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College Football Betting Podcast 9-27-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

09.27.2016     10:19 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down line moves for College Football Week 5.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - College Football Line Moves Week 5

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Rob Veno Andrew Lange



College Football Gambling: Notre Dame parts ways with defensive coordinator

09.27.2016     08:20 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In keeping with the "house cleaning" theme for today, Notre Dame announced the firing of defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder following Saturday's 38-35 loss to Duke. With a backup quarterback, the Blue Devils waltzed into South Bend and nearly 500 yards. This is the same team that scored a combined 27 points in losses to Wake Forest and Northwestern. The remainder of the Irish's schedule looks daunting from a defensive perspective. This week's foe, Syracuse, is playing at a pace Notre Dame has shown no ability to contain. North Carolina State and Miami haven't played anyone but are putting up points in bunches. Navy and Army aren't ideal for a stop unit that struggles to tackle. And Virginia Tech's up-tempo offense is starting to take hold with 103 points the last two weeks against Boston College and East Carolina.


“When you guys ask me those questions certainly that's not the time or place to get into debates about your coaching staff. I make those decisions clearly when I have the opportunity to evaluate it. And (I) had time last night to evaluate our current situation and made what I felt to be the best decision for the program,” Kelly said on his weekly Sunday teleconference.



Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish



College Football Betting: LSU seeks more offense following coaching change

09.27.2016     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stop us if you've heard this before: Struggling team fires coach, vows to "open up" offense moving forward. That is what LSU is proclaiming in the wake of Les Miles' departure. College football's most popular interim head coach Ed Orgeron takes over heading into this weekend's matchup against Missouri. The "new" offense coupled with Missouri's up-tempo attack prompted a bevy of over money as the total skyrocketed from 45 to 51.


“You can expect … a new style of play on offense, and obviously we don't have a lot of time to change things, but we are going to tweak things around,” Orgeron said in his introductory news conference.

“We're going to spread the ball out a little bit, do some different things, change the style of play,” he said later Monday.



Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC



College Football Gambling: Florida International finaly frees itself of Ron Turner

09.27.2016     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Four years ago marked one of the most baffling college football head coaching firings/hirings on record. Mario Cristobal took over Florida International in 2007 and proceeded to go 1-11. But three years later, helped the Panthers reach a bowl game; their first of what was back-to-back postseason appearances. FIU suffered from regression in 2013 (3-9) and Cristobal was mysteriously fired. Rather than reload with another young, up-and-coming coach, FIU decided to bring in Ron Turner. It was a silly hire that was destined to fail, and fail it did. Turner, who went 35-57 at Illinois and 10-30 at FIU, was finally canned this past weekend. The university justified the move by saying it allowed the team a "clean slate" heading into C-USA play. Defensive coordinator Ron Cooper will serve as interim head coach the remainder of the season. This weekend's opponent, Florida Atlantic, was bet from -5.5 to -7.

Tags: College Football Florida International Panthers Florida Atlantic Owls C-USA



NFL Handicapping: First-year quarterbacks continue to cover pointspreads

09.27.2016     06:49 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For my very first weekly entry discussing the NFL from a betting perspective, I decided to focus on the success rate of first-year and/or rookie starting quarterbacks. For decades, conventional wisdom pointed toward betting against “green” quarterbacks. But there has been a paradigm shift in that regard so far in 2016. There have been six quarterbacks that have made their first ever start in the NFL: Trevor Siemian (Denver), Carson Wentz (Philadelphia), Dak Prescott (Dallas), Jimmy Garoppolo (New England), Jacoby Brissett (New England) and Cody Kessler (Cleveland). Siemien and Wentz appear to be the only two poised to be starter for the duration of the season while others are simply keeping the seat warm. Nevertheless, the collective amount of success from that group through three weeks of the season, specifically from a pointspread perspective, is impressive.

Denver, New England, and Philadelphia are all 3-0 SU/ATS. Dallas is a solid 2-1 SU/ATS. And Cleveland lost to Miami in overtime last week as +9.5 underdogs. The aforementioned group of signal callers have a combined for a 65.7% completion rate and a 15-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio (all 3 INTs via Siemian). They enter Week 4 with a combined 11-2 SU, 12-1 ATS mark. Note too that those five teams have combined for a +13 turnover margin; consistently winning the turnover battle remains and obvious key to pointspread success in the NFL regardless of who takes the snaps. The question now becomes, will these quarterbacks and teams maintain their path or suffer regression?

I certainly am a believer in Wentz. I was unsure of how much to make of wins over woeful Cleveland and Chicago but his performance against Pittsburgh was dominating. Wentz has displayed an aura of poise and calmness in the pocket and has made one great read after another in the passing game despite playing with a middling receiving corps. He has looked wise beyond his years with a 64.7% completion rate, 5-to-0 TD-to-INT ratio and 103.8 QB rating. He’s also backed by an Eagles’ defense that has clearly bought in to Jim Schwartz’s aggressive schemes which completely shut down Ben Roethlisberger and a potent Pittsburgh offense.

Prescott is another of the first-year starters that should retain some ATS value in the weeks ahead. He is a dual threat that can make plays with his feet when the pocket collapses. He also has the benefit of playing behind one of the league’s top offensive lines. Rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott continues to get better which coupled with quality weapons at receiver provides Prescott with the blueprint to succeed. The Cowboys have the offense to never be out of a game and could be a good betting option specifically in the underdog role (at Green Bay, at Pittsburgh) in the weeks to come.

It’s not as easy to evaluate the future success of Garoppolo and Brissett because Tom Brady is slated to return in Week 5? Garoppolo looked outstanding in New England’s Week 1 win at Arizona and equally brilliant against Miami before getting injured. Brissett played a clean, mistake free game against Houston while the defense pitched a shutout.

I’m not however sold on Kessler and Siemian. Kessler managed not to make any critical mistakes against Miami but looked panicked at times and got away with a handful of questionable throws. This of course was be expected as Kessler began the season as the third option on the worst team in the league. And while the Browns in theory have value being the lowest power rated squad in the NFL, he has the least upside of the group. Siemian has shown the ability to throw the deep ball with a pair of 40+ yard touchdown strikes to Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas in last week’s win at Cincinnati. That said, he’s prone to throwing the ball into traffic too often (3 INTs) and has missed on some of the easier short to intermediate throws. His accuracy on shorter passes must improve as well as his decision making. Unlike Kessler, Siemian does have the benefit of playing behind one of the league’s top stop units.

The NFL is notoriously unkind to first-year quarterbacks but thus far, the results have bucked that trend. It’s a matchup league and I think a majority of our group’s success has come due to favorable opponents as well as taking care of the football. Moving forward, struggles are bound occur, but we have proof that betting on first-year and/or rookie quarterbacks is no longer something gamblers should completely avoid.

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Philadelphia Eagles New England Patriots Cleveland Browns Denver Broncos Ian Cameron



NFL Betting Podcast 9-26-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

09.26.2016     10:01 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report for Week 4 of the NFL.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report - Week 4

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



College Football Handicapping: Week 5 early line moves

09.26.2016     08:58 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Checking in on some the key betting market early side moves for college football's Week 5 action.

Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green 
CRIS Opener: Eastern Michigan +4.5 
CRIS Current: Eastern Michigan +3

Akron at Kent 
CRIS Opener: Akron -4 
CRIS Current: Akron -6.5 (-7 elsewhere)

Navy at Air Force 
CRIS Opener: Air Force -7 
CRIS Current: Air Force -7.5

 
Tennessee at Georgia 
CRIS Opener: Tennessee -3 
CRIS Current: Tennessee -3.5

Texas at Oklahoma State 
CRIS Opener: Texas +3.5 
CRIS Current: Texas +3

Oklahoma at TCU 
CRIS Opener: Oklahoma -1 
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -3

San Jose State at New Mexico 
CRIS Opener: New Mexico -4.5 
CRIS Current: New Mexico -7.5

Fresno State at UNLV 
CRIS Opener: UNLV -7 
CRIS Current: UNLV -10

Tags: College Football



College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget Game of the Year vs. CRIS - Week 5

09.26.2016     08:28 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 5's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot week-to-week changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets.

2016 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 5
Away
Home
Golden Nugget GOY
CRIS Current
Stanford
Washington
Washington -3
Washington -3.5
Arizona State
USC
USC -11
USC -7.5
Tennessee
Georgia
Georgia pk
Tennessee -3.5
North Carolina
Florida State
Florida State -11.5
Florida State -12
Oklahoma
TCU
Oklahoma -8
Oklahoma -2.5
Texas
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -10
Oklahoma State -3
Wisconsin
Michigan
Michigan -11.5
Michigan -10.5


Tags: College Football Golden Nugget



NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus goes 0-5 ATS for the second straight week

09.26.2016     08:20 AM     Printer Friendly

UPDATE

Last year, SuperContest consensus plays went a very respectable 45-38 ATS, including a 11-4 ATS through Week 3. This year hasn't gone nearly as smooth as Week 3 marked the second straight 0-5 ATS performance. Interesting to note, the least picked Sunday side is now 3-0 ATS with Philadelphia covering Week 1, Los Angeles Week 2, and Cleveland Week 3.

1. PITTSBURGH -3.5 at Philadelphia - LOSS 
2. ARIZONA -4 at Buffalo - LOSS 
3. TAMPA BAY -5.5 vs. Los Angeles - LOSS 
4. JACKSONVILLE pk vs. Baltimore - LOSS 
5. SAN DIEGO +3 at Indianapolis - LOSS

Year-to-date results 
Week 1: 3-2 
Week 2: 0-5 
Week 3: 0-5




NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus goes all in on road chalk Pittsburgh and Arizona

09.25.2016     08:23 AM     View Original Blog
Below are the top five consensus picks for Week 3 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. PITTSBURGH -3.5 at Philadelphia 
2. ARIZONA -4 at Buffalo 
3. TAMPA BAY -5.5 vs. Los Angeles 
4. JACKSONVILLE pk vs. Baltimore 
5. SAN DIEGO +3 at Indianapolis

Least picked Sunday side: CLEVELAND +9.5 at Miami




Tags: NFL SuperContest



NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus goes all in on road chalk Pittsburgh and Arizona

09.25.2016     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus picks for Week 3 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. PITTSBURGH -3.5 at Philadelphia 
2. ARIZONA -4 at Buffalo 
3. TAMPA BAY -5.5 vs. Los Angeles 
4. JACKSONVILLE pk vs. Baltimore 
5. SAN DIEGO +3 at Indianapolis

Least picked Sunday side: CLEVELAND +9.5 at Miami

Tags: NFL SuperContest Pittsburgh Steelers Arizona Cardinals



NFL Gambling Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles

09.25.2016     08:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia 
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS 
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -3.5 O/U 46.5 
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -3.5 O/U 46 
Recommendation: Pittsburgh

Yes, the Eagles are 2-0 to open the season. But those two wins came against Bottom 5 competition, with both the Browns and Bears losing at truly dismal seasons. This is a major step up in class for a team playing on a short week, a mediocre (at best) squad who is feeling pretty good about themselves right now.

Make no mistake about it. Carson Wentz has looked pretty good, with a QB rating of 94 through his first two NFL starts. He’s yet to throw an interception and he’s only been sacked four times in 75 dropbacks. But Jordan Matthews is the only receiver with 100 yards. Despite the success of the passing game, Philly is only averaging 3.5 yards per carry. And they’ve only faced bottom tier defenses thus far, with the Browns at the very bottom of any defensive rankings and the Bears suffering a barrage of in-game injuries that left them without five defensive starters in the second half. Pittsburgh’s defense isn’t truly elite, but it’s a good notch or two better than anything Wentz and the Eagles offense has seen before.

Philly has looked good defensively against RG3 (who may never start another NFL game) and Jay Cutler (who, if Chicago wasn’t paying him a fortune, might never start another NFL game). The Steelers offense is another animal entirely. Two time Super Bowl winner Ben Roethlisberger ranks in the upper echelon of NFL quarterbacks. Antonio Brown is the most dangerous receiver in the NFL. Sammie Coates has emerged as a deep threat on every drive. DeAngelo Williams leads the NFL in rushing yards through the first two weeks. The Steelers hung 24 on a top notch defense in lousy weather last week, and there’s no reason to think that Philly’s defense will be able to stop them or that Philly’s offense will be able to trade points. Expect a comfortable win from the road favorite. Take the Steelers.

Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers



College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans

09.23.2016     10:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Michigan State 
Saturday, 9 am PT - BTN 
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -6 O/U 45.5 
CRIS Current: Michigan State -5 O/U 42 
Recommendation: Michigan State

What on earth does Michigan State have to do to earn some real respect from the betting markets?   This team went 13-1 in 2013, 11-2 in 2014 and 12-2 last year, rising to elite program status in Mark D’Antonio’s tenth year on the job. But the Spartans suffered some significant graduation losses in the offseason, especially on offense where QB Connor Cook and three of the linemen protecting him went to the NFL.  And then Michigan State looked sluggish in their opener against Furman, never even sniffing the -37.5 point spread in a 28-13 victory.  The betting markets, as they do, dramatically overreacted to that sluggish showing, installing the Spartans as 7.5 point underdogs at Notre Dame last week.  They dominated wire-to-wire in a ‘not as close as the final score’ 36-28 romp.

But the betting markets that didn’t respect Michigan State in 2013 or 2014 (combined 19-8 ATS), and didn’t respect them down the stretch last year still aren’t all that excited about the Spartans in what is perceived to be a ‘letdown’ spot after that huge win over Notre Dame.  I don’t care what kind of spin you want to put on it – a Big 10 home opener against Wisconsin is no ‘letdown’ spot for any team.  And the fact that this has been a tight series in the past – each of the last three meetings has been decided by less than a touchdown – also has the markets devaluing Michigan State in this spot.

I’m not worried about tight games between these two programs in 2011 and 2012 (the most recent meeting), because the Wisconsin program has declined markedly over the past three or four seasons.  Multiple coaching changes haven’t helped matters, but the weakness of the Big 10 West  has kept the Badgers in contention despite their overall decline.  I’m expecting that process to accelerate here in 2016.

Michigan State has no issues without Connor Cook behind center.  Tyler O’Connor lit up Notre Dame’s defense with his arm and his legs last week, as the Spartans ran for 260 and passed for 241 yards against a solid stop unit.  Wisconsin, on the other hand, has serious QB issues.  Senior Bart Houston got benched against Georgia State.  Redshirt frosh Alex Hornibrook has only faced Georgia State at home in his collegiate career.  Neither guy is a particularly good option for Paul Chryst on Saturday.  Expect Badgers scoring drives to be few and far between, especially given all the injures they’ve suffered at running back over the past two weeks.  Spartans win this one by a TD or more.

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Teddy Covers



Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 9-23-2016

09.23.2016     11:40 AM     Printer Friendly

copy_nfl_podcast_bar.jpg

Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 3. Handicappers Erin Rynning and Brent Crow joined host Andrew Lange to break down Sunday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Brent Crow Andrew Lange



College Football Handicapping: 2nd half Kick Off List - Week 4

09.23.2016     08:23 PM     Printer Friendly

To help you with your wagers today, below is a list of teams that receive the kick to start the second half.

2016 College Football 2nd Half Kick Off List - Week 4
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
311
Central Michigan
Virginia
Virginia
313
Ball State
Florida Atlantic
Ball State
315
Central Florida
Florida International
Florida International
317
Army
Buffalo
Army
319
East Carolina
Virginia Tech
East Carolina
321
Syracuse
Connecticut
Connecticut
323
Penn State
Michigan
Michigan
325
Iowa
Rutgers
Iowa
327
Wake Forest
Indiana
Wake Forest
329
San Jose State
Iowa State
Iowa State
331
Mississippi State
Massachusetts
Massachusetts
333
Colorado State
Minnesota
Minnesota
335
BYU
West Virginia
BYU
337
North Texas
Rice
North Texas
339
Appalachian State
Akron
Appalachian State
341
Georgia Southern
Western Michigan
Georgia Southern
343
Charlotte
Temple
Charlotte
345
Pittsburgh
North Carolina
North Carolina
347
Southern Miss
UTEP
Southern Miss
349
Oklahoma State
Baylor
Oklahoma State
351
Louisville
Marshall
Marshall
353
Kent State
Alabama
Kent State
355
Duke
Notre Dame
Duke
357
New Mexico State
Troy
 
359
Vanderbilt
Western Kentucky
Vanderbilt
361
Wisconsin
Michigan State
Wisconsin
363
Arkansas
Texas A&M
 
365
Nevada
Purdue
Nevada
367
Louisiana-Lafayette
Tulane
Tulane
369
Colorado
Oregon
Colorado
371
Washington
Arizona
 
373
Georgia
Mississippi
Mississippi
375
Miami (OH)
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
377
Louisiana Tech
Middle Tennessee State
Louisiana Tech
379
UTSA
Old Dominion
UTSA
381
South Carolina
Kentucky
Kentucky
383
Florida
Tennessee
Tennessee
385
Bowling Green
Memphis
Bowling Green
387
Florida State
South Florida
Florida State
389
Nebraska
Northwestern
Northwestern
391
Houston
Texas State
Houston
393
LSU
Auburn
LSU
395
Boise State
Oregon State
Oregon State
397
Air Force
Utah State
 
399
Idaho
UNLV
 
401
California
Arizona State
 
403
Stanford
UCLA
UCLA
405
Tulsa
Fresno State
Fresno State


Tags: College Football



Sportsmemo's College Football In-Game Betting Discussion - Week 4

09.23.2016     08:23 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Don't miss Sportsmemo's Posting Forum College Football Week 4 in-game discussion. The Sportsmemo Handicappers and posting forum members share their thoughts, opinions, and second half wagers throughout the day. If you're not a forum member, it's free to sign up! All you need is a username and password. Come be a part of the WINNING action!

Tags: College Football



Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 9-16-2016

09.16.2016     01:36 PM     Printer Friendly

copy_nfl_podcast_bar.jpg

Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 2. Handicappers Erin Rynning and Brent Crow joined host Andrew Lange to break down Sunday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Brent Crow Andrew Lange



College Football Betting Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Fresno State Bulldogs

09.23.2016     10:30 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tulsa at Fresno State 
Saturday, 1:30 pm PT 
CRIS Opener:
Tulsa -12 O/U 64 
CRIS Current: Tulsa -14 O/U 66 
Recommendation: Tulsa

The Fresno State Bulldogs showed steady improvement in head coach Tim DeRuyter’s first two seasons including an 11-2 campaign in 2013; Derek Carr’s final season with the program. Since then, however, it has been a sharp and steady decline with just six wins in 2014 and three last season. Fresno State has already been non-competitive in a pair of games against Nebraska and Toledo; blown out by a combined score of 95-27 and outgained by 497 yards. The offense has not been able to sustain drives consistently with redshirt freshman QB Chason Virgil at the helm. Fresno has not run the football effectively either with only 2.9 yards per carry. The Bulldogs defense has been unable to stop anybody surrendering 1,025 total yards against the Cornhuskers and Rockets. Even their win over FCS Sacramento State was unimpressive as Fresno led 10-3 at the half. Fresno State has not provided any evidence to this point they can hang with superior competition and I think they are poised for another ugly showing against Tulsa.

It would be wise not to overreact to Tulsa’s 48-3 loss to Ohio State a couple weeks ago. The Golden Hurricane were trailing 6-3 late in the first half before a pair of devastating pick sixes in bad weather were thrown by QB Dane Evans. It completely turned the game in Ohio State’s favor and Tulsa simply never recovered. In Tulsa’s other two games, they annihilated San Jose State and North Carolina AT&T en route to easy pointspread covers. I expect a big game from senior Evans who has plenty of weapons around him in RB duo D’Angelo Brewer and James Flanders along with senior WR Keevan Lucas. Tulsa should have a defensive edge as well as the stop unit has allowed just 3.7 yards per carry on the ground while Fresno State is allowing north of 5 ypc. Tulsa was a perfect 6-0 ATS on the highway last season in Philip Montgomery’s inaugural season as head coach and that includes a 2-0 ATS mark as road favorites. Fresno State does not possess a strong home field going 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS at home last season. The Bulldogs went 2-9 SU in 11 games against FBS foes last season and 8 of the 9 losses came by margins of at least two touchdowns. And as mentioned, Fresno is already 0-2 SU and ATS against FBS foes with both losses by 30+ points. Tulsa has a bye on deck next week so there is no reason to hold anything back here in this game. Road team rolls.

Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane AAC Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West Ian Cameron



College Football Betting Preview: California Golden Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils

09.23.2016     07:27 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
California at Arizona State 
Saturday, 7 pm PT - ESPN2 
CRIS Opener:
Arizona State -3 O/U 81 
CRIS Current: Arizona State -3.5 O/U 82.5 
Recommendation: Over

The Arizona State Sun Devils host the California Golden Bears Saturday night in Tempe. This is a key cross division PAC-12 showdown that projects to be an offensive spectacle. Each of these teams have relied on their superior offensive units to outscore their opponent’s thus far. On the flip side, stopping the opposition has proven to be a difficult task.

Cal quarterback Davis Webb threw for 396 yards in last week’s win over Texas; his lowest output this year. He will be facing a Sun Devil defense that is notoriously susceptible to the pass. Last season, opposing quarterbacks posted a 145.0 QB rating which ranked 21st nationally. This season, that number has jumped to 163.6. Even FCS Northern Arizona was able to move the ball at will through the air with 369 yards and 11.2 yards per attempt. Yes, NAU was playing from behind, but it’s a clear sign the ASU secondary will be up against it vs. Webb.

The Golden Bears have far better numbers against the pass (112.8 opposing QB rating) but don’t let that fool you; this defense is ultra-porous. Their first three opponents relied more on the run and did so with great success, racking up nearly 900 yards at well over 6 yards per clip. ASU has has playmakers all over the field and an athletic quarterback in Manny Wilkins. They are very similar to that of Texas who last week posted a very balanced 307 rushing yards and 261 yards through the air. Note that Cal-Texas featured 170 plays.

Last year’s meeting featured 168 plays and nearly 1,300 total yards as Cal won in Berkeley, 48-46. It wouldn’t shock me to see 100 pass attempts and when you combo that with an endless amount of first downs, the clock is going to stand still for much of the night. Both teams hit 40+ in this one as we play it over.

Tags: College Football California Golden Bears Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 Drew Martin



Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 9-22-2016

09.22.2016     11:08 AM     Printer Friendly

copy_cfb_podcast_bar.jpg

Here is Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 4. Handicappers Ian Cameron, Alex B. Smith, Teddy Covers, Drew Martin, and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down this weekend's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: College Football Ian Cameron Alex B. Smith Teddy Covers Drew Martin Rob Veno



College Football Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.22.2016     10:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Duke at Notre Dame 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS 
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -21.5 O/U 58 
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -20.5 O/U 60.5 
Recommendation: Under

For the second time in three games, Notre Dame's defense was gashed for big yards and big points. Texas rolled up 50 on the Irish in Week 1 and then Michigan State hung 36 and 6.42 yards per play in last week's 36-28 upset win. Needless to say, most of the media coverage this week has centered around Notre Dame's ongoing defensive struggles that date back to last year. Against their last four power conference opponents (Stanford, Ohio State, Texas, and Michigan State), the Irish have allowed 42 ppg. Last year, the excuse was injuries and lack of depth. This year, it's the secondary with multiple key players out. According to Brian Kelly, the main problem is simply not performing up to snuff.

But the situation this week is far more favorable as Duke comes to town. The Blue Devils managed only 27 points in back-to-back losses to Wake Forest and Northwestern. Freshman quarterback Daniel Jones has been serviceable with 61% completions but he's not nearly as polished as former starter Thomas Sirk who lost for the year due to injury. The one underrated aspect of Sirk was his ability to run the football. Much of Duke's offense was centered around designed quarterback runs as Sirk was the team's leading rusher with 803 yards. Jones can run when needed but has only 81 yards on 31 carries in three games.

Notre Dame's defensive problems are not going to be solved overnight but the capabilities to hold a pedestrian offense in check are there. In Week 2, the Irish held Nevada to 10 points. Late last season, even with the depth chart hammered by injuries, Notre Dame held Wake Forest to 7 and Boston College to 16. The heat is on Brian Kelly and defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder. I see this week as an excellent opportunity for a top notch effort. We'll look to play this one under the total.

Tags: College Football Duke Blue Devils ACC Notre Dame Fighting Irish Andrew Lange



College Football Betting News: USC can right ship, but probably won't

09.22.2016     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The situation at USC is starting to look like a sub-plot of a Ray Donovan episode. But it's not all doom-and-gloom if the Trojans can somehow snag a win at Utah on Friday. The upcoming schedule is "friendly" with four out of five very winnable games at home (Arizona State, Colorado, Cal and Oregon) and a road trip to mediocre Arizona. That said, the smell of dumpster fire has reportedly spread as far south as Temecula.


"I'm a big social media guy," Helton said. "But I got told today about E.J. Price hitting me, which is funny. I wouldn't be here. I'd be dead, one. Maybe it'd make my face look better."



Tags: College Football USC Trojans Utah Utes PAC-12



Gambling Update: Billy Walters insider trading case to feature key witness Phil Mickelson

09.22.2016     07:53 AM     Printer Friendly

UPDATE

Well this is interesting. Both sides on the insider-trading case involving Billy Walters want Phil Mickelson to testify.




Billy Walters arrested for insider trading

05.19.2016     07:51 AM     View Original Blog
Billy Walters was arrested on Wednesday for his alleged involvement in an insider trading scheme.


“Bill Walters is a true American success story, whose extraordinary accomplishments as a lawful sports gambler have been widely recognized and lauded,” the lawyer, Barry Berke, said in a statement. “Mr. Walters and his counsel look forward to his day in court where it will be shown that the prosecutors’ accusations are based on erroneous assumptions, speculative theories and false finger-pointing.”






Tags: Billy Walters



Legalized sports betting receives support from unlikely source

09.22.2016     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A former deputy director of the FBI is now at the forefront of the legalized sports betting movement.


“The current approach to sports betting in the United States is not working; instead, it’s fueling criminal enterprises,” Murphy said. “The time has come to repeal the current sports betting ban and replace it with rigorous regulations that benefit states, protect consumers and maintain the integrity of the games.”



Tags: Billy Walters



College Football Betting Podcast 9-21-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

09.21.2016     10:54 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down line moves for College Football Week 4.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - College Football Line Moves Week 4

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Rob Veno Andrew Lange



College Football Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Panthers at North Carolina Tar Heels

09.21.2016     09:40 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at North Carolina 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPNU 
CRIS Opener:
North Carolina -8 O/U 70 
CRIS Current: North Carolina -7 O/U 67.5 
Recommendation: Over

I have successfully faded Pittsburgh with a free play the past two weeks and will pick on them once again at the Panthers travel to Chapel Hill. I detected a defensive weakness against the pass in their 42-39 victory over Penn State and discussed it in last week’s write-up selection vs. Oklahoma State. Money flocked toward Pitt but OSU set a multitude of offensive records against them last Saturday including Mason Rudolph’s 540 passing yards. In their last two games, Pittsburgh has given up 872 yards through the air on 50 completions for an average of 17.4. That number is alarming enough but when you add in the fact that Penn State rang up huge numbers in catch up mode with an average passer Trace McSorely, the concern becomes larger. Then take into account that pass reliant Oklahoma State threw for 540 yards with a ground game that is more of a below average diversion than true threat and you clearly see a problem.

This Saturday, the Pitt defense will face its first opponent which possesses an explosive running game plus an explosive passing game which figures to cause severe problems. Against offenses in situations where the Panthers could focus on playing the pass, they could not succeed. Hard to see them not getting shredded here by the Tar Heels whose new quarterback Mitch Trubisky is becoming very comfortable according to Larry Fedora. Pitt has allowed a batch of chunk plays and 39 and 45 points the past two games so expect Trubisky and plethora of skill position threats to light up the scoreboard.        
        
Despite their one dimensional, run-heavy offense, Pittsburgh was able to nearly match Oklahoma State point for point last week. Their sporadic passing game hit on enough big plays to support the 290 rushing yards and it’s possible they could stay in this one. The fundamentals worked for the Panthers offense last week because Oklahoma State is not a physical defense especially in the front seven. A carbon copy of that matchup may exist here if North Carolina’s very depth shy defensive line does not get a couple players back this week. Without three key contributors last week, the ‘Heels were able to easily outscore James Madison but they’ll need some combination of DT Naz Jones (concussion) or DEs Tomon Fox and Dajuan Drennon to return. If all three remain out, the Pittsburgh ground game could have a field day (remember Georgia’s 289 yards, 5.6 ypc effort in Week 1). Quarterback Nate Peterman will have to take enough advantage of UNC’S commitment to stopping the run in order for the Panthers to hang around.

This is an ACC Coastal Division game so fully focused efforts from each side are virtually guaranteed but focused efforts might not be good enough to slow down the offenses. I lean toward North Carolina -7 (power ratings show UNC -9.5) but its defensive line situation is still an unknown this early in the week. However, even if the Tar Heels get one player or more back on their DL, the matchup advantages for the offenses are still strong enough to buck the early move toward the under. Prevailing philosophy will be that Pittsburgh will run the ball to shorten the game but that hasn’t worked at all for them thus far as evidenced by their points allowed despite excellent rushing numbers. UNC doesn’t need more than a blink of an eye to score and there are plenty of indicators to suggest a play on the over.

Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels ACC Rob Veno






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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 27, 2016 10:07 PM.