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College Basketball Free Betting Pick: Davidson Wildcats at Charlotte 49ers

12.01.2015     09:58 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Davidson -11 at Charlotte O/U 166.5 
Recommendation: Davidson

This should be a high scoring game as Davidson travels a few miles down I-77 to play the 49ers. Charlotte is basically starting from scratch with new coach Mark Price who inherited a roster of just three players when he took the job this summer. Price had to fill his roster with guys that are simply not good enough to compete in Conference-USA and the results have shown as much in their 1-5 start. The 49ers have really only been competitive in their win against Furman and their last game, a loss to Washington in the Battle for Atlantis. The 49ers are trying to play pressure defense and up-tempo offense, but they just do not have to personnel to do it well.

Instead what they have done is play porous defense, allowing 56.6% effective FG% to their opponents, which is 323rd in the nation. They are even worse in 3pt FG% allowed, giving up 41.9% to their opponents behind the arc. Offensively they are just as bad, ranking 321st in effective FG% at just 42.6%. The only good thing that Charlotte has done is force a few turnovers, with their opponents turning it over on 20.4% of possessions.

Unfortunately in this game the 49ers play the best team in the nation at not turning the ball over. Davidson turns it over just 9.8% of its possessions thus far. The Wildcats are not shooting the ball as well as they have in the past, especially behind the arc where they are hitting just 29.8%, but the lack of turnovers has resulted in them ranking 26th in the nation in offensive efficiency, scoring 111.3 points per 100 possessions.

I expect Davidson to score at will tonight and Charlotte hasn’t shown that they are able to keep up on the offensive end. It’s going to be a long year for Price and his team and Davidson would like nothing more than to blowout its closest rival.

Tags: College Basketball Davidson Wildcats Charlotte 49ers Brent Crow

Sports Betting Podcast 12-1-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Alex B. Smith

12.01.2015     09:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Alex B. Smith. Brent talked with host Andrew Lange about tonight's TV college basketball games while Alex broke down the NHL.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Brent Crow - College Basketball

Alex B. Smith - NHL

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NHL Brent Crow Alex B. Smith

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings

12.01.2015     09:50 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Buffalo at Detroit -160 O/U 5 
Recommendation: Under

The Detroit Red Wings continue their six-game home stand tonight as they battle the Buffalo Sabres. The Wings have lost three of their last five games at Joe Louis Arena and five of their last nine overall, while the Sabres have won two in a row after losing six straight prior to this past weekend. Detroit goaltender Petr Mrazek will get the start in this contest. He has gone 0-5-2 to the under in his last seven starts, posting a record of 3-1-3 in that span. Detroit has scored three or more goals in four of their last seven games, while Buffalo has scored eight goals in the last two games; one more than their total of goals during their six-game skid. Detroit rookie Dylan Larkin has been the main catalyst for the Wings' recent offensive spark scoring six goals in the last 10 games and leading the team with 10 goals on the year. Buffalo's first-year forward Jack Eichel has cooled off on the score sheet, picking only three goals and two assists in his last 10 games. Tyler Ennis will miss his third consecutive game due to a lower-body injury. Ennis has 10 points on the season and is a key piece to the Sabres' power-play unit. Buffalo has gone under or pushed on the total in 19 of their 24 games played this season, while the Wings have gone under or pushed in 18 of 24 games. Both clubs normally play tight defensively, and despite their recent outbursts of offensive production, I like this game to go under the total.   

Tags: NHL Buffalo Sabres Detroit Red Wings Alex B. Smith

Prison bookie tries to sue USA Today for not publishing betting odds

12.01.2015     06:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
You simply can't make this stuff up. A 60-year old prison inmate who moonlights as a bookie tried to sue USA Today for no longer publishing gambling odds in its newspaper. Surprisingly the case was thrown out.

Tags: NHL Buffalo Sabres Detroit Red Wings Alex B. Smith

NFL Betting News: Las Vegas sportsbooks breathe sign of relief after Ravens' MNF win

12.01.2015     06:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Funny how these things tend to work out. Heading into last night's Baltimore-Cleveland game, a few Las Vegas sportsbooks were reporting a comical imbalance of money on the Browns. Cleveland opened at a pick 'em offshore and -1.5 in Las Vegas and closed -6. The Ravens of course blocked the potential game winning field goal and took it to the house for outright win. Perhaps a lesson that when someone's reporting 99% of the action is one side, it's probably wise to take a gander at the team that has “no chance.”

"It'll easily be the biggest Monday night decision of the year," Rood said. "It's just a huge, huge decision."

"We have a ton of money on Cleveland," Simbal said Sunday night. "In fact, 99.3 percent of the money is on Cleveland so far."

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns Las Vegas

NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus plays drop to 31-27 ATS YTD

12.01.2015     06:09 AM     Printer Friendly


It was another losing week for the SuperContest's top five consensus plays. Since starting the year 15-5 ATS, they've gone 16-22 ATS.

1. TAMPA BAY +3.5 at Indianapolis - LOSS 
2. PITTSBURGH +3.5 at Seattle - LOSS 
3. MINNESOTA pk at Atlanta - WIN 
4. DENVER +3 vs. New England - WIN 
5. CLEVELAND -2.5 vs. Baltimore - LOSS

Weekly Results  
Week 1: 5-0 
Week 2: 3-2 
Week 3: 3-2 
Week 4: 4-1 
Week 5: 2-2-1 
Week 6: 1-3-1 
Week 7: 3-2 
Week 8: 2-3 
Week 9: 1-4 
Week 10: 3-2 
Week 11: 2-3 
Week 12: 2-3 
Total: 31-27-2

NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 12 consensus picks

11.29.2015     08:49 AM     View Original Blog
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 12 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. TAMPA BAY +3.5 at Indianapolis 
2. PITTSBURGH +3.5 at Seattle 
3. MINNESOTA pk at Atlanta 
4. DENVER +3 vs. New England 
5. CLEVELAND -2.5 vs. Baltimore

Least picked Sunday side: NY Jets -3.5 vs. Miami

Tags: NFL

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing the NFL Playoff contenders

11.30.2015     11:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
There’s one thing that has become very clear to me as the NFL season enters the December stretch run following another week of wild finishes and head scratching upsets.  The 2015 season is an ode to mediocrity.  You’re not going to find many (any?) truly elite teams.   
With the Patriots ongoing injury woes, when it comes to the elites at this stage of the campaign, there are only three teams I’d even consider: the Panthers, Cardinals and Bengals.  And all three of those teams have enough question marks to put them a good notch or two below where my top power rated teams were last year or the year before at this stage of the campaign.

It’s a similar story at the bottom of the league.  I’ve got eight teams grouped at the bottom of my power ratings: the 49ers, Chargers, Ravens, Titans, Browns, Saints, Jaguars and Rams.  All eight of those teams, while unquestionably weak, are capable of pulling upsets over playoff contenders, because they’ve all done it at least once this year. 

San Fran has wins over the Vikings and Falcons (still a playoff team if the season ended today).  San Diego has Philip Rivers, New Orleans has Drew Brees.  Baltimore’s issues are largely injury related.  Jacksonville is very much in playoff contention and St. Louis is still live for a spot if they come on strong down the stretch.  The Titans and Browns are legit bottom feeders, but even those two win squads have played stretches of highly competitive football this season. 

So where does that leave us?  It leaves us in a place where at least 20 of the 32 NFL teams must be ranked somewhere between ‘good but not great’ and ‘bad but not awful’.  Yes, there is a power rating differential between the ‘good but not great’ Broncos, Seahawks and Packers compared to the ’bad but not awful’ Cowboys, Eagles and Dolphins.  But there’s not a TD worth of difference in my power ratings between the two groupings, meaning that on a neutral field, we’re talking about 20 squads that wouldn’t be favored by a TD against anyone but the bottom quartile of the league.

In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll focus on four of those teams grouped in the middle of the pack, dissecting the pertinent notes and quotes following the games this past weekend. 
The Green Bay Packers have fallen from 6-0 to 7-4 since their bye week, although their only win during this span was a huge one, knocking off Minnesota to earn the tiebreaker edge against the Vikings.  They’ve lost back-to-back home games against the sub .500 Lions and Bears.  Aaron Rodgers was not amused by the latest loss, and his quotes tell us that this may not be the most cohesive locker room these days.

Rodgers: “It goes back to what you're doing in your spare time and what you're doing with your time in the facility. Being a pro is all about making sure you're as ready as possible by the time the game hits. I think that's the important thing for guys to remember here, especially young guys.  We're 15 games into the season, counting preseason. That's a long grind for those guys, especially the rookies. This is the time where they really got to get through that wall, and the vets -- the vets have had some [missed assignments] as well.”

Rodgers continued: "You know, you've got to be able to look in the mirror and feel good about the preparation every single day.  You need to think about if you accomplished everything you want to accomplish. If you didn't, you take your stuff home, and you look at it. You probably should take your stuff home and look at it anyway. This time of year, I always feel, helps with the preparation because it's so cold outside. There's not much going on, so you've got no excuses not to get in the iPad, get in your book and get ready to play." 
The Packers passing game has slipped to #23 in the league, and they lost at home on Thanksgiving despite a strong game from Eddie Lacy on the ground and a defensive effort that held Chicago to 17 points.  But this team is still being priced like an elite contender, favored in all four of their recent losses.

The Oakland Raiders stayed alive in the AFC playoff picture with an intense, come-from-behind-in-the-fourth-quarter road win at Tennessee on Sunday, sneaking past the Titans with a three point win (and cover).  That being said, while Oakland ‘found a way to win’ the reality is that they found a way to lose and were bailed out by the refs following a phantom penalty on the far side of the field on a fourth down incompletion.  Titans head coach Mike Mularkey: “The one call is the call, it changes the game, changes the outcome of the game.  It's frustrating, very frustrating.”

That said, notching this road win was clearly a positive for the Raiders.  Head coach Jack Del Rio had a very different take on Oakland’s game winning drive: “I'm really proud of the way they guys stayed in it. It was tough. There was a reason to be discouraged. You're in control of the game, you fumble it and all of a sudden they go down and get a score. And it's `Oh my gosh, what are we going to do?' Well, we're going to go down there and find a way to get it in there and get a score."

The win was the third SU road win for Oakland this year.  Over the previous three seasons, the Raiders were 2-22 SU in their 24 games away from home…

The Buffalo Bills made a myriad of mistakes on Sunday after jumping out to a double digit first half lead against the Chiefs.  Rex Ryan screwed up his challenges – more than once – in a fairly embarrassing display of inept game management.  The defense – Ryan’s trademark – collapsed down the stretch.  And the offense managed only one scoring drive after halftime. 
Bills WR Sammy Watkins had a huge first half, but was completely shut down in the second half.  “We didn't get the job done. We've got to put the nail in the coffin when we play great teams like this. You give them a chance and let them live, they start making plays -- their defense starts making plays. We've got to put them away."

Bills QB Tyrod Taylor hasn’t thrown a single interception in his last five starts, and he was an effective passer and an effective runner out of the pocket in the loss to KC.  “We made it tough on ourselves, but we've just got to take it week by week, day by day. Maintain a hungry attitude."  A cluster injury problem on the defensive line (Mario Williams, Kyle Williams and Alex Carrington are all hurt) is likely to ratchet up the pressure on the offense for the December stretch run.

The Washington Redskins have the sharpest home/road dichotomy in the NFL this season, improving to 5-1 at home following Sunday’s win against the Giants, but still winless on the highway this season.  Washington has struggled to run the football.  They’ve struggled to stop the run.  They’ve got cluster injuries in their secondary on defense.  And yet we’re seeing quotes like this one from defensive end Jason Hatcher: “We're in the driver's seat right now. We've just got to continue winning games and driving the car -- right into the playoffs."

The mainstream takeaway from this game was ‘Redskins good’.  These two quotes from the Giants might indicate otherwise.  Tom Coughlin “We `sleptwalked' -- whatever the word is.”  Odell Beckham Jr, talking about the Giants first ten possessions – seven punts and three turnovers: “We came out flat. Too many mistakes.”

Washington safety Dashon Goldson, talking about the effects of a players only meeting for the Skins the day before the game: “It was much needed.  We’ve got the talent here, it was a mindset for us to click today and we all played together. We played as a team. My message was to come together and play good in all phases and put aside any personal things you’ve got. As long as we’re on the field together we have to hit that switch, and we did that.” 
WR Pierre Garcon, summed up the meeting this way: “Stop losing. Bring energy. Bring effort. Everyone has to bring their effort. We saw it today and it worked out well for us.

Find Teddy at and follow him on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks

11.30.2015     10:55 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Denver at Milwaukee -4 O/U 200 
Recommendation: Milwaukee

Neither team playing well right now as they each sit at 6-11 and in last place of their respective divisions. Denver has lost six straight and have had numerous injuries to deal with thus far especially to their big men. The Bucks have had some early season injuries as well but currently head coach Jason Kidd is trying to correct their leaky defense. In that regard, Kidd went to a different starting lineup yesterday in Charlotte and the switches did help as Milwaukee allowed just 87 points in the five-point loss. Beyond just replacing starting PG Michael Carter-Williams and PF Jabari Parker in the lineup, the larger picture is the message Kidd is sending to his team about the need to defend better. Off of a season where defense became the Bucks calling card, it has likely been more lack of effort rather than lock down ability and have to believe this group will build off Sunday’s result and step it up on that end. Kidd is still pondering what his best starting lineup will be but his message appears to have been received by the team.

The returns of Kenneth Faried and Joffrey Lauvergne to the lineup Saturday gave Denver a solid complement of frontcourt players for the first time since their opener. Expect their minutes to rise tonight versus the Bucks long athletic front line. The Nuggets will again be without Gary Harris Jr. tonight due to a concussion but backup veteran Randy Foye stepped in for him Saturday night. He could provide some short term steadiness for Mike Malone who is dealing with extreme youth and inconsistency.

This matchup has both coaches entering somewhat frustrated with their teams and looking for ways to end their losing streaks. Denver has won 10 of the last 11 between these two including a 103-102 win in Denver 19 days ago. The lineups were very different in that contest as Milwaukee did not have Parker, Carter-Williams or SG O.J. Mayo while Denver was without the Lauvergne and Jameer Nelson. Despite being on the short end of recent series history, like the Bucks in this one to be fully focused on the defensive end against erratic shooting Denver which is 22nd in the league with a 42.9 FG%. Back-to-back situation shouldn’t hinder Milwaukee here so play here is on the short priced home favorite.  

Tags: NBA Denver Nuggets Milwaukee Bucks Rob Veno

NFL Betting Podcast 11-30-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

11.30.2015     10:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report for Week 13 of the NFL.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report - Week 13

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

Sportsmemo's Annual Turkey Day Shootout Special

11.24.2015     08:40 AM     Printer Friendly

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

NFL Handicapping: Playoff races start to heat up

11.30.2015     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Heading into Week 13, the league-wide standings are a total mess with a handful of teams in control of their respective divisions but virtually the entire rest of league still live to make the playoffs. Let's take a quick look at the remaining schedule for those teams fighting to make the postseason.

AFC East  
New England (10-1) - vs. PHI, at HOU, vs. TEN, at NYJ, at MIA 
NY Jets (6-5) - at NYG, vs. TEN, at DAL, vs. NE, at BUF 
Buffalo (5-6) - vs. HOU, at PHI, at WAS, vs. DAL, vs. NYJ

AFC North  
Cincinnati (9-1) - at CLE, vs. PIT, at SF, at DEN, vs. BAL 
Pittsburgh (6-5) - vs. IND, at CIN, vs. DEN, at BAL, at CLE

AFC South 
Houston (6-5) - at BUF, vs. NE, at IND, at TEN, vs. JAX 
Indianapolis (6-5) - at PIT, at JAX, vs. HOU, at MIA, vs. TEN

AFC West 
Denver (9-2) - at SD, vs. OAK, at PIT, vs. CIN, vs. SD 
Kansas City (6-5) - at OAK, vs. SD, at BAL, vs. CLE, vs. OAK 
Oakland (5-6) - vs. KC, at DEN, vs. GB, vs. SD, at KC

NFC East 
NY Giants (5-6) - vs. NYJ, at MIA, vs. CAR, vs. MIN, vs. PHI 
Washington (5-6) -vs. DAL, at CHI, vs. BUF, at PHI, at DAL 
Philadelphia (4-7) - at NE, vs. BUF, vs. AZ, vs. WAS, at NYG

NFC North  
Minnesota - (8-3) - vs. SEA, at AZ, vs. CHI, vs. NYG, at GB 
Green Bay (7-4) - at DET, vs. DAL, at OAK, at AZ, vs. MIN 
Chicago (5-6) - vs. SF, vs. WAS, at MIN, at TB, vs. DET

NFC South 
Carolina (11-0) - at NO, vs. ATL, at NYG, at ATL, vs. TB 
Atlanta (6-5) - at TB, at CAR, at JAX, vs. CAR, vs. NO 
Tampa Bay (5-6) - vs. ATL, vs. NO, at STL, vs. CHI, at CAR

NFC West 
Arizona (9-2) - at STL, vs. MIN, at PHI, vs. GB, vs. SEA 
Seattle (6-5) - at MIN, at BAL, vs. CLE, vs. STL, at AZ

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 12 consensus picks

11.29.2015     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 12 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. TAMPA BAY +3.5 at Indianapolis 
2. PITTSBURGH +3.5 at Seattle 
3. MINNESOTA pk at Atlanta 
4. DENVER +3 vs. New England 
5. CLEVELAND -2.5 vs. Baltimore

Least picked Sunday side: NY Jets -3.5 vs. Miami

Tags: NFL

NFL Week 12 Betting Podcast 11-27-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

11.27.2015     11:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. Erin and host Andrew Lange broke down select games for Week 12's NFL slate.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - NFL

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling Preview: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

11.27.2015     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Buffalo at Kansas City 
Sunday, 10 am PT 
CRIS Opener:
Kansas City -5.5 O/U 42.5 
CRIS Current: Kansas City -6.5 O/U 41.5 
Recommendation: Buffalo

The Chiefs' four-game winning streak has been as much about the weakness of their opponents than any other factor.  Since their 1-5 start, KC has beaten the Steelers with Landry Jones making his first career start.  They faced the Lions in London when Detroit was in complete disarray on offense.  They knocked off the Broncos in what might be Peyton Manning’s last career start, a woeful four interception performance from the future Hall of Famer.  And last week, they knocked off a bottom tier, injury riddled Chargers squad in blowout fashion.

I’m not saying that Kansas City is a bad team, not by any stretch of the imagination.  But the Chiefs are a long, long way from being elite, and they’re an overvalued betting commodity at this stage of the campaign following this series of wins and covers.

The Chiefs offense is, most assuredly, a second tier unit.  They rank #22 in the NFL in red zone touchdown percentage, with Alex Smith consistently throwing the ball away instead of trying to fit it into tight windows.  KC’s offensive line play has been mediocre at best, and their running game lacks explosive playmakers since Jamal Charles got hurt.  KC ranks #2 in the NFL in turnover margin at +10, another reason why they are at least somewhat overvalued in this pointspread range.

Buffalo’s defense is no joke.  They just held New England to a season low in points and yards on Monday Night.  A Chiefs team that has struggled to build margins for most of the season is likely to struggle to produce touchdowns in bunches this week too.

Bills QB Tyrod Taylor is healthy and expected to start on Sunday.  The Bills have the type of big play offense that can produce quick strike touchdowns, and they’re fighting for their lives in the AFC playoff race.  KC might win this game, but don’t expect an easy victory — this has all the makings of a game that gets decided one way or the other by a last minute field goal.  Take the Bills.

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles at Florida Gators

11.27.2015     10:13 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Florida State at Florida 
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - ESPN 
CRIS Opener:
Florida pk O/U 435 
CRIS Current: Florida State -2.5 O/U 43 
Recommendation: Florida

Florida State has moved to the favorite role for this annual in-state rivalry showdown but I’m not sure it is warranted. It appears that bettors flocking to the FSU side are reacting to Florida’s lackluster overtime win over Florida Atlantic last week.

Both teams' SOS is similar but a closer looks shows Florida has been far more challenged against upper-tier competition and fared extremely well in those games. The Gators scored straight up and ATS wins over Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee. Their lone loss when asked to step up in class was a touchdown defeat in Baton Rouge against an LSU that at the time was undefeated. Florida State meanwhile has played only one team currently in ranked among Sagarin's top 30. That of course was against Clemson as the Seminoles managed to slip under the number but were outgained heavily, 512-361. The Tigers are obviously more potent with the ball compared to the Gators, but it was a similar step-up-in class defensively and the Seminoles struggled mightily to move the football.

After last week’s lethargic performance against FAU, Florida head coach Jim McElwain openly criticized his team’s effort, performance and energy level comparing his team’s lack of energy against Florida Atlantic to that of a “dead fish”. I think we see an appropriate response from the Gators in this rivalry matchup after clearly looking past the Owls. It’s also worth noting Florida State has only played on the road four times this season. They took care of business against the weaker foes beating Boston College and Wake Forest but when asked to step up in class on the highway, it was a different story with the Seminoles losing to Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Florida does have a couple injuries to contend with, most notably on defense with lineman Jonathan Bullard questionable and sack leader Alex McCalister out. Those injuries though are reflected in this line and despite the losses, there’s value with Florida as a home underdog. Unlikely we’ll see +3 across the board but certainly worth the effort, even if you have to lay extra juice in order to secure the key number.

Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Florida Gators SEC Ian Cameron

College Football Betting Preview: Georgia Bulldogs at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

11.27.2015     09:43 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Georgia at Georgia Tech 
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2 
CRIS Opener:
Georgia -5 O/U 48.5 
CRIS Current: Georgia -4 O/U 48 
Recommendation: Under

Like a lot of teams, Georgia started the year with the hopes of marching up and down the field at a fast pace. But following an injury to running back Nick Chubb and the realization that quarterback Greyson Lambert was at-best a game manager, the Bulldogs have morphed into a grind-it-out, under-type squad the back half of the season. Their last five games have produced an average of only 29.6 ppg and considering the Dawgs went 4-1 in those contests, there's no reason to think they'll change their stripes. Head coach Mark Richt had this to say about his team's current philosophy: ""We've decided to slow the game down a little bit," Richt said. "Decided to try to control the ball a little bit more. You know, do things that aren't really sexy when it comes to football, offensive football, but things that we thought were going to help us win."

Georgia Tech has also been forced to go the pedestrian route due to instability along the offensive line and a sharp decline in skill position talent. The Yellow Jackets are averaging only 5.36 yards per play and 350 ypg in ACC play. A great example of GT's shortcomings is the production of quarterback Justin Thomas. Last season, Thomas put up over 1,000 yards on the ground at 5.7 ypc. This season, he's yet to top 500 yards at 3.6 ypc.

While Georgia's stellar defensive numbers are skewed somewhat due to playing in the offensive inept SEC East, the Dawgs are still one of the better stop units the Yellow Jackets will have faced this season. Against Notre Dame, Clemson, and Florida State, Tech really struggled to move the football with less than 5.0 yards per play. 

With both teams focused on the run and controlling the clock, there's still enough value to look at this game under the total.

Tags: College Football Georgia Bulldogs SEC Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC Andrew Lange

Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 11-25-2015

11.25.2015     11:11 AM     Printer Friendly


Here's our Week 13 College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Handicappers Ian Cameron, Rob Veno, and Drew Martin joined host Andrew Lange to break down this weekend's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I (111-149)

Rob Veno - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II (151-187)

Drew Martin - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III (189-229)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Drew Martin Ian Cameron Rob Veno Andrew Lange

NBA Betting Podcast 11-24-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

11.24.2015     12:20 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER borke down the entire slate of tonight's NBA games.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA Erin Rynning

College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

11.24.2015     10:32 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Wisconsin at Minnesota 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - Big Ten Network 
CRIS Opener:
Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL 
CRIS Current: Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL 
Recommendation: Minnesota

It's a Big Ten classic rivalry match-up as the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Wisconsin Badgers in the battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers beat Illinois 32-26 at home last week and now need just one more victory to become bowl eligible for the fourth consecutive year. It's been a rough one for Minnesota with Jerry Kill forced to retire and countless injuries throughout the season. Quarterback Mitch Leidner said he will play despite injuring his hand and foot against the Illini.

Wisconsin comes into the game 8-3 after dropping a 13-7 decision to Northwestern in their home finale. The Badgers thought they had the game won but the would-be game winning touchdown was overturned. They were eliminated from Big Ten West contention prior to that game. Wisky's claim to fame this season has been its defense with some of the best numbers in the country. The schedule however (71st SOS) comes up light particularly in the Big Ten where they avoided Michigan, Ohio State, and Michigan State as well as Indiana which leads the Big Ten in total offense (448.7 ypg) in league play. Minnesota meanwhile has played the far tougher slate (28th SOS) and showed well in spread covering losses to Michigan, Ohio State, and Iowa.

From a straight up perspective, Wisconsin has owned the recent series with 11 consecutive wins. The Gophers however have covered six of the last eight. During that stretch, there was a clear gap between the two programs but despite this year’s overall records, the Badgers have taken a big step back. In my opinion, this is an even matchup which gets me to the window with the home underdog.

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Alex B. Smith

NBA Handicapping: Chicago's Butler asks team for better effort

11.24.2015     09:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Chicago's Jimmy Butler recently called out his team for not playing hard on a nightly basis. The Bulls (8-4 SU, 4-8 ATS) have been an interesting study with Fred Hoiberg taking over for Tom Thibodeau. The Bulls are clearly playing faster (99.9 pace, 9th) but have declined offensively (98.9 efficiency, 23rd) compared to last year's rate (104.7) under Thibs. They have played better defensively this season, but the numbers are somewhat skewed as offensive efficiency league-wide is way down compared to 2014-15 season-long numbers. The Bulls play at Portland tonight. Derrick Rose (ankle) was upgraded to probable.

"I don't think we bring that fight every single night," Butler told reporters after Monday's practice. "I think we're starting to get back to that, but early on we weren't the hardest-playing team every night. We always need to and have to be the hardest-playing team."

Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers

College Football Betting: WKU-FIU ending draws groans, cheers among bettors

11.24.2015     09:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
You probably weren't paying much attention to last weekend's Western Kentucky-Florida International game...unless you had a bet on it. They called the game with 5:03 left on the clock due to weather. According to sportsbook "code of conduct" all games must go at least 55 minutes for action. Western Kentucky was leading 63-7 which means Hilltopper supporters as well as those on the over got shafted. Those on FIU and the under aren't allowed to complain about a "bad beat" until next April.

Tags: College Football Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Florida International Panthers C-USA

College Football Gambling: Iowa State and Syracuse fire head coaches

11.24.2015     09:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's been hard to keep up with all of the college football midseason firings but two more took place earlier this week. Iowa State's Paul Rhoads was shown the door after posting a record of 32-54 and 16-44 in Big XII play. The Cyclones have a winning spread record (6-4-1) and looked ultra-competitive in closes losses to Oklahoma State and Kansas State the last two weeks. ISU is currently a +13.5 road underdog vs. West Virginia.

Syracuse sent Scott Shafer packing after eight straight losses. The Orange opened the season 3-0 and like Iowa State, having a winning spread record (7-4 ATS) this season. Syracuse closes out the year as a +3 home underdog vs. Boston College.

Note that both Rhoads and Shafer will coach this weekend.

Tags: College Football Iowa State Cylcones Syracuse Orange

College Football Betting Trends: Vanderbilt looks for perfect "under" season

11.24.2015     09:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
One of the more "impressive" streaks of the season has been Vanderbilt's run of unders with all 10 games against FBS competition cashing tickets. The average game score of those 10 games was 29.9 ppg with the average total 46.5. The total for Saturday's rivalry game vs. Tennessee is currently 41.

vs. Texas A&M - 0-25, Under 44 
vs. Kentucky - 21-17, Under 41.5 
at Florida - 7-9, Under 38.5 
at Houston - 0-34, Under 49.5 
vs. Missouri - 10-3, Under 34 
at South Carolina - 10-19, Under 46 
at MTSU - 17-13, Under 49.5 
at Ole Miss - 16-27, Under 53 
vs. Georgia - 14-31, Under 48.5 
vs. Western Kentucky - 12-14, Under 60

Tags: College Football Vanderbilt Commodores Tennessee Volunteers SEC

College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget Game of the Year vs. CRIS - Week 13

11.24.2015     08:55 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 13's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot week-to-week changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets.

2015 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 13
Golden Nugget GOY
CRIS Current
TCU -6
Oregon State
Oregon -22.5
Oregon -35
Washington State
Washington -4.5
Nebraska -7
Iowa -1
Texas A&M
LSU -7.5
LSU -5
Kansas State
Kansas State -24
Kansas State -20
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma -3
Oklahoma -6.5
Utah State
Utah State pk
BYU -3
Ohio State
Ohio State -16
Michigan -2
Penn State
Michigan State
Michigan State -12
USC -3
USC -4
Utah State
Utah -13.5
Utah -16.5
Notre Dame
Stanford -3
Stanford -4
North Carolina
NC State
NC State -6
North Carolina -6.5
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -4
Virginia Tech -3.5
Arkansas -7
Arkansas -14
Alabama -3.5
Alabama -14
Florida State
Florida State -4
Florida State -2
Georgia Tech
Georgia -1
Georgia -5
Louisville -2.5
Louisville -4
Ole Miss
Mississippi State
Ole Miss -2
Mississippi State pk
South Carolina
Clemson -3
Clemson -17
Tennessee -17
Tennessee -17

Tags: College Football

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL teams starting to change their stripes

11.23.2015     11:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s Week 12 already. Thanksgiving is upon us, with the holiday season right behind it.  All the NFL Bye weeks are in the rear view mirror now, with every team still having exactly six games remaining in the regular season.  We’re seeing numerous ‘morphs’ around the league; teams that have changed their stripes rather dramatically over the course of the last month. 

Some of those morphs are duly noted by the betting markets.  For example, the 3-7 Cowboys with a healthy Tony Romo are favored over the 10-0 Panthers on Thanksgiving Day, with the betting markets reacting to the Cowboys positive showing with Tony Romo back behind center this past Sunday.  The markets certainly aren’t sleeping on Dallas right now!

But what about the Lions, winners of two straight since their woeful 1-7 start?  Or the Falcons, now just 1-4 in their last five games; struggling on both sides of the football?  The Jets aren’t the same team now that they were a month ago, especially if the injuries to shutdown corner Darrelle Revis and Pro Bowl caliber center Nick Mangold don’t heal quickly.  Should we believe in the trio of suddenly surging 5-5 teams – the Buccaneers, the Chiefs and the Houston Texans, now tied for first place following a three game winning streak?  Is Cinci primed for a skid following back-to-back losses?

In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll be focusing on key Notes & Quotes from around the NFL.  These tidbits are intentionally short; a quick hitter tour around some of the key morphers in the league as we enter the stretch run of this compelling NFL campaign.

Let me start with the Jacksonville Jaguars, winners of two straight, now just a single game out of first place in the AFC South.  And the Jags success has come, at least in part, due to Blake Bortles leading game winning drives in the fourth quarter or overtime.  In fact, Bortles leads the NFL, with four such drives this season – all four of the Jaguars wins this year -- one more than Andy Dalton, Jay Cutler or Matt Ryan.

Of course, it’s also worth noting that Bortles entered last week’s game with a 47% completion rate in the fourth quarter and OT, ranked dead last in the NFL among quarterbacks with enough pass attempts to qualify.  Bortles has thrown at least one interception in each of his last six games and he’s only thrown one pass of 40 yards or longer in his last five starts; unable to stretch opposing defenses. That fourth quarter/OT stat is NOT a sign that Blake Bortles has developed into an upper echelon NFL quarterback.

Meanwhile, head coach Gus Bradley is concerned that the Jags are going to be overconfident following their two game win streak.  “I guess we’ll wait and see. That will be the talk. They’re sure saying the right things and acting the right way. In the locker room, in our talk, [a] couple of players said some things to the team that I thought were spot on…. I have great faith in them, but that’s something we’ll watch as a team and make sure that we’re keeping it tight and going in the right direction.”

The Detroit Lions did two very impressive things in their win over the Raiders on Sunday.  Detroit shut down David Carr and the Raiders potent passing game, holding Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper to a combined 54 receiving yards; their lowest total of the season.  And, with the game on the line in the fourth quarter, the Lions were able to run out the clock with an impressive 13 play drive that lasted more than seven and a half minutes. 

Detroit is now 3-0 when they run the ball at least 20 times.  Offensive tackle Riley Reiff: “It's a great feeling for the offensive line when everyone, including the Raiders, knew we were going to run and we were still able to do it.”  Of course, longtime Lions fans aren’t looking for a late season transformation, with Detroit morphing back to the playoff caliber team they were last year.  Any sort of late season run will probably take the Lions out of contention for a Top 5 draft pick next spring.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers entered Week 11 with a +0.5 yards per play differential; ranked right between NFL elites Carolina and Cincinnati in that key statistical category.  Then the Bucs proceeded to outgain the Eagles 7.2 to 5.3 yards per play in a blowout road win, behind five TD passes from rookie quarterback Jameis Winston (to five different receivers!), producing their highest point total since 2001.

Winston: “I ain't going to cry, but this is a dream come true for me. I always wanted to play here, ever since I was a little boy. I always wanted to be an Eagle. I was even singing the fight song on the sideline. It was a special day for me."

Bucs wide receiver Mike Evans: “We are watching a young quarterback grow before our eyes." 

Head coach Lovie Smith: “We've talked a lot about being relevant again.  Well, we're relevant again." 

Meanwhile, this quote is worthy of note from Philadelphia Eagles defensive coordinator Bill Davis after his D was gashed for 283 yards on the ground and 238 through the air.  “A game like this will shake your confidence and that's our biggest enemy because it can destroy you.”

The Green Bay Packers snapped a three game skid with a blowout win at Minnesota.  Their defense came up strong, notching six sacks, and Eddie Lacy enjoyed a rare 100 yard rushing effort, taking some of the pressure off Aaron Rodgers and the passing game.   That being said, Rogers still completed fewer than half of his pass attempts.  And his much maligned receiving corps didn’t offer him many easy targets with only James Jones gaining more than 40 yards through the air.

Still, the postgame comments from Rodgers were very positive. “Maybe we'll get you guys off our back for a couple days. We've been taking it on the chin, rightfully so, the last three weeks after a couple real poor performances. This was an important week for us. We really stuck together… I think sometimes we play a little better when we start to get questioned.”

The Denver Broncos snapped a two game skid of their own, with Brock Osweiler getting his first career start in place of Peyton Manning at quarterback.  He completed 20-27 pass attempts for 250 yards without an interception.

Osweiler: "I don't know if anybody believed me, but I really was telling the truth -- I have not wasted a single day sitting behind Peyton. I fully recognize that he might be the greatest quarterback to ever play, if not one of the greatest. I wasn't going to let one of those days go by where I didn't learn something. I've been very appreciative for my situation….I was comfortable from the very first snap.”

Broncos LB Von Miller: “He does this all of the time in practice, in preseason. I kind of came out here and expected it. What he did is what I expected him to do."

Head coach Gary Kubiak: “Brock can do everything. He's a very composed young man and the more he plays, I think, the better he's going to get. He's a sharp young man. He has a lot of confidence in himself and he should obviously gain some more through this experience."

Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas

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