05.26.2015     09:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Cincinnati Reds enter tonight's game vs. Colorado on an 8-game losing streak; something head coach Bryan Price isn't pleased about. They're getting some play in the betting markets with the price now -120 after opening -110.

"We saved our very worst when we needed our best," Price said. "It was the worst game of the series, the worst game of the road trip, the worst game of the season. We needed a good game and we didn't show up today. I apologize for anybody that drove up from Cincinnati to come out and watch us play because this was brutal.

"That was brutal. We're all brutal right now."




Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies

Basketball coach accused of betting against his own team

05.26.2015     09:12 AM     Printer Friendly

Nothing beats a good match fixing story, especially when it involves the Korean Basketball League. A head coach was reportedly floated a large line of credit and cashed in big betting against his own team. 

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors discuss potential impact of new PAT rule

05.26.2015     07:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The NFL has evolved into the most popular sport for both fans and bettors over the last half century in part because of it’s unpredictability.  The old saying attributed to NFL Commissioner Bert Bell (1945-1959), ‘On any given Sunday, any team in the NFL can beat any other team' has proven true over the years, even in the modern era. 

In September alone last year, the Dolphins upset the Patriots, the Titans won at Kansas City, the Chargers beat the Seahawks, the Bears beat the 49ers, the Bucs beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh and the Chiefs whipped the Patriots.  Each and every one of those games was a significant upset both SU and ATS.

Fans and bettors alike are quite comfortable watching a two-foot putt in golf, or free throw attempts in the NBA; not exactly the most exciting plays that either sport has to offer. The NFL has boring plays as well, most notably the extra point try.  NFL teams made their extra points more than 99% of the time last year, not exactly the essence of drama.

The league, in their infinite wisdom, just decided that the NFL extra point try was too boring.  Instead of doing it the way it’s always been done, last week the rules committee approved a significant change for 2015.  Two point conversion attempts will still come from the two-yard line but tacking on a single point after a touchdown now requires a made field goal from the 15-yard line; a 33-yard attempt.

Fans weren’t clamoring for change – this is all about the league trying to be proactive, making an exciting and dramatic game that much more exciting and dramatic.  And, in a flurry of emails from longtime Tuesday Group members – a group of veteran wiseguy sportsbettors that meets every Tuesday during football season – my colleagues don’t seem very happy about the change.

I’ll start with an extended excerpt from an email sent by legendary NFL totals betting expert ‘Charlie J’, reprinted with his permission:

“One of the first factors I use when betting a total is making sure that I capture a “key number” on my play.  For example, the difference between betting a total with options of 42.0 and 42.5 is virtually negligible. However, the difference between 42.5 and 43.0 is huge (for the past 5 years, the probability of a score landing on 43 is three times more likely than landing on 42). Since there will be more missed extra points and more 2 point attempts, the key numbers using 3’s and 7’s will be diminished and capturing key numbers will not be as significant as seasons past.

“Off the top of my head, I am trying to filter out what parameters will be affected with the new scoring rules. Obviously, I cannot handicap a defensive 2 point score on a failed attempt when making my numbers…We may witness coaching strategies that will be different from previous years. For example, if a team scores a late 4th quarter touchdown to take a 9 or 10 point lead, a prudent coach would tell his QB or kicker to take a knee (to avoid a 2 point defensive score).”

Another longtime handicapper, the ‘Eight of Clubs’ had this to say: “Although Charlie is coming from a totals perspective these rule changes have a major impact on the sides as well.  No longer can the number 9 be considered a totally dead number.  And it seems to me that the advantages of buying points will be equally diminished, as the odds of games landing on key numbers such as 3 or 7 will be reduced (food for thought when contemplating teasers as well).”

Rule changes, in general, are a mixed bag for bettors.  On the one hand, it makes database research and long term trends and angles – both legitimate tools in any serious bettor’s repertoire – much less valuable.  When the rules change, past data loses validity in the current marketplace, plain and simple.  Look no further than last year, when wiseguys relied on some long term sample sizes for Week 1 NFL totals, then got crushed betting Unders. 

Historically, betting Week 1 Unders (particularly for higher totals; 45 and above) has been a strong moneymaker.   But with the offseason rules changes limiting cornerback contact with potential pass catchers last year, even elite defenses were affected.  Totals lined at 45 or higher went 6-3 to the Over in Week 1 of the 2014 campaign. Sharp bettors who relied on database research and trends got beaten up in the process.

That being said, bettors who are able to adjust quickly to take advantage of emerging trends don’t necessarily mind rule changes.  After all, rule changes put other bettors at a competitive disadvantage.  Any bettor who is doing his homework on a daily basis and ‘going with the flow’ of the modern marketplace is going to find all kinds of key tidbits that result in positive expectation wagering opportunities.

And good information remains key even after a rule change; particularly when it comes to pace ratings and totals.  Bettors that scour local sources for strong information are likely to do well when it comes to making bets on teams that have (relatively quietly) changed strategies in one way or another.

But this particular rule change isn’t about one team changing their strategies – it’s a quantum shift in what final scores are going to look like.  Sharp bettors always understood the value of the key NFL numbers better than the average Joe – it’s worth driving across town in the Las Vegas traffic to find a -3 (-120) when the rest of the market has already moved to -3.5, for example.  And Charlie J’s email mentioned key numbers when it comes to totals as well.

The NFL is pretty tough to beat.  Lines are tight, with more money wagered on the NFL than any other sport here in Nevada, by a fairly wide margin.  Even experienced, successful handicappers have subpar years in a sport where the margin between victory and defeat are often razor thin – an inch on a fourth down try; a fingertip deflecting a pass resulting in a game changing pick six; a toe on the endline forcing a field goal attempt instead of a touchdown.  The new rule change is likely to make it even tougher, adding an extra element of randomness and unpredictability to the proceedings while making the key numbers that wiseguys covet a good notch or two less valuable. 

Folow me on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas

Sportsmemo's Memorial Day Blowout: Daily Plays Discounted to $10

05.25.2015     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas

MLB Handicapping: Red Sox pitchers improve under Willis' watch

05.25.2015     08:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Don't get carried away but since Boston brought in new pitching coach Carl Willis, the staff as a whole has enjoyed a decent amount of improvement. There's was really no where to go but up but in 15 games under Willis’ watch, the staff ERA is 3.57. Prior to that it was around 5.00. One of the biggest upswings has been Wade Miley who over his last three outings has allowed only three runs. Similar situation with today's starter, Joe Kelly, who coughed up five rf more runs in four straight games but has since buckled down with back-to-back quality starts.

"He's trying to get his arms around the bigger picture with each individual guy," said Red Sox manager John Farrell. "He's about making gradual changes and sudden changes, not to come in like he's the white knight and he's just going to make immediate changes with everyone. I think you risk losing credibility with an individual if you do that. He's establishing relationships."

"It then becomes a question of what's going on here [with inconsistent results], and we talked a little bit about effort level, the fact that he doesn't have to try to throw every pitch 100 [mph]. If he can repeat the rhythm and tempo of his delivery, it's probably going to be 96 or 97, which is pretty good. And when he wants to go back and get more, he can do that and sacrifice a little bit of command. He did that the other night. He pitched 94-97, and the third time through the order, the breaking pitches started to come into effect."

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox

MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates

05.23.2015     07:58 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
New York (Harvey) at Pittsburgh (Burnett) -110 O/U 6.5 
Recommendation: Under

We'll continue to get involved with New York Mets ace Matt Harvey as today we take a look at the under for his start against Pittsburgh. Last week I mentioned that Harvey was using his slider more now that he's built up strength from last year's arm injury. Over his last two outings he's used his slider more than 22% of the time and absolutely dominated the opposition with 15 innings of scoreless baseball and 19 strikeouts. He should be good to go against a Pirates team that out of 15 National League teams ranks 12th in runs scored and 13th in slugging. The Mets may also be walking into a buzzsaw as AJ Burnett continues to churn out upper-tier numbers. He's yet to allow more than two earned runs in a start and while his path thus far (1.38 ERA) is unsustainable, at home, against light-hitting New York, I project another quality performance. After storming out of the gates, the Mets have come back down to earth with a 9-11 record in May. The pitching remains solid but offensively, not so much, with really poor .230/.291/.349/.639 splits this month. Wind not expected to be a factor and game time temps in the low 70s. Runs should be tough to come by as we play under the total.

Tags: MLB New York Mets Pittsburgh Pirates Andrew Lange

MLB Betting Podcast 5-22-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Rob Veno

05.22.2015     11:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob, Teddy, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's entire MLB card.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Rob Veno - National League

Erin Rynning - American League and Interleague

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox

05.22.2015     11:29 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Minnesota (Hughes) +110 at Chicago (Samardzija) O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Minnesota

My clients and I cashed an underdog winner earlier this week with the Minnesota Twins and I’m more than willing to come right back and endorse them tonight. There is something to be said about momentum in baseball and the Minnesota Twins have it right now after winning 14 of their last 19 games. As for tonight’s two starters, I don’t see a whole lot of difference between Phil Hughes and Jeff Samardzija. Both have had ups and downs and battled inconsistency however Hughes is at least feeling some positive momentum having gone 7 innings while yielding only 2 runs on 5 hits against Tampa Bay his last time out. Hughes allowed just 3 runs in 6 innings in his prior start against the White Sox and his overall numbers when facing the current White Sox roster are solid as he’s allowed a collective .250 batting average. Hughes once again shows a sparkling 35-5 K-to-BB ratio. His biggest knock is the 10 home runs allowed in 51 IP but he should be aided by what expects to be cooler temps and a slight wind in front left field. On the flip side, the Chicago White Sox have lost three straight after having their 6-game winning streak snapped by Cleveland. Samardzija is supposed to be the team’s ace or at least co-ace with Chris Sale but he hasn’t pitched like it. He’s allowed 4+ runs in half of his starts including his prior outing against Minnesota having allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in 7 innings. His 7.56 career ERA against the Twins is also not very pretty. Minnesota is 9th in the Majors in runs scored while Chicago is just 29th ahead of lowly Philadelphia so I give the Twins the edge offensively and their solid bullpen should be rested and ready for tonight’s game after an off day on Thursday.

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Ian Cameron

Will sports betting change if regulated?

05.22.2015     10:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Detailed article courtesy of ESPN about the current climate of sports betting. With regulation comes talk about match fixing and point shaving. Some folks are hopeful that if it becomes legal in the U.S. there will be a decline (or at least not an increase) in the already rare cases of point shaving. We've discussed this multiple times in the past -- even with nationwide legalized sports betting the unregulated offshore/offscreen world will still thrive. And with that, there's the potential to fix games and not be detected. Las Vegas raves about it's ability to "police" irregular line moves. But people who attempt to fix games aren't rushing down to Stations Casino with a duffle bag full of money. They are doing so undetected at countless offscreen sportsbooks across the world so as to not cause any red flags. In the end, regulation is a good thing in that it'll provide your average bettor with access to a safe outlet to gamble. But to a lot of bettors playing at 5Dimes or with a local that provides you a credit account and an offscreen sportsbook remains far more attractive than using your Visa card to play at a regulated sportsbook in New Jersey.

"If the U.S. wants to avoid the European experience, it must first regulate or, at the very least, nationally recognize the reality of global sport betting," Eaton said. "As U.S. sports internationalize, they need to realize that they are entering a vulnerable sport betting market at the same time. U.S. sports must avoid repeating the European error of thinking they can protect themselves at home, while remaining a target abroad."

"Eastern European and Southeast Asian betting fraudsters have driven European soccer into the danger zone," Chris Eaton, a global sports security expert who has worked with INTERPOL and FIFA, said. "The USA very much holds the key to saving international sport from complete loss of credibility."


Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Ian Cameron

NBA Gambling: Atlanta Hawks bet up to -2.5 for tonight's Game 2

05.22.2015     09:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Lot of action going on in the betting markets for tonight's Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals. After the Cavaliers won Game 1, Game 2 opened a pick 'em at CRIS. Pinnacle took immediate money on the Cavs as they jumped to -1.5. But since then, we've seen nothing but Atlanta money with the Hawks now favored by -2.5 at most offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks. If you prefer the Cleveland side we recommend jumping in now as we expect some buy-back and the game to close Atlanta -1 to -2.

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers

NFL Handicapping: Week 1 lines are up but no one's betting...yet

05.21.2015     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Two weeks ago, CRIS posted lines on every Week 1 NFL game -- not the first sportsbook it do so but arguably the most important. Betting on the NFL is really popular -- way more so that the current lineup of MLB, NBA and NHL Playoffs and Arena Football. And despite providing bettors with a 3+ month head start, there has been literally no movement in the betting markets. Sure, the limits are reduced and a lot of teams still have various questions regarding personnel. But unlike college football, everyone has a pretty good understanding of who's going to take the field in Week 1. Yet, of the 16 lines games, not one has moved off of a key number both side and total -- we're not counting the Tom Brady fiasco. There are currently nine games sitting on 2.5, 3, and 6 -- numbers that typically lend themselves to opinion. And while CRIS obviously knows what they are doing when it comes to hanging an NFL line, one would think bettors would want to jump in and take advantage. Not the case. Based on last year's line history most Week 1 games started to move in July and even more so after preseason play got underway. Until then, if you see something you like, take a shot, but if you think there's a chance a better number will be available, you've got plenty of time because for all the hype surrounding how soon the lines are out, the real action is still more than a month away.

Tags: NFL

American Pharoah's owner not very good at sports betting

05.21.2015     06:23 AM     Printer Friendly

Oh, this is good. A horse racing owner -- Triple Crown hopeful American Pharoah's owner to be exact -- is being called out for running up and failing to pay a huge sports betting debt. He was playing at some Costa Rican sportsbook we've never heard of and reportedly lost $2 million. The man in question, Ahmed Zayat, is of course denying the whole thing. That is until A-Phar wins the Belmont in two weeks so he can knock out that crazy fig he owes on the sly.

Tags: Horse Racing

MLB Handicapping: San Diego Padres struggle with gopher ball

05.21.2015     06:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
One of the many perks of FanGraphs is their ability to help baseball bettors better understand when things aren't going according to plan and whether or not we should expect said things to continue. The other day it was the Minnesota Twins and their "ability" to come through in the clutch. Now we have the San Diego Padres who through 41 games can best be described as "ho-hum" as they enter tonight a game under .500. It's no secret that the offense is much improved but the defense stinks and the bullpen has arguably been the worst in baseball. But one of the biggest problems for the Pads has been keeping the ball in the ballpark. The team's HR/FB ratio is on pace for historical levels despite 22 games taking place in Petco Park and nine others in Seattle, Los Angeles, and San Francisco. According to FanGraphs, the high longball rate has cost the team roughly three wins. Now the question becomes, will it continue?

If you can believe it, the Padres have allowed more home runs than any other team in baseball. They’ve allowed two more than the Brewers, who play their home games in a hitter-friendly environment. They’ve allowed five more than the Blue Jays, who play their home games in a hitter-friendly environment. They’ve allowed a dozen more than the Reds, who, you get it. The Padres have featured a dinger-happy pitching staff. Dingers are automatic runs. They’re the worst possible outcome.

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres

MLB Betting Podcast 5-20-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron

05.20.2015     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wedneday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron. Ian and host Andrew Lange broke down today's MLB card.

Today's segments 
Ian Cameron - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron Andrew Lange

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Having hit 58% on over 630 documented selections in all sports over the last 16+ months, Andrew Lange checks in with his strongest American League play of the entire month. Cash in on this winner for only $29; guaranteed to win or his next play is on the house.

Erin Rynning continues to churn out winning action with over +7 units in MLB over the last month. He's got a 10* West Coast report lined up for Thursday night's card. It must win or his next baseball pick is on the house.

Fresh off a 2-0 MLB sweep on Wednesday, Teddy is ready to keep that positive momentum rolling tonight with this West Coast Winner. Whether you have enjoyed a great betting Thursday or you have suffered through a disappointing evening, there is always room for one last rock solid winner before the night is through. Get that winner here, now. This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

Rob Veno has compiled a solid +40.74 units in MLB since 2013. Today he has released a 10* AL Top Play Release for Thursday action and you can join him for only $20. This play must win or you will receive tomorrow's MLB card free of charge.

Sammy P hits the diamond with an isolated side today! This 10* MLB Play of the Day is yours for only $20; a guaranteed winner or his next selection is on the house!

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