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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Oakland A's at Seattle Mariners

05.23.2016     11:01 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland (Hill) at Seattle (Walker) -125 O/U 7 
Recommendation: Under


Home/road offensive differentials really becoming magnified with the Mariners after scoring 36 runs on the six-game trip they concluded yesterday. For the season thus far (18 games), Seattle has posted home numbers of .218 BA (28th in MLB), .310 OBP, .366 SLG, and .676 OPS (22nd in MLB). In stark contrast, 25 away games have seen the M’s put up a more impressive .269 BA, .334 OBP, .456 SLG, .790 OPS (#5 in MLB). The weak home offensive numbers combined with the stellar start of tonight’s Oakland starter Rich Hill signals difficulties for the M’s lineup tonight. In a start back on April 9, Hill defeated Seattle going 6 innings allowing 1 run on 5 hits while striking out 10 and walking only one. However, his season average of just around 5.2 innings per start could be costly tonight since Oakland’s bullpen is a bit shorthanded. Key arms John Axford and Sean Doolittle have thrown in back-to-back games with the exact same pitch count of 37. For Axford it’s been three appearances in the last four days so expect these guys to get the night off. If either does throw, their effectiveness isn’t likely to be 100%. The Mariners counter tonight with Tajuan Walker who also has a quality start in his one chance vs. Oakland this year. Walker has pitched at home five times this season and four have gone under the total. His home WHIP of 1.21 and his 32/6 K:BB totals have been excellent. This contest adds up to being a pitcher's duel and despite the potential subtractions from the A’s relief corps, it still appears they have enough arms late to keep the door closed. Expect a low scoring contest that stays under the total.  

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Seattle Mariners Rob Veno



Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Prepping for the College Football season

05.23.2016     10:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
My summer homework progression is simple.  I do my NFL work first, because not that much changes in the professional ranks over the summer.  Once we’re done with the draft and the initial free agent signing period, it’s easy to make preliminary assessments of all 32 NFL teams.  While the season win total market is still a long way from true maturity, we do have a pretty good sense of two things.  First, how the 32 teams are projected, power ratings wise and second, how tough a team’s schedule is going to be.

When it comes to college football, I don’t do much until after the MLB All-Star break, and the majority of my college football prep comes in August.  Why the difference?  Simple – a lot more changes in college over the summer, and I’m not a big fan of doing the same work twice!  The depth charts that you’re going to see popping up in all the college football preview publications were accurate at the end of spring camp.  By mid-August, they’re essentially obsolete. 

There are many more players moving up and down the depth charts in college.  There are more injuries in college, both serious and minor, due to simple math.  More teams and more players on every team equates to more injuries, plain and simple.  There are many more positions – most notably at quarterback, but in reality, all over the roster – that have open competitions or changes to the starter between the end of spring camp and the start of the season. 

We know who is likely to be the opening day QB starter for just about every team except the Jets and Browns at this stage of the NFL offseason.  In college, there are literally dozens of QB jobs that have not been awarded yet; not to mention the dozens of offensive lines that aren’t settled, the dozens of receiving corps in flux and the dozens of defenses that will have massive personal changes between now and the first kickoff of the season.

And that’s just the personnel on the field.  College prep work involves reading reports out of camps throughout the month of August.  Some teams will pick up new systems from new coordinators quickly; other squads will be much slower to adjust.  Some teams will make huge strides in Year 2 or Year 3 of a system; other squads don’t seem to be able to make that leap.   To sum it up, there’s a lot more uncertainty in college football at this stage of the offseason than there is in the NFL; hence my NFL work in May and June mantra that has paid dividends for my clients and I over the years.

That being said, I don’t want to get to the latter stages of summer without any real ideas about what teams the markets are likely to be supporting early on at a high level, and which teams the markets are looking to fade right from the get-go.  The only way to track this info is to watch the early numbers closely.

I have a ton of respect for Jay Kornegay and his staff at the Westgate Superbook.  CG Technology with COO Matthew Holt and his team have been a market leader since the day they arrived in Nevada.  South Point Sportsbook , with new director Chris Andrews, are consistent ‘players’ when it comes to unique props and lines.  But I would be remiss to exclude the Golden Nugget from any list of the elite sports books in Vegas, with Tony Miller, Aaron Kessler and company providing the go-to destination for serious bettors downtown.  Plus, Tony and Aaron are legitimately ‘good guys’, always willing to listen to or share a good betting story.  This is not a diss of other sportsbooks here in Vegas, but rather, a recognition of the guys who are ready, willing  & able to take wiseguy action.

The Nugget was not first to market on College Football Game of the Year lines in 2016 – South Point posted them earlier this month.  But the Golden Nugget was the first book to post a bevy of season win totals in college football, numbers that hit the board late last week.  And while I’m not going to pretend to be completely up to speed on the entire collegiate betting board, I do pay attention to these very first ‘market indicator’ season win total line moves.

The Nugget posted win total numbers for 24 teams.  Six of those 24 teams saw some early action, including two significant moves: Ohio State Over 8.5 (bet up to 9) and Tennessee Under 10 (now -155 to the Under).  Both win totals stood out like a sore thumb when the lines were posted – in casual discussions with other serious bettors, those two win totals came up repeatedly.

And those two win totals were, by far the biggest movers off the opening number with the Nugget taking enough Ohio State money to move the win total up from 8.5 to 9, with the Over 9 still drawing market support.   The Buckeyes broke two records during the draft process with a record 14 players invited to the scouting combine and a record ten players selected in the first three rounds of the draft (Tennessee in 2000 held the previous record with eight draftees in the first three rounds).

The Nugget’s opening numbers make it clear – they’re expecting some growing pains for Ohio State after their massive personnel losses.  And a schedule that includes road trips to face Oklahoma, Wisconsin and Michigan State prior to their season finale against Michigan was viewed to be somewhat daunting initially.  The early market action supporting the Buckeyes did NOT agree with that daunting assessment.

Tennessee finished 9-4 last year, pummeling Northwestern in the Outback Bowl to close out the campaign.  All four Volunteer losses – Oklahoma, Florida, Alabama and Arkansas – came by a TD or less, and the Vols held a fourth quarter lead in three of them.  With QB Joshua Dobbs returning – just one of 18 returning starters – the Nugget expected to see significant preseason wiseguy support for Butch Jones’ squad. There is a lot to like about this team. 
But lining Tennessee’s win total higher than another other SEC school was a bit too much for the markets to support.    And with a four game early season stretch against Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M and Alabama, the markets have said ‘this team loses more than one game’, which is all it takes for them to bet the Vols Under 10 wins . It’ll take an 11-1 regular season record to lose that bet; a win total the Vols haven’t even approached since Phil Fulmer was competing for national titles more than a decade ago. 

Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers



Sports Betting Podcast 5-23-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

05.23.2016     10:15 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked today's MLB and NBA slates.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - MLB and NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Andrew Lange



MLB Handicapping: Betting markets continue to support struggling Astros

05.23.2016     08:15 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After getting swept by Texas this past weekend, the Houston Astros dropped to 17-28 and 10 games out of first in the American League West. On the season, Houston is down -17.5 units. But that hasn't stopped bettors from continuing to pound this squad. Check out the line moves (5Dimes) towards Houston its last 10 games. In every instance, the Astros took money (20 cent average) based on the opening and closing lines.

5/12 at Boston 
Houston Opener: +140 
Houston Closer: +136 
Result: Loss -1.00

5/13 at Boston 
Houston Opener: +140 
Houston Closer: +116 
Result: Win +1.16

5/14 at Boston 
Houston Opener: +130 
Houston Closer: +113 
Result: Loss -1.00

5/15 at Boston 
Houston Opener: -106 
Houston Closer: -122 
Result: Loss -1.22

5/17 at Chicago 
Houston Opener: -110 
Houston Closer: -130 
Result: Win +1.00

5/18 at Chicago 
Houston Opener: +102 
Houston Closer: -105 
Result: Win +1.00

5/19 at Chicago 
Houston Opener: +187 
Houston Closer: +150 
Result: Loss -1.00

5/20 vs. Texas 
Houston Opener: -135 
Houston Closer: -162 
Result: Loss -1.62

5/21 vs. Texas 
Houston Opener: -155 
Houston Closer: -183 
Result:  Loss -1.80

5/22 vs. Texas 
Houston Opener: -130 
Houston Closer: -155 
Result: Loss -1.55

Record: 3-7 
Results: -6.03 units

Tags: MLB Houston Astros



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds

05.20.2016     10:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle (Iwakuma) -130 at Cincinnati (Straily) O/U 8.5 
Recommendation: Over


Cincinnati has been an Over machine, cashing only 14 Unders in their first 41 games.  It’s easy to understand why – their pitching has been nothing short of awful.  No starter has lasted past the sixth inning in the last two weeks, and Reds starters have lasted only 208.1 combined innings, the lowest number of innings pitched in MLB.

Poor starting pitching has led to an exhausted, overworked bullpen, a pen that ranks #29 in innings pitched this season.  Reds relievers rank dead last in MLB with a 6.48 ERA, 88 walks and 34 home runs allowed.  That bullpen has been severely tested and depleted in their last series against the Indians; forced to throw 19.2 innings over the four game set while allowing 20 runs in the process.  All four of those games flew Over the total, by a combined 26 runs!  And it’s surely worth noting that the Reds lineup is in solid current form, pounding out 25 runs over their last five games.

Seattle won’t lose Nelson Cruz’s big bat despite playing in an NL Park tonight, with Cruz expected to move from his usual DH spot into right field.  And the Mariners have been swinging hot bats too, scoring 19 runs in their just concluded three game set at Baltimore.  This isn’t new or different for Seattle – they’ve averaged 5.3 runs per game on the highway, but only 3.7 runs per game at pitcher friendly Safeco Field.

Reds starter Dan Straily had blister issues in his last start, never a good sign moving forward.  Manager Bryan Price has been trying to string extra outs from Straily thanks to that bullpen ineffectiveness – the five year veteran has exceeded his previous pitch count career high twice in his last three starts.  Mariners starter Hisashi Iwakuma certainly hasn’t been throwing at an ace level this season – his strikeouts are down, his walks are up, and he’s not getting ground ball outs on a consistent basis.

Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Yankees at Oakland A's

05.19.2016     09:28 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York (Nova) +105 at Oakland (Graveman) O/U 8 
Recommendation: New York


Ivan Nova has been as good as the Yankees could have hoped for since being inserted into the starting rotation on a spot start basis with Luis Severino on the DL. Nova has allowed just two runs in 10.1 innings over a pair of starts against Kansas City and the Chicago White Sox. Nova should be able to pitch fairly well here against Oakland as he has allowed just five runs in 13.2 innings of work previously against the Athletics here in this ballpark. All that Nova needs to do is pitch his way through five or six innings and let the dominant back end of New York's bullpen take over with their power arms Dellin Betances, Andrew Miller and closer Aroldis Chapman all set up to close out the game if the Yankees hold a lead in the latter stages. Kendall Graveman has not been able to find his footing or any sort of rhythm. He’s been hit hard repeatedly (5.84 ERA) and things have gotten worse for him in recent starts with 20 runs allowed over his last 19.1 innings of work. Graveman has issued six walks and struck out just three in his last two outings. Oakland is a dismal 1-6 in Graveman’s seven starts this season and a winless 0-3 at home. In fact, Graveman is just is just 2-6 with a 4.03 ERA in 13 career starts in Oakland. I’ll side with the small road underdog tonight.  


Tags: MLB New York Yankees Oakland A's Ian Cameron



Sports Betting Podcast 5-19-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

05.19.2016     08:56 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked today's MLB and NBA slates.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - MLB and NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Andrew Lange



Billy Walters arrested for insider trading

05.19.2016     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Billy Walters was arrested on Wednesday for his alleged involvement in an insider trading scheme.


“Bill Walters is a true American success story, whose extraordinary accomplishments as a lawful sports gambler have been widely recognized and lauded,” the lawyer, Barry Berke, said in a statement. “Mr. Walters and his counsel look forward to his day in court where it will be shown that the prosecutors’ accusations are based on erroneous assumptions, speculative theories and false finger-pointing.”



Tags: Billy Walters



Sports Betting Podcast 5-18-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

05.18.2016     01:45 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange talked today's MLB and NBA slates.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - MLB and NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds

05.18.2016     01:44 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Clevinger) at Cincinnati (Finnegan) +105 O/U 8.5 
Recommendation: Cincinnati 5-inning


The battle of Ohio continues tonight with a change in venue. The Indians have been hot of late offensively thanks in part to 11 of their last 14 being played at Progressive Field where the team’s OPS is 100 points higher vs. that on the road. On the highway, the Tribe rank 25th out of 30 teams with an OPS of .676. The Indians also struggle when facing lefties which suggests Reds starter Brandon Finnegan should be sitting on a solid effort. Meanwhile, Cincinnati currently sports an OPS almost 100 points higher when playing at home. The Reds basically go from being one of the worst hitting teams in all of baseball when playing on the road to above NL average in Great American Ballpark. That increase puts them in the top half of all 30 MLB teams when sorting by team OPS at home. Given the home/ road dichotomy and lefty/righty splits of both squad, I think the home side is worth a look. However, the Reds have arguably the worst bullpen in all of baseball with a horrific 1.66 WHIP. So instead of the full game, we’ll look to back Cincinnati and Finnegan on the 5-inning line at the short plus price.

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Cincinnati Reds Drew Martin



Books on Sports Betting: The story of the Arizona State point shaving scandal

05.18.2016     08:34 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you like to read books on sports betting, earlier this year “No Grey Areas: The Inside Story of the Largest Point Shaving Scandal in History and the Consequences Thereafter” was published. It's the story of the infamous Arizona State basketball point shaving scandal. Here's a fairly positive review of the book.

Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils



CG Technology in trouble with the Nevada Gaming Control Board

05.18.2016     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
CG Technology is once again in a bit of hot water. The Nevada Gaming Control Board is going after the Las Vegas sportsbook for screwing up payouts to bettors due to what is being called a "software glitch."


“Consequently, (CG Technology) effectively ignored a group of several thousand patrons who had won their parlay wagers but who had underpaid their winnings and left responsibility to those patrons to bring an underpayment to the attention of (the company),” the complaint said.



Tags: Las Vegas



MLB Betting Podcast 5-17-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Teddy Covers

05.17.2016     10:35 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Teddy Covers. Drew, Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down every game on today's MLB slate.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Teddy Covers - National League

Drew Martin - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Drew Martin Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



NBA Handicapping: Golden State now less than a 2-1 series favorite over Oklahoma City

05.17.2016     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly

Golden State went off around a -450 series favorite for its Western Conference Finals matchup against Oklahoma City. That changed in a big way following the Thunder's Game 1 upset.

copy_thunder.JPG

 

Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors Oklahoma City Thunder



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals

05.17.2016     08:43 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston (Porcello) -130 at Kansas City (Ventura) O/U 7 
Recommendation: Over


Despite recording a quality start last time out, I still have my concerns about Kansas City's Yordano Ventura. Over his last three outings, Ventura has an alarming 5-14 K-to-BB ratio. During that span he recorded only 15 swinging strikes after recording 43 his first four starts which resulted in a 2.35 ERA. He goes up against the arguably the best offense in baseball with the Red Sox leading MLB in slugging (.489) and OPS (.848). Boston's Rick Porcello has been a pleasant surprise with a 3.11 ERA and a strikeout-per-inning rate. That said, Porcello has allowed three runs or more in five of his seven starts. The two starts he didn’t allow a run where against a weak-hitting Yankees and an even weaker Atlanta lineup. While the weather isn't conducive for many home runs (wind blowing in 10 mph), game time temps are expected to be in the low 60's. I feel like this game should be lined at 7.5 or 8 but instead, bettors can find as low as 7ov-115. Of both teams' 75 games, only seven have been lined at 7. At their best, Porcello and Ventura are better than average starters but not deserving of this low of a number. Play it over.

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Kansas City Royals OTTO Sports



Raiders to Vegas makes little sense if locals can't bet on the games

05.17.2016     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While the odds of the Oakland Raiders moving to Las Vegas seem decent, the underlying issue is will local sportsbooks be able to offer lines on their games? Oddsmaker Jay Kornegay brought up a good point that if their games aren't on the board it'll continue to make sports betting look taboo.


“As much as we want to see a pro franchise, I certainly would not be in favor of taking those games off the board,” said Jay Kornegay, the race and sports book director of the Westgate Superbook. “It’d be sending the wrong message. It’s stating something is wrong with the industry.”

“Future sports betting, when it spreads across the United States, will be modeled after Nevada,” Rood said. “We’re one of the most highly regulated industries in America. I’d put us up against any banking or Wall Street regulations. That stringent. And I would think the leagues will embrace that. We want the same thing the leagues want: games played with integrity.”



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas



Next Gingrich favored to be Trump's VP

05.17.2016     08:17 AM     Printer Friendly

Are you ready for a Trump-Gingrich ticket? Most UK sportsbooks currently list the odds that happening at even money. The Democrats remain around a 3-1 favorite to win the Presidential Election.

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas



Nyquist a big favorite to win Preakness Stakes

05.17.2016     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Preakness is this weekend and Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist is the prohibited favorite. 5Dimes lists Nyquist at -175 to win and +135 on the field. The 3-year-old bay colt is +220 to win the Triple Crown. The weekend forecast is calling for heavy rain.

Tags: Horse Racing



Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors must be willing to change opinions on the fly

05.16.2016     11:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Successful sportsbettors are not politicians.   Politicians take heat every time they change their opinion – flip-floppers!  A politician who is pro-choice on abortion, for example, will take enormous criticism from both sides, and will probably lose his or her next election if he or she switches to a pro-life stance.

Sports bettors, like politicians, are inevitably going to have some wrong opinions – about teams, about players, about coaches.  Bill Belichick was not a great coach with the Cleveland Browns, and was not highly regarded after suffering a losing campaign in his first year.  Greg Popovich certainly wasn’t a high profile, top notch hire when the Spurs decided he should be their head coach.  The Carolina Panthers weren’t taken seriously by most NFL analysts last year until they reached the Super Bowl.  Steph Curry wasn’t a superstar...until he was.   
Throughout the world of sports and sportsbetting, everybody – E-V-E-R-Y-B-O-D-Y! – is going to have some wrong opinions.  But the differences in how bettors deal with those wrong opinions is fairly dramatic; often the difference between winning and losing, both short and long term!

I was wrong about the Cleveland Cavaliers coming into the playoffs.  There’s no shame in that; I’m not embarrassed by being wrong about that team.  And most importantly, I’m not locked into an untenable position where I’m forced to defend my anti-Cleveland position with my words or with my money.  Things have changed.  The Cavs are better now.  Their competition, top to bottom, is weaker than expected.  My opinion has changed.  The Cleveland Cavs are ‘live’ to end their lifelong title drought and win a championship a month from now.

What was I wrong about?  Nearly everything!  Here’s what I wrote after the Cavs Game 1 win against the Pistons: “The Cavs once again showed us that they are vulnerable favorites in the East.  On a weekend where every other elite team notched an easy blowout victory, the Cavs were in a battle from start to finish against the Pistons.  Despite getting huge games from LeBron, Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving, the Cavs never even sniffed a pointspread cover; not a good sign moving forward.”

Since that Game 1 victory over the Pistons, the Cavs have gone 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS.  They are the healthiest team still standing in the playoffs.  They are the most rested team still standing in the playoffs, and it’s not even close.   Looking at a chart of playoff minutes played, LeBron James is sitting at 310 heading into the Eastern Conference Finals. Kyrie Irving is at 291.  Kevin Love is at 274.  Contrast those numbers, for example, with the minutes played for Toronto’s key players (Kyle Lowry 553, DeMar DeRozan 522) here in the playoffs and you can clearly see what I am talking about.

And, of course, the Cavs have – by far – the easiest path to the Finals, sitting in the -1500 range as I write this early Monday morning to knock off Toronto in the Eastern Conference Finals.  The Cavs suspect defense has improved by leaps and bounds here in the postseason, especially when it’s mattered most – during crunch time.  Their postseason offensive efficiency of 117 points per 100 possessions has blown every other team’s numbers away.  The Cavs are loaded with savvy veteran role players.  JR Smith, Channing Frye, Iman Shumpert, Matthew Dellavedova, Tristan Thompson, Richard Jefferson – all guys who have been on deep postseason runs before.  Playoff virgin head coach Tyrone Lue hasn’t had any trouble coaching up his roster here in May.

The Cavs have tried to stay focused and in game shape during their post-series layoff between knocking off the Hawks and taking on the Raptors.  Strength and conditioning coach Derek Millender put the team through brutal training sessions on the VersaClimber.  Big man Tristan Thompson, talking about the experience: “That was pretty tough, but I thought it was great for us because the [players] could push each other. It’s great when all the guys are in the trenches battling that VersaClimber. We hate that machine. It was fun. I thought it brought us even closer together as a team. We’ve got to come out and kind of throw the first punch, especially at home.”

I was wrong about the Cavs, and have adjusted my opinion (and my power rating number) accordingly, before it cost my clients and I too much money. But the other end of the spectrum is worth discussing here as well, because I nailed my pre-playoff analysis on the Oklahoma City Thunder; a team that has made me money here in the postseason.  And while it’s extremely important to be willing to adjust your opinions about teams that you don’t get right, it’s equally important that you maximize your profits betting on or against the teams that you DO get right. 

Here’s an excerpt of what I wrote about the Thunder just before the playoffs.

“I don’t care what kind of metric you want to use – the Oklahoma City Thunder are no afterthought!  The Thunder have at least three strong factors working in their favor moving forward.  First and foremost, they’ve got two of the Top 5 players on the planet.  Superstars carry teams to titles, and the Thunder have a pair of them in Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook.  Secondly, the Thunder are a truly elite rebounding team, the single best rebounding team in the NBA over the last ten seasons, dominating both the offensive glass and the defensive glass.  Third, this team is no playoff virgin – they’ve got the requisite experience as well as some real hunger after last year’s injury plagued debacle of a season left them on the outside looking in at the postseason.   Let’s not forget that the Thunder were tied 2-2 with the Spurs in the 2014 Western Conference Finals before losing in OT, allowing San Antonio to reach the Finals and win a title.  That came on the heels of their 2012 run to the NBA Finals against the Heat.  This team knows how to win playoff series, plain and simple.”

I cashed a handful of winning bets supporting the Thunder in their series victory against the Spurs.  Quite frankly, I don’t expect those to be the last few winners that I cash with OKC in 2016.  If you’re flexible enough to adjust your opinions when appropriate, and disciplined enough to fully take advantage of your correct betting opinions, the opportunity for significant playoff profits is both real and attainable. 

Teddy Covers 10* NBA Warriors vs Thunder Game 1 Winner [63% All Sports Run] $20 
Teddy is ready to deliver the goods for this Warriors vs. Thunder Western Conference Finals opener! OKC won twice in San Antonio; can they do it again at Oracle Arena? Or is this a spot for the defending champs to dominate? Teddy is in rock solid current form, riding a 63% All Sports Run into the new week, primed to cash another winner here! This play must cash or his next report is free!

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Teddy Covers



NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors

05.16.2016     11:30 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma City at Golden State -7.5 O/U 223.5 
Recommendation: Over


Tonight’s Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals will be the fourth meeting this season between these teams with Golden State going 3-0 straight up, 2-0-1 against the spread and the “under” cashing in two of the three. However, if tonight’s current total of 223.5 had been the number in all three regular season games, the “over” would’ve been 3-0. Regular season games totaled 224, 239 (only 206 before OT) and 227. The shaving of 6.5 points minimum off the regular season closing totals could be enough room to sneak in here with an “over." Neither team in this series is going to stray from what they do best which is play open floor basketball. For the Thunder, the offensive production that resulted from ball sharing in the latter games of the San Antonio series makes them even more dangerous scoring wise right now. Russell Westbrook who averaged 26.3 ppg against the Warriors this season could even boost that number since he’s certain to challenge counterpart Steph Curry and his less than 100% ankle. The matchup for Kevin Durant who blistered Golden State for 109 points (36.3 per game) this season has shown to be very favorable. On the defensive side however, Oklahoma City’s elevated public perception after the Dallas and San Antonio series victories figures to come back down to earth. Even the new bandwagon key to the series (OKC’s rebounding from their “length lineup”) didn’t help during the regular season as they out-rebounded Golden State 62-32 on Feb 27th and still allowed 121 points in their three point OT loss. In all, each HC in this series has a positive counter to any adjustment the other might make to try and limit scoring potential. If the shooting percentages are the norm tonight, then there is a solid opportunity for this game to exceed 223.5 points. OKC has thrown in a couple of shooting clunkers in this post season, but don’t feel like this will be one of those. Expect this game to land in the neighborhood of 227+.

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Rob Veno



NBA Conference Finals Podcast Betting Preview 5-16-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

05.16.2016     10:56 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down the NBA's Western and Eastern Conference Finals.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA Rob Veno Andrew Lange



College Football Betting: South Point releases Games of the Year

05.16.2016     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here's a list of South Point's College Football Games of the Year for the upcoming 2016 season.

September 10 
Pittsburgh -9 vs. Penn State 
Utah -7.5 vs. BYU 
TCU -6 vs. Arkansas

September 17 
Notre Dame -6.5 vs. Michigan State 
Oklahoma -9 vs. Ohio State 
Nebraska -2 vs. Oregon 
Alabama -3 at Ole Miss

September 24 
Arkansas -1.5 at Texas A&M

October 1 
Tennessee vs. Georgia pk

October 8  
Oklahoma -14 vs. Texas 
Oregon -4.5 vs. Washington

October 15 
Ohio State -3 at Wisconsin 
Stanford -1 at Notre Dame 
Alabama -3.5 at Tennessee

October 20  
Boise State -11.5 vs. BYU

October 29 
Clemson -1 at Florida State 
Baylor -4.5 at Texas 
Michigan -2 at Michigan State 
Wisconsin -4 at Nebraska 
Georgia -1 vs. Florida 
Mississippi -12 vs. Auburn

November 5 
Baylor -7.5 vs TCU 
LSU -3 vs. Alabama

November 12 
LSU -5.5. at Arkansas 
Oregon -1.5 vs. Stanford

November 19  
Stanford -13.5 at California 
UCLA -3 vs. USC

November 25 
TCU -1 at Texas 
Arizona -7 vs. Arizona State 
Washington State vs. Washington pk

November 26 
Florida State -11 vs. Florida 
Ohio State -6.5 vs. Michigan 
BYU -1 vs. Utah State 
Nevada -1.5 at UNLV 
Alabama -18 vs. Auburn 
Georgia -11 vs. Georgia Tech 
Louisville -16.5 vs. Kentucky 
Ole Miss -12 vs. Mississippi State 
USC -6.5 vs. Notre Dame

December 3 
Oklahoma -12.5 vs. Oklahoma State

Tags: College Football



MLB Handicapping: Philadelphia knows it's been ultra-lucky this season

05.16.2016     08:30 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Philadelphia Phillies are starting to get it. Their "hot" start has been well documented as they currently own the seventh-best record (22-16) in MLB. How the Phils got there is simple -- and unsustainable -- with a bunch of 1-run (14-3) and extra inning (4-0) victories. The organization though is well aware of this but refuses to deviate from the original game plan of a total rebuild. In terms of "luck", Philadelphia has won seven more games than it should have based on the team's -30 run differential.


"We're not blind to the fact that our run differential is negative by a significant margin," Klentak said. "We're well aware that there has been a lack of offensive production throughout much of the lineup."



MLB Yearly "Luck" Leaders 
2016: Philadelphia +7 
2015: Chicago Cubs +7 
2014: St. Louis, NY Yankees +7 
2013: Philadelphia +7 
2012: Baltimore +11 
2011: 4 Teams +6 
2010: Houston +8

Tags: MLB Philadephia Phillies



Sports Betting Podcast 5-13-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Teddy Covers

05.13.2016     09:20 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Teddy Covers. Drew, Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down every game on today's MLB slate.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Drew Martin - National League

Teddy Covers - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Drew Martin Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



College Football Betting: Games of the Year go up at South Point this afternoon

05.13.2016     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you've got nothing to do this afternoon you can wander down to Las Vegas' South Point Sportsbook and place a few college football wagers. Games will be posted at 2 pm PT.

Tags: College Football






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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 24, 2016 06:42 AM.